徐姐专研合约
Frequent Trader
4.7 Months
👑跟单：〖可在置顶聊天室〗🏅公众号：加密思雨；合约为主，Alpha为辅，现货专做长线价值埋伏，21年曾在ETH顶部公开做空斩获人生第一单百万u。
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3 days to earn 1 million dollars! This is true strength!
💰Long position on Bitcoin: 248,000 USDT;
💰Short position on Bitcoin: 544,000 USDT;
💰Short position on ASTER: 222,000 USDT;
On November 12th, going long on Bitcoin in the early morning, taking profits that night; on the 13th early morning, reversing to short, taking profits again on the 14th early morning, synchronously laying out ASTER, perfectly reaching the target in three days!
My trading principle is simple: not stubbornly bullish or bearish, just follow the market, capture trend turning points, and profit from both long and short positions.
Real-time trading signals, clear entry and exit points, this is the strength of professional trading! This fan followed for 3 days, steadily earning 1.08 million dollars. Real results are more effective than any promotion.
The market opportunities are still there, the next wave of operations is about to begin. 想告别瞎操作，学会真正赚钱的方法？扫下方最后一图币安聊天室二维码加入，我用实力带你飞！
#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性
💰Long position on Bitcoin: 248,000 USDT;
💰Short position on Bitcoin: 544,000 USDT;
💰Short position on ASTER: 222,000 USDT;
On November 12th, going long on Bitcoin in the early morning, taking profits that night; on the 13th early morning, reversing to short, taking profits again on the 14th early morning, synchronously laying out ASTER, perfectly reaching the target in three days!
My trading principle is simple: not stubbornly bullish or bearish, just follow the market, capture trend turning points, and profit from both long and short positions.
Real-time trading signals, clear entry and exit points, this is the strength of professional trading! This fan followed for 3 days, steadily earning 1.08 million dollars. Real results are more effective than any promotion.
The market opportunities are still there, the next wave of operations is about to begin. 想告别瞎操作，学会真正赚钱的方法？扫下方最后一图币安聊天室二维码加入，我用实力带你飞！
#美国非农数据超预期 #比特币波动性
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⭐【Key Points】About spot trading, contracts, and alpha strategies⭐
@徐姐专研合约 Strategy access is now open. Scan the QR code below on Binance to add directly.
If you want to learn more useful knowledge and more high-quality potential coins, just seek.
@徐姐专研合约 Strategy access is now open. Scan the QR code below on Binance to add directly.
If you want to learn more useful knowledge and more high-quality potential coins, just seek.
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Powell's hawkish rate cut script is repeated tonight, Bitcoin may repeat the fate of 130000 people being liquidated!
The so-called Federal Reserve spokesperson Nick Timiraos made it very clear: At this monetary policy meeting, Powell may be facing the most divided colleagues of his tenure.
The situation is as follows: This week, the Federal Reserve is holding its last meeting of the year. However, up to half of the members have expressed in various occasions that they do not see a strong reason to cut interest rates. Such a level of public division has been rarely seen in recent years.
Although Powell has the final decision-making power, this time he needs to push for a rate cut, which is no longer as straightforward as before, but requires building consensus and reducing dissenting votes. In other words, he has to work hard to persuade a group of colleagues who are not very willing.
The situation is as follows: This week, the Federal Reserve is holding its last meeting of the year. However, up to half of the members have expressed in various occasions that they do not see a strong reason to cut interest rates. Such a level of public division has been rarely seen in recent years.
Although Powell has the final decision-making power, this time he needs to push for a rate cut, which is no longer as straightforward as before, but requires building consensus and reducing dissenting votes. In other words, he has to work hard to persuade a group of colleagues who are not very willing.
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Woken up in the middle of the night by a notification on my phone about the Federal Reserve's lightning-fast interest rate meeting, which breaks a forty-year convention, making a significant decision in just one hour. Once the news broke, global markets became lively, and the cryptocurrency space felt that major changes were imminent.
There are many puzzling aspects to this operation: there are significant internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding rate cuts; one faction advocates a cut of 50 basis points, while another wants a cut of 75 basis points, leaving retail investors confused and increasing market volatility.
