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$XRP has returned to a level that one analyst believes could decide its next major move. A fresh chart shared by crypto analyst ChartNerd (@ChartNerdTA) compares the current market structure to XRP’s breakout pattern before its 2017 rally.
The comparison centers on a familiar technical sequence rather than price alone. The latest move has brought XRP closer to a key retest that the analyst believes could shape the next stage of the trend.
In his post, ChartNerd wrote that the long-awaited retest is now closer than ever to reaching a previous 6-year neckline of resistance. He added that a successful move could create the launchpad for future targets of $8, $13, and $ 27.
👉A Familiar Structure Returns
The chart compares two different periods in XRP’s history. The first shows when XRP broke above a descending trendline after years of consolidation. It then revisited that breakout level before beginning a strong advance in 2017.
The larger pattern follows a similar sequence. XRP broke above another long-term descending resistance line in late 2024 when it experienced a massive rally. However, momentum shifted in 2025. The asset faced bearish pressure in the second half of the year, and XRP has spent months gradually falling toward that trendline.
The highlighted green area, labeled “RETEST” marks the zone where the analyst expects the asset to revisit the previous resistance, which could now serve as support.
👉Fibonacci Levels Set the Next Price Objectives
ChartNerd’s chart also plots Fibonacci extension levels above the current trading range. The highlighted targets sit at approximately $8.42, $13.60, and $27.12, corresponding to the 1.272, 1.414, and 1.618 extension levels.
An upward arrow extends from the retest area toward those levels, illustrating the path outlined in the analysis. The chart presents the retest as the final technical step before a possible continuation toward these new highs.
The comparison with the earlier XRP cycle also relies on the idea that a former resistance level can become support after a breakout. Technical analysts often monitor this type of price action because it can strengthen confidence in a breakout before momentum resumes.
👉Focus Shifts to the Retest Zone
For now, the chart is spotlighting whether XRP completes the anticipated retest. ChartNerd described this phase as closer than ever to revisiting the previous 6-year neckline of resistance.
If that sequence develops as shown on the chart, the analyst believes it could provide the foundation for the next advance toward $8, $13, and $27, a target the analyst has previously described as inevitable.
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$XRP Jake Claver, a crypto expert and prominent XRP advocate, recently sparked reactions after congratulating XRP holders for being ahead of the curve.
He told them they are “early to something a lot of people haven’t connected the dots on yet.” He credited their position to their focus instead of luck, saying, “It means you’re paying attention.”
👉Varied Reactions Across the Community
The response from XRP holders was substantial. Some expressed skepticism about timing, with one commenter noting that bullish predictions for XRP have circulated across multiple market cycles, as price appreciation remains elusive. He described it as a game of “pin the tail on the donkey.” Others asked directly about timeframes for expected price movement, as Claver did not outline a specific timeline.
One commenter noted that 60% of XRP holders are currently at a loss. He questioned whether congratulations are appropriate. Another pointed out that XRP was designed to channel capital into Ripple’s development, pushing the idea that Ripple sells XRP to profit at the expense of the community. He argued that holders have not historically benefited and directed people toward Bitcoin.
Several responses showed genuine optimism. One person said his retirement plan rests on XRP’s performance. Another shared his hope that XRP would rise to $50 by 2030. One commenter said he bought a small amount of XRP, hoping it accelerates his path to early retirement.
Others focused on the ecosystem. XRP Healthcare, the official account for one of the most prominent projects in the ecosystem, highlights the infrastructure being built on the XRP Ledger as the real opportunity, which extends well beyond the token itself.
👉The Opportunity Claver Is Watching
Claver has been one of XRP’s most vocal supporters for years. He has set price targets in the thousands of dollars for the asset. He focuses on institutional adoption, the digital asset regulatory clarity, and its utility in cross-border payments. Considering these factors, many commenters were bullish.
👉What Comes Next?
XRP currently operates in a market that is watching for two things: regulatory movement in the U.S. and institutional inflows. Both are active, with the CLARITY Act progressing through Congress while institutional adoption rises through spot XRP ETFs and other products.
While XRP’s price has not fully reflected this development, Claver and his community are paying attention. In his view, that alone puts them ahead.
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$XRP may be entering a period where technical signals favor a rebound after an extended decline. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez (@ali_charts) shared charts highlighting two separate bullish indicators as both appear after a sustained pullback.
The setup has attracted attention because both signals emerged at the same point in the trend, giving traders fresh levels to monitor over the coming sessions.
His analysis centers on a Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential buy signal and a Morning Star Doji candlestick pattern. He also said that if buying volume accelerates, XRP could rise toward $ 1.30.
