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Bitcoin is closing the year with heavy fear across the market. Many traders feel tired and unsure. Prices have dropped hard in the last quarter and confidence is low. Bitcoin is down around twenty three percent in this period. This makes it one of the weakest final quarters in its history. Only one past year saw a bigger fall.

Even with this mood Binance founder Changpeng Zhao shared a calm message during Christmas. His view was simple. Fear is not always bad. In his words people who made money before did not buy at the top. They bought when fear doubt and worry were everywhere. He told traders to buy fear instead of spreading panic.

This idea is not new in Bitcoin history. Extreme fear has often appeared near major turning points. In late two thousand twenty four Bitcoin traded near fifty four thousand dollars when fear was high. Many people thought the rally was over. A few months later price doubled and crossed one hundred thousand dollars. The mood flipped completely.

A similar case appeared in early two thousand twenty five. Global trade tension pushed markets lower and Bitcoin fell close to seventy seven thousand dollars. Fear returned again. Later in the year Bitcoin climbed strongly and reached above one hundred twenty six thousand dollars by October. These moments show why fear is often watched closely by long term holders.

Still not everyone agrees that a rebound is close. Some analysts believe price can fall further and weakness could last into early two thousand twenty six. A few loud voices remain fully bearish. Yet Bitcoin traders often treat extreme negative calls as a sign the bottom may be near. This split view shows how uncertain the market really is right now.

One area offering quiet support is mining behavior. Miners play a key role because they create new Bitcoin and decide when to sell. When miners panic and sell heavily price usually suffers. Today that pressure looks limited. Miners are not rushing to sell their coins.

There are two levels many watch. One is the miner break even price which reflects what miners need to stay healthy. The other is the cost to produce one Bitcoin which includes power and equipment. In past cycles Bitcoin did not stay long below these levels. At present production cost sits near eighty thousand dollars and price has been holding around that zone.

Data shows miners are mostly holding rather than dumping coins. This suggests they expect better prices ahead. If demand improves this behavior can support a recovery. Exchange traded fund demand could help if it returns. Broader market factors also matter. Tax season and economic policy in early two thousand twenty six may affect risk assets including Bitcoin.

Fear still dominates today. But history shows fear has often rewarded patience. CZ believes this time is no different. Miners are calm sellers are limited and long term structure remains intact. Nothing is guaranteed. But for many Bitcoin has always moved forward after moments like this.
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