Four days since the quoted DOWNTREND signal and $XAG / #Silver has fallen from $79.5 all the way down to $66 and established the key $72-73 zone as resistance.
I also predicted a quick dive below $64.5 and even as low as $61, and this could happen when the trading starts again in less than 10 hours time.
There is, however, a more bullish scenario due to an appeareance of a BULLISH BAT harmonic pattern, which initially showed a textbook reversal behaviour after dipping to $66 and recovering up to $72..
We are in a clear DOWNTREND and that turned out a LOWER HIGH once again, so I expect a LOWER LOW next, my orders are set between the 200 SMA on 1D ($56.5, RSI is below 10 on 1D, entering mega OVERSOLD territory) and $64.5.
Long-term, $SILVER has been in a strong UPTREND after breaking above $50, as long as as above, looking to get on some LONGS.
Elliot WAVE logic has pointed to an upcoming WAVE 4 (to the upside, targetting $75/$78 as well).
All we need to do here is to stick to basics: buy strong assets in very OVERSOLD conditions and otherwise stay defensive with the capital until the war is over.
💙👽
Cold Blooded Charter
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Back on 1 Dec 2025 (quoted post), before the explosive part of the #Silver bullrun, before the price crossed $60 I predicted $100+ in the first quarter of this year and that's what happened.
Now that the public participation phase has cooled off, the DAILY and 12-HOUR charts have changed their market structure into bearish after a lower low ($76+). Also crossed below 50 MA on both of these mentioned mid-term timeframes, and additionally broken down below the TRIANGLE.
Not looking good on that front.
I have no leveraged positions atm and all the spot (physical) intact—never sold a coin, in it for much longer.
At the moment, fresh off a lower low, the nearest support sits at $73 and we don't really wanna see the price established below, only a liquidation wick, even below $64.5 (this year's low).
I would need an RSI divergence to enter silver tbh, or a BREAKOUT above the trendline/50 MA/horizontal level confluence followed by a retest/bullish market structure change.
For the time being, nothing to do here. $XAG is more sensitive to the war situation than #GOLD , it seems.
I haven't posted anything on $HYPE since the quoted post from early NOVEMBER 2025, when I set the targets for the BREAKDOWN below $40. All targets were reached, including the $20 mark — twice.
4+ months later, the price action has been strong for 9 weeks since the $20+ low in late January. This DAILY chart is actually very BULLISH (above the 200 MA, with the 50 MA poised to cross above the 200 MA and form a GOLDEN CROSS). There are 2 clear IMPULSIVE waves to the upside; the most recent one was rejected just below $44, but there should normally be at least one more.
So what's the strategy?
I would only enter after a nice, technical correction (WAVE 4), so put the BUY ZONE between $36.8 and $32 (stop loss on a candle close below $29.5).
There is lots of support around this zone and a very optimistic target of $69, remembering that there is a FALLING WEDGE breakout in play.
One important thing that's missing is VOLUME. I need to see a healthy spike — at least on lower timeframes — in order to take this trade.
It's been way too low recently, which is a major red flag.
The DAILY chart is looking much better than most coins, so I definitely need to see volume first.
$HYPE - short position doing okay. My TAKE PROFIT levels will be based on ELLIOT WAVES for now, pretty deep — in case of a flash crash, which might just happen as Bitcoin struggles around the $100K mark.
So, $33.25 and $27.5 — these 2 levels — and leaving some 33% of the SHORT size hoping for much lower prices potentially.
DEATH CROSS on the 4-HOUR chart, and that confluence of key MOVING AVERAGES (50/200 MA) could easily be used as STOP LOSS levels.
Close above these, and it's an EXIT with only a small loss. #Hyperliquid enters a phase of increased supply, I see much lower numbers soon unless the risk-off climate changes.
Long story short, $XAU GOLD is mega oversold (RSI 8 on the DAILY) and it's an automatic LONG for me, we also have a nice bonus in the form of a symmetrical TRIANGLE with three touches on a lower trendline.
STOP LOSS at $4350, below the horizontal level (stop loss after a daily candle close).
Back on 1 Dec 2025 (quoted post), before the explosive part of the #Silver bullrun, before the price crossed $60 I predicted $100+ in the first quarter of this year and that's what happened.
Now that the public participation phase has cooled off, the DAILY and 12-HOUR charts have changed their market structure into bearish after a lower low ($76+). Also crossed below 50 MA on both of these mentioned mid-term timeframes, and additionally broken down below the TRIANGLE.
Not looking good on that front.
I have no leveraged positions atm and all the spot (physical) intact—never sold a coin, in it for much longer.
At the moment, fresh off a lower low, the nearest support sits at $73 and we don't really wanna see the price established below, only a liquidation wick, even below $64.5 (this year's low).
I would need an RSI divergence to enter silver tbh, or a BREAKOUT above the trendline/50 MA/horizontal level confluence followed by a retest/bullish market structure change.
For the time being, nothing to do here. $XAG is more sensitive to the war situation than #GOLD , it seems.
💙👽
Cold Blooded Charter
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صاعد
No stopping this one. $SILVER should cost $100+ in 2026.
Just posting this call so that I can quote it in the future.
🌌Mission accomplished🥂 for #silver and what a year it's been. Closed the entire 10 x LONG so now I only have physical silver left, three digit targets are on my mind but that's to be done in Q1 2026, most likely.
I am going to get back into my positions on this LONG for sure, it's going to be a multi-year long rally without a doubt as far as I'm concerned. But the first quarter of the year should be amazing despite the incoming correction.
Overheated at 89 RSI on the DAILY and much more overheated at 95.8 on the WEEKLY.
Overheating combined with the TRIANGLE target hitting at $71.7. So I'm a buyer again but lower, between $58 - $62. Not impossible to retest $51 at the lowest, I doubt it that happens, but COULD.
Or it could carry on to the UPSIDE, so definitely not SHORTING this rocket. But hoping for a correction, obviously.
30 October quoted, when I entered $platinum and it was a perfect combo of fundamental strength (multi-year shortages in production vs demand) and technicals.
$2300 right now and also 20%+ since my last update when I took first profits at mid-$1.8k.
8% up in SPOT PRICE just in the recent 24 hours.
Overheated, obviously. Similar to $silver. You know the drill.
Mad Q4 for all metals and this sector should remain hot in Q1 2026.
🌌💙👽🌌
Cold Blooded Charter
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صاعد
It seems like Binance SQUARE doesn't like my metals/platinum posts today. Cannot publish.
🌌Mission accomplished🥂 for #silver and what a year it's been. Closed the entire 10 x LONG so now I only have physical silver left, three digit targets are on my mind but that's to be done in Q1 2026, most likely.
I am going to get back into my positions on this LONG for sure, it's going to be a multi-year long rally without a doubt as far as I'm concerned. But the first quarter of the year should be amazing despite the incoming correction.
Overheated at 89 RSI on the DAILY and much more overheated at 95.8 on the WEEKLY.
Overheating combined with the TRIANGLE target hitting at $71.7. So I'm a buyer again but lower, between $58 - $62. Not impossible to retest $51 at the lowest, I doubt it that happens, but COULD.
Or it could carry on to the UPSIDE, so definitely not SHORTING this rocket. But hoping for a correction, obviously.
Merry Christmas🌌👽💙🌌🌠
Cold Blooded Charter
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صاعد
$SILVER.
Taking some profits at $68.4 and $71.5.
Not selling any physical silver anytime soon.
You do you.
Crypto has been gay all year and that's not gonna change anytime soon.