hype

兄弟们注意了！$HYPE 的行情可能要变天了！就在刚才，链上大佬“山寨空军车头”突然调仓——这是什么信号？是看涨还是看跌？别急，周易带你用一张图+一条消息，说清楚HYPE今天到底怎么走！
消息面：

“山寨空军车头”最近动作很微妙，他平掉了不少山寨币空单，却单独加仓HYPE现货并对冲空单，仓位已达780万美元。
这人在币圈是出了名的“反指嗅觉”，过去累计盈利超8000万美元。他这么做，说明HYPE短期可能震荡加剧，既怕踏空又怕被套——这种时候，往往就是变盘前兆！
技术面：

从1小时图看，HYPE整体还在下跌趋势里。上方压力重重，25.7和25.1都是硬骨头，尤其是25.1这个“回调压力位”，冲不过去就容易掉头向下。
下方支撑先看24.7，跌破就看24.2，最强支撑在23.8。
MACD黄白线虽然上了0轴，但金叉转死叉——这是典型的“反弹乏力”信号，小心再次回落！

个人观点：
周易认为，HYPE今天大概率继续向下试探，先看24.7能否撑住。如果撑不住，23.8附近会是这波阶段底。但如果突然放量冲破25.1，那就可能快速测试25.7。不过，结合“车头”的对冲行为和MACD死叉，我更倾向它还会跌一跌，别急着抄底！
玩家建议：
如果你仓位重，趁反弹到25.1附近减仓，留子弹等23.8。
如果你轻仓或空仓，24.7附近可以小仓位试多，止损放在24.2下方。
记住：现在不是ALL IN的时候，等方向明朗再动手！

行情瞬息万变，策略也要灵活。如果你今晚真的不知道怎么办——那就先观望，找到周易帮你分析,陪你一起盯盘，一起吃肉。我是周易，专注行情分析与心理博弈。
你是不是那个——等风来的人？什么时候能布局，周易会在村里公布，赴宴周易村见！#hype

Hyperliquid has been having a tough time for weeks now. The Hyperliquid token was once worth fifty dollars but then people who wanted to sell started to take over. The price of Hyperliquid started to go down. It kept falling until it reached a low point of around twenty two dollars. Now Hyperliquid is trading at around twenty four dollars and it is losing value on a daily and weekly basis. People are not feeling very confident, about Hyperliquid and a lot of people are still trying to sell, which is putting more pressure on the price of Hyperliquid.
The Hyper Foundation had to do something about the pressure they were getting. So they made a decision after the people in charge voted on it. They got rid of than thirty seven million HYPE tokens. These HYPE tokens were worth around nine hundred twelve million dollars at the price they were going for at that time. The Hyper Foundation got these HYPE tokens, from the Assistance Fund. The Assistance Fund had been buying back HYPE tokens. Putting them away since December of last year.
The buyback effort was going along smoothly. The foundation was spending around one and a half million dollars every day to buy tokens from the market. Last week they used more than twelve million dollars to buy almost five hundred thousand tokens. The buyback effort the buyback effort was really working out. Over time the total tokens in the fund went up from around nine million tokens to than thirty seven million tokens. The foundation was buying a lot of tokens the tokens and this was making the total holdings, in the fund grow.
The vote passed with strong support. Then these tokens were sent to an address that nobody can get to. This means the tokens were gone for good. They were permanently removed from circulation. Because of this around eleven to thirteen percent of the tokens that people could use were cut. This change makes the tokens harder to get. It improves the scarcity of the tokens. The scarcity of the tokens is better now.
Token burns often try to cut down the pressure to sell. When there are tokens around people who want to sell them do not have as much power in the market. In the past when this kind of thing happened it helped to make prices more steady. Sometimes they even went back up. Token burns do not mean that the price of tokens will definitely go up but they can change the way the market works. Token burns can make a difference, in the market for tokens.
The spot market data shows something. It looks like people are taking tokens out of exchanges than they are putting in. For a days now more tokens have been leaving exchanges than coming in. This means that people who own tokens would rather keep them to themselves of leaving them on trading platforms. When there are not many tokens, on exchanges it is easier to buy them without the price going down. This happens because there is pressure to sell the tokens.
The Netflow data is really interesting because it shows that about five million dollars is flowing out. This tells us that the supply of something, on the market is getting smaller. When you have supply and people still want to buy things it can help the market go back up if the buyers keep buying. The Netflow data is important here because it gives us an idea of what's happening with the supply.
Things are looking up for momentum indicators. For the time in more than two weeks momentum indicators show that people who want to buy something are more active than people who want to sell. The average movement of people who think things will get better is going up. The movement of people who think things will get worse is going down. This change shows that more people are getting interested, in buying momentum indicators even though there are still some people who want to sell momentum indicators. Momentum indicators are getting attention from buyers.
If people who want to buy HYPE keep stepping in and the demand for HYPE gets better HYPE could go up to around thirty dollars first. If things keep going and people start to feel more confident about HYPE it is possible that HYPE could move towards forty dollars. The bad situation with HYPE has gotten a little better. The price of HYPE still depends on people keeping up their demand, for HYPE.
There is still a risk with this. If the effect of the burn starts to wear off and buyers are not interested in it anymore the price of it could go down again. If the price goes below twenty dollars it could get as low, as nineteen dollars.
For now the market shows early signs of balance returning. The token burn reduced supply and helped calm sentiment. Whether this is enough to fuel a full recovery depends on buyers staying active and confident in the days ahead.
#hype #CryptoNewss #cryptooinsigts