$29.4 billion in institutional funds have positioned themselves early, and considering the liquidity situation, there may be a large influx of funds later; the Federal Reserve has held back-to-back closed-door meetings for two days, issuing alarms in the repo market, and institutions are urgently adjusting their positions, indicating that there are places in the market where funds are lacking; the interest rate meeting ended in one hour, and the lightning decision seems to be an emergency response, leaving us unsure of the underlying problems.
U.S. mining companies and related trading sectors have risen, seemingly following the same rhythm as before the last market rally. The stock market sets the stage, while the cryptocurrency space performs; it remains to be seen whether the crypto market can seize the momentum.
Many people in the crypto space are calling for ETH to surge to $10,000. Research indicates three supporting factors: ETH's leading position in the public blockchain is solid, its ecosystem is developing rapidly, and staking yields are stable, along with technical upgrades; the December upgrade will target on-chain transaction fees, significantly reducing costs and lowering the barriers for DApp usage, which is beneficial for the demand side; institutions have quietly positioned themselves early, with many having already infiltrated as seen in the holding data, and the market's enthusiasm will wait for the right moment to increase stakes.
However, the divide between hawkish and dovish stances within the Federal Reserve remains unresolved. If there is a policy shift or liquidity tightening, the market may be impacted, and the road to $10,000 for ETH will not be smooth, so we must remain vigilant.
This wave of market action feels like a roller coaster; don't let emotions sway you. I will keep a close eye on market conditions and policy changes every day, and I will announce new developments as soon as they arise. If you find my analysis satisfactory, scan the QR code below to join the chat room. It's not hard to find reliable analysts in the crypto space; let's seek opportunities in this volatile market and not miss out on good chances to make money.
#ETH走势分析 $BTC
There are many puzzling aspects to this operation: there are significant internal disagreements within the Federal Reserve regarding rate cuts; one faction advocates a cut of 50 basis points, while another wants a cut of 75 basis points, leaving retail investors confused and increasing market volatility.
$29.4 billion in institutional funds have positioned themselves early, and considering the liquidity situation, there may be a large influx of funds later; the Federal Reserve has held back-to-back closed-door meetings for two days, issuing alarms in the repo market, and institutions are urgently adjusting their positions, indicating that there are places in the market where funds are lacking; the interest rate meeting ended in one hour, and the lightning decision seems to be an emergency response, leaving us unsure of the underlying problems.
U.S. mining companies and related trading sectors have risen, seemingly following the same rhythm as before the last market rally. The stock market sets the stage, while the cryptocurrency space performs; it remains to be seen whether the crypto market can seize the momentum.
Many people in the crypto space are calling for ETH to surge to $10,000. Research indicates three supporting factors: ETH's leading position in the public blockchain is solid, its ecosystem is developing rapidly, and staking yields are stable, along with technical upgrades; the December upgrade will target on-chain transaction fees, significantly reducing costs and lowering the barriers for DApp usage, which is beneficial for the demand side; institutions have quietly positioned themselves early, with many having already infiltrated as seen in the holding data, and the market's enthusiasm will wait for the right moment to increase stakes.
However, the divide between hawkish and dovish stances within the Federal Reserve remains unresolved. If there is a policy shift or liquidity tightening, the market may be impacted, and the road to $10,000 for ETH will not be smooth, so we must remain vigilant.
This wave of market action feels like a roller coaster; don't let emotions sway you. I will keep a close eye on market conditions and policy changes every day, and I will announce new developments as soon as they arise. If you find my analysis satisfactory, scan the QR code below to join the chat room. It's not hard to find reliable analysts in the crypto space; let's seek opportunities in this volatile market and not miss out on good chances to make money.
#ETH走势分析 $BTC
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Global decline, US buying? Coinbase's 7-day premium reveals market fragmentation, who really determines the bottom?
Seeing this data, my first reaction is: the truly smart money in the market may be quietly moving.
The Bitcoin premium index on Coinbase has been positive for 7 consecutive days and currently stands at 0.0215%. This number seems small, but its signal significance is far more important than the number itself.
To put it bluntly, it reflects that the Bitcoin price on Coinbase, the largest compliant exchange in the US, is slightly more expensive than the global average price. Although it is only 0.0215% more expensive, the key is that it has lasted for 7 consecutive days.
This usually indicates one thing: on Coinbase, a platform dominated by US institutions and large capital, the buying power is slightly stronger than in the rest of the world. Who is buying? Most likely not retail investors. Retail behavior is dispersed, making it difficult to form a sustained premium over 7 days. This looks more like institutions or compliant large capital buying in a stable and continuous rhythm.