👉TD Sequential Prints Buy Signal
The first signal comes from the TD Sequential indicator. Martinez said it has printed a buy signal through a “9” candlestick. According to his post, that pattern has historically anticipated “a one-to-four daily candlestick relief rebound.”
On the attached chart, the 9 appears immediately after XRP completed a prolonged decline. The indicator typically signals that bearish momentum has weakened and that buyers could begin to regain control. While the signal does not guarantee a rally, traders often watch for confirmation of higher prices and stronger trading volume.
👉Morning Star Doji Forms Near Recent Low
Martinez also highlighted a Morning Star Doji pattern that developed across the past three daily candles. The chart outlines a large bearish candle, followed by a small doji of indecision, then a strong bullish candle that closes above the doji.
This pattern is widely used to identify localized bottoms after extended declines. In XRP’s case, the final bullish candle shows buyers stepped back into the market after the recent selling pressure eased. The appearance of this pattern alongside the TD signal gives traders two technical indicators backing the same outlook.
👉What’s Next for XRP?
Not everyone is optimistic, as one community member called out Martinez. He pointed to a recent post by the analyst, potentially hinting at buying opportunities as low as $0.15.
However, Martinez is clear on his analysis. He pointed out that volume will play an important role in determining whether the recovery continues. He said the bullish setup depends on buying volume accelerating from current levels.
His analysis identifies $1.30 as the next upside objective if buying momentum continues to strengthen. That target sits well above XRP’s current price near $1.074 and would bring it close to $1.33, which it fell from at the start of June.
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$XRP has reached a milestone that many traders watch closely during market resets. Open interest across major exchanges has fallen to its lowest level since the July 2025 rally. At the same time, XRP has declined from well above $3.20 to about $1.03, leaving the derivatives market in a very different position than it was at the peak.
Crypto commentator Xaif highlighted the shift in a recent post, writing that XRP open interest “just hit its lowest point since the July 2025 run started.”
The accompanying chart shows open interest across stablecoin margined contracts on major exchanges falling from a peak of about 1.3 billion to less than 150 million.
👉A Market Reset Takes Shape
According to Xaif, the move reflects a complete reset in leveraged positions. The asset hit an all-time high of $3.65 in July 2025, and the post noted that “leverage got completely flushed out” as XRP fell.
The CryptoQuant chart supports that view. It tracks aggregate open interest across exchanges, including Binance, Bybit, Bitfinex, OKX, Kraken, and BitMEX. Open interest climbed sharply during XRP’s mid-2025 rally, before gradually declining as XRP fell further in subsequent months.
The combined figure has now dropped below 150 million, the lowest reading shown since the rally began. XRP’s price followed a similar path over the same period. The asset is now testing support near $1.10 as speculative activity has cooled.
👉Fresh Conditions Replace Heavy Leverage
For many traders, the declining open interest can signal that excessive leverage has left the market. Instead of a large number of highly leveraged positions competing in the same direction, participation becomes less dependent on borrowed capital.
Xaif summed up that shift by writing, “no crowded longs. No overleveraged traders. just a clean slate.” Many market participants see this type of reset as a healthier starting point. Heavy leverage can increase volatility because liquidations often accelerate price swings.
With fewer leveraged positions remaining, price movements may rely more on spot demand than forced liquidations in the futures market. That does not guarantee a rally, but it does leave the market with fewer leveraged positions that could amplify volatility.
👉Attention Turns to the Next Phase
With leverage now near its lowest level since the July 2025 rally, traders will watch to see whether fresh capital enters the market. If participation increases from these reduced levels, attention will shift toward whether XRP can establish a stronger foundation for its next sustained move.
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$XRP Crypto analyst EGRAG CRYPTO (@egragcrypto) has shared a fresh long-term outlook for XRP, which places the token within a macro target range of $6 to $27.
His latest monthly chart uses Fibonacci extension levels across three separate market cycles to explain how previous price action could shape the next major advance.
The analysis identifies three color-coded cycles. Each one carries its own 1.618 Fibonacci extension target. While the projected values differ, the analyst believes they all support the same long-term direction for XRP.
👉Monthly Chart Shows Three Fibonacci Targets
The chart compares XRP’s major market cycles through red, green, and blue sections.
The red cycle carries the highest projection. It places the 1.618 Fibonacci extension at $27, a level the analyst has repeated for years. The green cycle produces a more conservative target of $6.2. The latest blue cycle sits between them with a projected 1.618 extension at $ 9.6.
