📊 $BTC Is Ranging in a Familiar Zone — Very Similar to 2024
Zooming out, Bitcoin is clearly boxed between roughly $57K – $87K. This isn’t a breakout structure yet. It’s a wide sideways range, and in my view, it’s building liquidity, not momentum.
Back in 2024, BTC spent months ranging between $58K – $74K before the final push higher. That same range later became a key reference zone once conditions shifted. Markets remember structure.
🔍 Key distinction:
Bull market range → launchpad
Bear market range → structure that eventually breaks
Right now, this looks much closer to the second scenario.
🧭 My Current Approach
• Still holding shorts from $115K – $125K
• Spot buy orders at $57K – $60K for technical rebounds only
• No leverage on longs
That $57K–$60K area looks like a local bottom, not a cycle bottom. Any buys there are tactical — not a bet on new ATHs.
🐻 Why Caution Still Matters
Bear markets don’t move straight down.
In 2022, BTC dropped from $68K → $33K, then rallied nearly 50%, before collapsing to $16K. Those rallies exist to create liquidity and convince traders the worst is over.
A rebound toward $80K – $87K wouldn’t surprise me at all — and if structure aligns, that zone could offer another short opportunity.
Higher timeframe signals still matter:
• Weekly needs more cooling
• Monthly 50 EMA remains under pressure
• Breakdown risk is still very real
📉 My broader lean remains a final move below $50K, potentially into the low $40Ks — that’s where long-term positioning starts to get interesting.
🧠 Bottom Line
This is a range-trading environment, not a “buy and pray for ATHs” phase.
• Buy near the bottom of the box for rebounds
• Sell near the top if structure allows
• Stay patient for true asymmetric opportunity
Bear markets aren’t dangerous because price falls —
Let the market reveal its intent.
#BTC #bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #Marketstructure #BinanceSquare