US Jobs report tomorrow (Feb 11) – consensus ~+70k NFP (Bloomberg/ING), some at +80k.
ADP was trash at only +22k vs expected +45k → downside risk to the print.
Unemployment steady at 4.4%, wages ~0.3% m/m.
CPI Friday (Feb 13) → headline ~2.3–2.5% y/y expected (softish).
Fed outlook:
March FOMC → ~80–85% chance of HOLD (CME: only 17–23% for 25 bps cut)
2026 total cuts priced ~50–75 bps (mostly summer/autumn timing)
Soft Jobs + tame CPI = rate-cut hopes rise → bullish risk-on bounce for BTC & alts.
Strong print = hold longer → more pressure on crypto.
Volatility incoming this week – 5–15% swings likely.
You fading the jobs number or playing safe? Drop your bias below! 📊🚀