👉Current Structure Mirrors Earlier Cycles
The chart also highlights a long-term rising trendline that has supported XRP through several market phases. The asset continues to trade above that trendline after its strong rally in late 2024 and early 2025.
Within the current blue cycle, XRP reached a peak of $3.65 before retracement. The chart now shows the asset trading near the lower Fibonacci levels around the 0.236 extension. That area sits close to the rising support line, where the long-term structure remains intact.
Rather than suggesting each cycle reaches the same price, the chart applies the same Fibonacci measurement to each. That approach produces different 1.618 extension targets based on the size of each cycle. In his analysis, the green cycle generates a $6.2 projection, while the current blue cycle produces a higher target of $9.6.
👉The Long-Term Sell Strategy
The analyst also outlined how he plans to approach the current cycle. His strategy calls for dollar-cost averaging (DCA). He plans to keep accumulating XRP during periods of market fear, gradually selling portions of his holdings as the price climbs and keeping a core position for the long term.
Rather than trying to exit at the exact peak, he emphasized disciplined execution while remaining exposed to the potential upside within his projected macro target range of $6.2-$ 27.
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$XRP may have reached a major turning point, according to crypto analyst Dark Defender (@DefendDark). In a recent post on X, he stated that “XRP completed the Wave 4 correction.” He followed that view with a clear price target, adding, “See you at $8.76. (NFA).”
His latest chart outlines an Elliott Wave structure that suggests XRP could begin a new impulsive move after completing a lengthy correction.
👉Elliott Wave Count Targets a Strong Advance
Dark Defender’s weekly XRP chart presents a completed five-wave advance. This move began after XRP’s peak above $3, which followed its 500% rally in late 2024. What followed was a corrective ABC phase, which appears to have finished at the Wave C low. This point also marks the end of Wave 4 within the larger Elliott Wave cycle.
The Wave C low also ends near the $0.93 level, which aligns with the 100% Fibonacci retracement displayed on the chart. With that level now tested, the next projected move begins with Wave 5. The blue projection on the chart places the Wave 5 target near $8.76, which sits close to the 644.40% Fibonacci extension.
👉RSI Pattern Mirrors the Previous Bottom
Dark Defender also highlights the RSI on the weekly chart. He circles two areas marked as RSI bottoms. The first appeared before XRP launched into its sharp rally in late 2024. The second appears at the current stage of the correction, which intensified in early June.
The chart suggests that the RSI has returned to a similar oversold region while the asset’s price has completed its corrective structure. By placing both RSI lows side by side, the analyst presents a repeating pattern that previously preceded a powerful rally.
The analyst noted that this is not financial advice, but the combined signals on the chart support his bullish outlook.
👉The Path to $8.76?
Several Fibonacci extension levels appear above the current price. The first major level sits around $1.88, while another appears near $5.85. Dark Defender has previously highlighted these targets, and his analysis suggests an ultimate target of $8.76 for this cycle.
These levels represent potential areas where XRP could encounter increased trading activity if the projected Wave 5 develops as shown on the chart. Intriguingly, the chart shows another Fibonacci extension level at $18.22 (Fib. 361.80%). While that target is not in play for this cycle, previous analysis of the chart suggest that XRP could eventually reach it.
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$XRP Ripple’s expansion in Europe has gained renewed attention after crypto enthusiast Kenny Nguyen pointed to July 1, 2026, as the date when the company’s payment services are expected to go live across the region.
His comments followed Ripple’s recent regulatory breakthrough in Luxembourg, which positions the company to expand its presence across the European Economic Area significantly.
In a series of posts on X, Nguyen celebrated the development by writing, “Wednesday, July 1, 2026… Ripple Payments go live across Europe,” accompanied by rocket emojis and an enthusiastic “BOOOOOOM!” He presented the launch as a major milestone for Ripple’s European ambitions, suggesting that the company is entering a new phase of regulated operations within the region.
The posts reference Ripple’s announcement that it has received preliminary approval for a Crypto Asset Service Provider (CASP) license from Luxembourg’s Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (CSSF) under the European Union’s Markets in Crypto-Assets (MiCA) framework.
👉Regulatory Approval Opens the Door for Expansion
According to Ripple’s announcement, the preliminary approval comes in the form of a “Green Light Letter” and remains subject to final conditions before the license becomes fully effective. Once finalized, the authorization will allow Ripple to offer regulated cryptoasset services to financial institutions and businesses throughout all 30 countries within the European Economic Area.
The company described the approval as an important step in expanding its blockchain-based enterprise solutions across traditional and digital finance. By operating under the MiCA regulatory framework, Ripple will be able to provide compliant payment and digital asset services across multiple European jurisdictions through a single regulatory authorization.