看到链上数据，我坐不住了，必须马上和你们聊聊HYPE！因为盘面和一个重磅消息，正在上演一场惊天对决。

一边是“巨鲸”的疯狂抄底：

​ 就在过去24小时，几个神秘巨鲸钱包，豪掷超过2700万美金，疯狂扫货HYPE！其中有个大佬，两个月悄悄买了1158万美金。这说明什么？在玩家恐慌抛售时，这些“聪明钱”正在贪婪地接盘。他们看到的，是不是我们没看到的未来？这背后藏着第一个钩子：巨鲸的成本均价就在26-27美元附近，这和当前脆弱的盘面，形成了巨大悬念。
每个人的仓位大小不同，建议找到南汐，成为南汐村民，同步进场建仓，南汐帮你规划仓位，控制风险！

但我们再看4小时K线：

走势却让人心凉——价格一路下跌，MACD白黄线都掉到0轴下面了，眼看金叉转死叉，卖盘还比买盘多。这明明是“大户在买，散户在跑”的节奏啊！
那问题来了：今天HYPE是会往上冲26的关键位，甚至摸到28的压力？还是继续往下砸，跌破23.5的支撑，甚至直奔21的强撑？

南汐的观点很明确：短期先看反弹，但别上头！
为什么？因为消息面显示有大钱进场，他们可不是来做慈善的。但技术面又确实弱，价格还没稳。所以接下来很可能会在23.5附近试探支撑，如果撑住了，会有一波小反弹，到时候26附近是关键考验。

不知道怎么踩点的可以关注南汐，南汐会在村里实时解析，给出当前最佳进场点

那咱们玩家该怎么办？
如果你已经持仓，别慌着割肉，尤其别在急跌时卖。关注23.5这个位置，如果站稳，可以轻仓吃个反弹，快进快出。如果跌破了，下一站看21附近，那里才是真正可以考虑慢慢接的位置。
如果你空仓，现在别急着ALL IN。记住：大跌不抄底，等企稳再说。关注我，我会在社区里及时提醒动手时机。
总之，行情在震荡中选择方向，消息与图形在打架。
巨鲸买了不代表马上拉盘，但至少说明他们看好后市。保住本金，跟对节奏，不吃鱼头鱼尾，只吃鱼身。

我是南汐，一个愿意陪你慢慢变富的币圈分析者。如果你也厌倦了被行情牵着走，想学会自己判断方向，欢迎来找我带你翻仓吃肉！
#hype $HYPE