The Bitcoin premium index on Coinbase has been positive for 7 consecutive days and currently stands at 0.0215%. This number seems small, but its signal significance is far more important than the number itself.
To put it bluntly, it reflects that the Bitcoin price on Coinbase, the largest compliant exchange in the US, is slightly more expensive than the global average price. Although it is only 0.0215% more expensive, the key is that it has lasted for 7 consecutive days.
This usually indicates one thing: on Coinbase, a platform dominated by US institutions and large capital, the buying power is slightly stronger than in the rest of the world. Who is buying? Most likely not retail investors. Retail behavior is dispersed, making it difficult to form a sustained premium over 7 days. This looks more like institutions or compliant large capital buying in a stable and continuous rhythm.
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Laughing at FIL's drop of 200 times? What you missed is the data oil well of the AI era! When Web4 arrives, storage equals power.
$FIL The initial takeoff was due to the concept emerging just as the bull market began, which inflated the price to an unsustainable level, all of it being a bubble. Now that the price has dropped, it's merely the bubble bursting. Moreover, in the short term, decentralized storage has not yet achieved breakthroughs in practical applications, which is why the FIL price has encountered a significant decline.
However, in the previous market cycle, FIL had already firmly established itself as the leader in the decentralized storage sector. In the long run, the storage track is undoubtedly essential.
Currently, both China and the United States are vigorously developing AI. To engage in AI, besides having solid technological strength, there are two key factors: energy and computing power. The current situation is that China faces a chip shortage and insufficient computing power, leading to a lag behind the United States in the AI field; on the other hand, the U.S. has an excess of computing power but lacks energy. If this issue is not resolved, it will eventually be surpassed by China. This is also the reason why Trump designated AI as a future strategic goal for the U.S., and why Musk is launching photovoltaics on Starlink, intending to tap into space power.
However, in the previous market cycle, FIL had already firmly established itself as the leader in the decentralized storage sector. In the long run, the storage track is undoubtedly essential.
Currently, both China and the United States are vigorously developing AI. To engage in AI, besides having solid technological strength, there are two key factors: energy and computing power. The current situation is that China faces a chip shortage and insufficient computing power, leading to a lag behind the United States in the AI field; on the other hand, the U.S. has an excess of computing power but lacks energy. If this issue is not resolved, it will eventually be surpassed by China. This is also the reason why Trump designated AI as a future strategic goal for the U.S., and why Musk is launching photovoltaics on Starlink, intending to tap into space power.
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Emergency Warning! Bitcoin's rebound is extremely weak, and retail investors buying the dip may become bag holders!
Seeing this weekly report from Glassnode, I just have one feeling: this market is not fully recovered yet. The price has bounced back, and Bitcoin has touched $94,000. But if you peel away this layer of recovery, underneath there are all kinds of problems. This is not a healthy bull market recovery; it resembles a brief awakening after an injection of a stimulant—indicators look decent, but the various organs of the body are not coordinated at all.
The data doesn't lie; it's just a weak rebound. Although the price has indeed pulled back from the lows, both the spot CVD and open contracts are declining. What does this mean? Simply put, even though the price has risen, the real buying power, especially in the spot market, hasn't kept up, and the number of people opening new positions betting on an increase is also decreasing.
The data doesn't lie; it's just a weak rebound. Although the price has indeed pulled back from the lows, both the spot CVD and open contracts are declining. What does this mean? Simply put, even though the price has risen, the real buying power, especially in the spot market, hasn't kept up, and the number of people opening new positions betting on an increase is also decreasing.
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The Biggest Black Swan of 2026: The Federal Reserve's Rate Cut Space Exhausted, the Cryptocurrency Circle Shifts from a Liquidity Bull Market to a Survival Game!
Brothers, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve have subtly changed recently, and the rate cuts in 2026 may be significantly reduced. Currently, the interest rate futures market indicates that the room for rate cuts for the entire next year may be less than 75 basis points, with some of it possibly occurring in the first half of Powell's term. This means that the new chairperson in the second half of 2026 may have less than 50 basis points of rate cut ammunition.
Although inflation has fallen from its peak, most institutions predict it may still remain around 3% by 2026, far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. Trump's tariff policies and risks in the Middle East supply chain may continue to push prices up, and the new chairperson's primary task upon taking office may be to prevent inflation, rather than engage in reckless monetary easing.