Nguyen’s post focused on the expected July 1 implementation date, presenting it as the moment Ripple Payments officially becomes operational throughout Europe following the regulatory process.
👉Nguyen Contrasts Ripple’s Progress With Binance
Alongside his comments on Ripple, Nguyen also claimed that the European Union had rejected Binance’s MiCA license application. He stated that, effective July 1, 2026, Binance would no longer offer payment services in Europe.
His post contrasted Ripple’s regulatory progress with Binance’s reported position, suggesting that Ripple is strengthening its foothold in the European market as MiCA’s regulatory standards continue to reshape the competitive landscape for digital asset service providers.
While Ripple’s preliminary CASP approval has been officially announced, Nguyen’s remarks regarding Binance reflect his interpretation of developments surrounding the exchange’s European operations.
As the MiCA framework continues to take effect across the European Union, regulatory authorization has become increasingly important for crypto firms seeking to serve customers across the region. Ripple’s latest approval represents a significant step toward that objective, and Kenny Nguyen’s posts underscore the attention the development has received within the cryptocurrency community ahead of the anticipated July 1 rollout.
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$XRP The progress of the CLARITY Act remains one of the most closely watched developments for the U.S. digital asset industry, with many XRP holders following every legislative update for signs of greater regulatory certainty.
Although Congress has entered a two-week recess, recent commentary suggests negotiations are continuing behind the scenes as lawmakers work to resolve several outstanding issues before the bill returns to the Senate floor.
Crypto commentator X Finance Bull recently summarized the latest developments shared by journalist Eleanor Terrett, explaining why the coming weeks could prove important despite the temporary slowdown in public legislative activity.
👉Congress Recesses, but CLARITY Act Negotiations Continue
According to X Finance Bull’s tweet, Congress will remain in recess until July 13, reducing the flow of legislative news from Capitol Hill. However, the commentator stressed that negotiations are expected to continue throughout the break as lawmakers, congressional staff, administration officials, and industry participants attempt to narrow remaining differences.
Referencing Eleanor Terrett’s latest update, X Finance Bull explained that Senate Republicans have renewed their urgency to move the CLARITY Act forward.
That increased focus follows recent developments surrounding a bipartisan housing bill after President Donald Trump indicated he would not sign it until Congress passed separate voter-identification legislation. The episode highlighted how limited Senate floor time has become and reinforced the need to advance priority legislation before the legislative calendar becomes even tighter.
The commentator noted that Senate Majority Leader John Thune has publicly maintained that passing the CLARITY Act remains a priority while acknowledging that lawmakers are running short on time to resolve several unresolved provisions before a vote can be scheduled.
👉Key Issues Still Await Resolution
X Finance Bull explained that several significant issues remain under negotiation before the legislation can proceed.
The most prominent topic involves an ethics framework related to President Trump’s cryptocurrency businesses. According to Terrett, Democratic Senators Ruben Gallego and Angela Alsobrooks have indicated that their continued support depends on whether the final legislation contains ethics provisions they consider sufficiently robust.
Beyond the ethics debate, negotiators are also working through the Banking Regulatory Clarity Act (BRCA), which has drawn opposition from several law enforcement organizations and other groups that argue certain language could complicate efforts to combat criminal activity involving digital assets.
The merged legislative text between the Senate Banking and Agriculture Committees also remains unfinished. Outstanding discussions reportedly include state preemption, exchange conflict-of-interest rules, affiliate trading provisions, and continued pressure from banking groups regarding stablecoin yield provisions.
According to the update, lawmakers are expected to exchange draft language during the congressional recess to resolve these remaining differences before lawmakers return to Washington.
👉Timeline Remains Tight Despite Optimism
Looking ahead, X Finance Bull said Thune has suggested that a Senate vote on the CLARITY Act could take place during the week of July 20 or shortly afterward, following consideration of the annual defense authorization bill.
The commentator also highlighted differing views regarding the bill’s chances this year. Galaxy Digital Head of Research Alex Thorn reportedly reduced his estimated probability of passage in 2026 from 60% to 50%, noting the shrinking legislative calendar, the absence of a scheduled floor vote, and unresolved policy questions.
However, Thorn also noted that a 50% probability remains relatively favorable for legislation of this scale and suggested that visible progress during negotiations could quickly improve those odds.
For XRP holders and the broader digital asset community, the next several weeks may therefore prove critical. While Congress remains out of session, negotiations continue behind closed doors, and any meaningful breakthrough before lawmakers return could significantly improve the prospects for one of the cryptocurrency industry’s most closely watched pieces of legislation.
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