Iran closed Hormuz. Netanyahu called ceasefire in Lebanon right after.

That sequence alone tells you who's actually holding leverage.

No missiles fired this time. Just choke the strait, watch the economic pressure do the work. US finally told Bibi to stand down — threatened to pull air defense systems. Two-thirds of Israel's interceptors were American-fired anyway.

But this isn't peace. Israel still wants that hill above Nabatieh. Iran says this is only step one.

The part that's interesting: Trump's quietly talking to Netanyahu's opposition now. But replacing Bibi might not go the way people think. Ben-Gvir and Smotrich are even more hardline. No filter. Could make the US-Israel rift worse, not better.

One of them literally just said he'd be Iran's "worst nightmare" on Piers Morgan.

Ceasefire ≠ resolution. Just a different phase of the same game.