Brothers, the market's expectations for the Federal Reserve have subtly changed recently, and the rate cuts in 2026 may be significantly reduced. Currently, the interest rate futures market indicates that the room for rate cuts for the entire next year may be less than 75 basis points, with some of it possibly occurring in the first half of Powell's term. This means that the new chairperson in the second half of 2026 may have less than 50 basis points of rate cut ammunition.
Although inflation has fallen from its peak, most institutions predict it may still remain around 3% by 2026, far above the Federal Reserve's target of 2%. Trump's tariff policies and risks in the Middle East supply chain may continue to push prices up, and the new chairperson's primary task upon taking office may be to prevent inflation, rather than engage in reckless monetary easing.
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Giant whales are hoarding 3.86 million ETH! The circulating supply is tightening rapidly, with the next target at $10,000?
Breaking news, the Ethereum reserves in exchanges have directly dropped to their lowest point since 2015! The circulating chips in the market are pitifully few, almost drained dry; this situation is quite rare!
Even more explosive is that large institutions are frantically buying. The latest data from crypto asset giant BitMine shows that they currently hold over 3.86 million ETH, accounting for more than 3.2% of the total supply, and they are aiming for 5%. Just last week, in a short span of time, they bought 138,000 ETH, with buying speed surging over 150%! This is clearly giant whales openly hoarding coins and locking them up, something retail investors simply cannot do.
In addition, traditional finance is also starting to make big moves. Bank of America just announced that starting in 2026, their wealth advisors will be able to directly allocate Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs for clients. What does this mean? It means a large wave of compliant funds is already waiting off the field to enter, potentially rushing in at any moment.
The current situation is very clear: on one side, the amount of ETH available for sale in exchanges is decreasing, coupled with institutions continuously hoarding coins, the circulating supply is tightening rapidly; on the other side, the compliant channels on Wall Street are about to open up, and the dual buying pressure from whales and traditional capital is imminent.
This supply-demand imbalance is on the brink of exploding; this storm has actually already arrived. Can you feel that upward momentum? With this trend, how high do you think ETH can rise?
Having been in the crypto space for a long time, I've seen too many people blindly operate without guidance or mess things up and lose badly. If this is your current situation, you can join my 聊天室 for daily real-time strategies and insights to help you avoid detours.
#以太坊市值超越Netflix $BTC
Breaking news, the Ethereum reserves in exchanges have directly dropped to their lowest point since 2015! The circulating chips in the market are pitifully few, almost drained dry; this situation is quite rare!
Even more explosive is that large institutions are frantically buying. The latest data from crypto asset giant BitMine shows that they currently hold over 3.86 million ETH, accounting for more than 3.2% of the total supply, and they are aiming for 5%. Just last week, in a short span of time, they bought 138,000 ETH, with buying speed surging over 150%! This is clearly giant whales openly hoarding coins and locking them up, something retail investors simply cannot do.
In addition, traditional finance is also starting to make big moves. Bank of America just announced that starting in 2026, their wealth advisors will be able to directly allocate Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs for clients. What does this mean? It means a large wave of compliant funds is already waiting off the field to enter, potentially rushing in at any moment.
The current situation is very clear: on one side, the amount of ETH available for sale in exchanges is decreasing, coupled with institutions continuously hoarding coins, the circulating supply is tightening rapidly; on the other side, the compliant channels on Wall Street are about to open up, and the dual buying pressure from whales and traditional capital is imminent.
This supply-demand imbalance is on the brink of exploding; this storm has actually already arrived. Can you feel that upward momentum? With this trend, how high do you think ETH can rise?
Having been in the crypto space for a long time, I've seen too many people blindly operate without guidance or mess things up and lose badly. If this is your current situation, you can join my 聊天室 for daily real-time strategies and insights to help you avoid detours.
#以太坊市值超越Netflix $BTC
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Hassett to Succeed Powell at the Federal Reserve? The Market Poured a Cold Bucket of Water: Don't Expect Too Large Rate Cuts Next Year!
The market's reaction this time has been quite calm, even overly calm. Powell has been in office for eight years and will step down next May; almost everyone thinks that Trump's economic advisor Kevin Hassett will take that position. This should be a big deal, right? A change in chairmanship could mean a shift in policy. But strangely, the market's monetary votes tell us: don't expect any earth-shattering changes.
According to data from the interest rate futures market, traders generally believe that by the end of next year, the Federal Reserve may only lower interest rates by a maximum of 75 basis points. What does 75 basis points mean? It means three standard rate cuts of 25 basis points each. Moreover, it is very likely that two of these cuts will occur in the first half of 2026 when Powell is still in office, and by the time Hassett really takes office, there may only be one more cut in the second half of 2026. This expectation is much more restrained than many people imagine regarding Trump’s appointee causing a flood of liquidity.
According to data from the interest rate futures market, traders generally believe that by the end of next year, the Federal Reserve may only lower interest rates by a maximum of 75 basis points. What does 75 basis points mean? It means three standard rate cuts of 25 basis points each. Moreover, it is very likely that two of these cuts will occur in the first half of 2026 when Powell is still in office, and by the time Hassett really takes office, there may only be one more cut in the second half of 2026. This expectation is much more restrained than many people imagine regarding Trump’s appointee causing a flood of liquidity.
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Once Japan raises interest rates, the crypto market may face a major earthquake! Why do I say this?
For the past 30 years, the world has been playing a huge capital game: borrowing yen from Japan at almost zero cost, converting it into dollars, and investing in U.S. stocks, Bitcoin, global real estate, and anything else that can appreciate. Japanese bonds can be said to be the source of global hidden wealth, and the scale of these yen arbitrage transactions is astonishing. Although no one knows the exact figures, some institutions estimate it to be over ten trillion dollars, equivalent to nearly one hundred trillion yuan flowing globally, all relying on the leverage of borrowing yen. This money has pushed up the prices of the Nasdaq, Bitcoin, gold, and all global assets.
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Drop, drop, drop! The market is urgently staging a rescue drama, this is a rehearsal for the worst-case scenario!
On Monday, retail investors were quite frightened: the US stock market fell across the board, gold prices dropped below $4200, Bitcoin once fell below $90,000, and US crude oil prices dropped below the 50-day moving average, falling to below $60. Although the overall decline is not too large, the underlying signals are alarming, with US Treasury yields continuing to rise, and the dollar also increasing. This combination, to put it simply, means that retail investors are rapidly withdrawing from risk assets.
This decline is different from the previous unclear and unowned declines; there are a whole basket of factors leading to the market drop.
This decline is different from the previous unclear and unowned declines; there are a whole basket of factors leading to the market drop.
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Trump's Cash Ability: In one sentence, 10 seconds, 5.3 million dollars, a worthless coin is born!
Trump posted a message, and 10 seconds later, a worthless coin called BIG worth 5.3 million dollars was created! This is the most brutally realistic aspect of meme coins, and I am not surprised at all by this news, only feeling both sad and absurd.
Trump complained about the NCAA on Truth Social, and the sentence included a $BIG, causing the entire cryptocurrency circle to explode. In just 10 seconds, really only 10 seconds, a meme coin called BIG was created on the Solana chain. This operation was so skilled it could be written into a textbook on how to launch a coin that rides the hot topics.
The origin of this matter is that Trump posted using BIG trouble, in the cryptocurrency circle, $ is the prefix for token codes. The reaction was that the community immediately boiled over, all guessing whether Trump was going to launch a new coin? The action was that someone or a team created the BIG token on the Solana chain through the Bonk platform in 10 seconds.
Trump complained about the NCAA on Truth Social, and the sentence included a $BIG, causing the entire cryptocurrency circle to explode. In just 10 seconds, really only 10 seconds, a meme coin called BIG was created on the Solana chain. This operation was so skilled it could be written into a textbook on how to launch a coin that rides the hot topics.
The origin of this matter is that Trump posted using BIG trouble, in the cryptocurrency circle, $ is the prefix for token codes. The reaction was that the community immediately boiled over, all guessing whether Trump was going to launch a new coin? The action was that someone or a team created the BIG token on the Solana chain through the Bonk platform in 10 seconds.
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China's black technology crushes the West! 5G and new energy dominate globally, with countries urgently realigning within 24 hours.
Macron's visit to China has been incredibly impactful, directly shaking up the global geopolitical landscape! Japan is truly bewildered this time, watching its allies pragmatically shift their stances while it finds itself caught in the middle, unable to move up or down. Even CNN in the U.S. couldn't help but say that the only country that can turn the tide now might just be China, and this strength can no longer be hidden.
China can make these countries realign based on its true capabilities, firmly sitting in second place globally in terms of economy, and experiencing rapid development in technology. We won't even mention the J-35 stealth fighter and thorium molten salt reactors, but 5G coverage is global, and the new energy industry dominates the market. From following to leading, China's actions have left the West stunned. More importantly, China has never engaged in bullying the weak or playing zero-sum games; this grand national demeanor is the core reason why countries are increasingly rallying around it.
China can make these countries realign based on its true capabilities, firmly sitting in second place globally in terms of economy, and experiencing rapid development in technology. We won't even mention the J-35 stealth fighter and thorium molten salt reactors, but 5G coverage is global, and the new energy industry dominates the market. From following to leading, China's actions have left the West stunned. More importantly, China has never engaged in bullying the weak or playing zero-sum games; this grand national demeanor is the core reason why countries are increasingly rallying around it.
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Have you been trading cryptocurrencies for over a year and still haven't made 1,000,000? Then you really need to take a good look at this article, and feel free to come chat with me, Xu Jie, afterward. I've been trading cryptocurrencies for 8 years and have made over 50,000,000 in total.
Today, I will summarize my experiences over the past seven years, including the pitfalls I've encountered, the positions I've blown, and how I've gradually recovered to achieve financial freedom, into ten points to share directly with you.
If your capital is not much, like under 100,000, don't always think about going all in. Catching one big surge in a year is enough. When the market is not moving, patiently wait; this is your greatest advantage.
People, don't think about earning money you don't understand. Before trading cryptocurrencies, practice with a demo account to train your skills, mindset, and courage. In a demo account, you can make mistakes freely, but in real trading, one big mistake can lead to total loss.
If your capital is not much, like under 100,000, don't always think about going all in. Catching one big surge in a year is enough. When the market is not moving, patiently wait; this is your greatest advantage.
People, don't think about earning money you don't understand. Before trading cryptocurrencies, practice with a demo account to train your skills, mindset, and courage. In a demo account, you can make mistakes freely, but in real trading, one big mistake can lead to total loss.
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[Emergency Evacuation] FHE is not a correction but a collapse! A daily drop of 25%, and the technicals have completely failed!
Currently focusing on $FHE . This is not normal market volatility; it is a typical high-risk asset characterized by a combination of technical collapse, severely outdated project information, and possibly accompanied by major sell-offs. I suggest you immediately stop all operations and listen to my calm analysis.
The price of FHE dropped from 0.04165 to 0.03110, a daily decline of 25.33%. Such a decline on a four-hour level indicates that the selling is persistent and severe, not a short-term wash.
Exaggerated volatility: the amplitude reached 51.86%, peaking at 0.04960 and dropping to a low of 0.02800. This kind of movement is either a manifestation of extremely unstable 'meme coin' attributes or extreme capital is engaging in matched selling to create a false appearance of liquidity.
The price of FHE dropped from 0.04165 to 0.03110, a daily decline of 25.33%. Such a decline on a four-hour level indicates that the selling is persistent and severe, not a short-term wash.
Exaggerated volatility: the amplitude reached 51.86%, peaking at 0.04960 and dropping to a low of 0.02800. This kind of movement is either a manifestation of extremely unstable 'meme coin' attributes or extreme capital is engaging in matched selling to create a false appearance of liquidity.
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Wake up! An interest rate cut does not equal a surge; your position is at risk!
Having seen the latest views from Semi-Wood Summer, I have a significant divergence of judgment with him this time. He believes this week's Fed rate cut will trigger a broad market rally, but my data shows that the market may have already priced in the good news in advance, even burying a risk of a correction.
This week's Fed interest rate cut + balance sheet expansion → liquidity relief → rallies in US stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals. Stopping the balance sheet reduction in December is similar to October 2019, and significant liquidity will only occur after Trump takes power in May next year.
Interest rate cut expectations have been 90% priced in: CME FedWatch Tool shows a 94% probability of a 25 basis point cut this week, but US stock options positions indicate that bulls are overly crowded. Signs of a liquidity trap emerging: A recent report from US banks points out that the widening corporate bond spread + soaring commercial real estate default rates may offset the liquidity improvement brought by the rate cut.
This week's Fed interest rate cut + balance sheet expansion → liquidity relief → rallies in US stocks, cryptocurrencies, and precious metals. Stopping the balance sheet reduction in December is similar to October 2019, and significant liquidity will only occur after Trump takes power in May next year.
Interest rate cut expectations have been 90% priced in: CME FedWatch Tool shows a 94% probability of a 25 basis point cut this week, but US stock options positions indicate that bulls are overly crowded. Signs of a liquidity trap emerging: A recent report from US banks points out that the widening corporate bond spread + soaring commercial real estate default rates may offset the liquidity improvement brought by the rate cut.
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The Only Opportunity to Outperform 99% of Retail Investors: Heavily Invest in These 3 Tracks Before the Federal Reserve's Official Announcement!
Everyone is watching whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates, but the real bombshell is this: the Federal Reserve is preparing to launch a monthly purchase program of $45 billion in Treasury bonds, specifically to buy short-term bonds with maturities of one year or less.
This is not QE, but it's more aggressive than QE; the official term is reserve management operations, but in essence, it's targeted liquidity injection. $45 billion per month amounts to $540 billion in a year, and it will specifically flow into the short-term market, with liquidity rushing into risk assets like opening a floodgate.
Bank of America predicts it will start in January, and Vanguard says at the latest in the second quarter of next year. In either case, the liquidity injection has already entered the countdown.
This is not QE, but it's more aggressive than QE; the official term is reserve management operations, but in essence, it's targeted liquidity injection. $45 billion per month amounts to $540 billion in a year, and it will specifically flow into the short-term market, with liquidity rushing into risk assets like opening a floodgate.
Bank of America predicts it will start in January, and Vanguard says at the latest in the second quarter of next year. In either case, the liquidity injection has already entered the countdown.
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[Emergency Warning] Is the LUNA 2.0 rebound all an illusion? Trading volume exposes the main force's scheme to lure buyers; retail investors should definitely not get on board!
To put it bluntly, this rebound is simply the main force's scheme to lure more buyers! The price rose from 0.1006 to 0.1039, seemingly an increase of 3.28%, but the data is all slapping the face.
The technical aspect fundamentally does not hold up; the trading volume directly exposes the issue: there are only 12,600,000 now, which is less than half of the 5-day average volume of 23,800,000, and the 10-day average volume of 46,980,000 is even four times that. This kind of volume-less rise is 100% a false move.
Key moving averages are pressing down on the price: the price of 0.1039 can't even touch the edges of EMA7 and MA7. If the short-term moving averages can't break through, how can we talk about a reversal?
MACD is still struggling underwater: both DIF and DEA are below the zero axis, and the MACD bars are still negative. The bearish power has not weakened at all; the rebound is merely a technical pull.
The technical aspect fundamentally does not hold up; the trading volume directly exposes the issue: there are only 12,600,000 now, which is less than half of the 5-day average volume of 23,800,000, and the 10-day average volume of 46,980,000 is even four times that. This kind of volume-less rise is 100% a false move.
Key moving averages are pressing down on the price: the price of 0.1039 can't even touch the edges of EMA7 and MA7. If the short-term moving averages can't break through, how can we talk about a reversal?
MACD is still struggling underwater: both DIF and DEA are below the zero axis, and the MACD bars are still negative. The bearish power has not weakened at all; the rebound is merely a technical pull.
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CZ calls for national teams to take over? Is Bitcoin really reaching 50 million? 3 key points for retail investors to plan ahead!
Upon seeing this news, my first feeling was one of caution rather than excitement. As the founder of the world's largest cryptocurrency exchange, Zhao Changpeng publicly advocates that national teams should buy Bitcoin, or they may have to acquire it at 50 million dollars each in the future. Such remarks have gone beyond ordinary bullish market perspectives and are filled with incitement and irresponsible exaggerated expectations.
CZ recently stated in an interview that he is informing world leaders that if they do not buy Bitcoin now, they may have to purchase it at a price of 50 million dollars each in the future. This statement was quickly spread by key opinion leaders in the crypto community, such as The Bitcoin Historian.
CZ recently stated in an interview that he is informing world leaders that if they do not buy Bitcoin now, they may have to purchase it at a price of 50 million dollars each in the future. This statement was quickly spread by key opinion leaders in the crypto community, such as The Bitcoin Historian.
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