$BTC – BITCOIN BEAR TRAP OR DEEPER DROP? Critical Levels Revealed
Bitcoin is sitting at a major decision zone — and the next move could define the entire market structure.
If price breaks below the recent $59,800 low, two high-probability scenarios come into focus:
🔻 Scenario 1: Bear Trap
A liquidity sweep into the $59,700–$58,600 range — just a few percent below the prior low — trapping late short sellers before a sharp reversal.
This would be a classic liquidity hunt: shake out weak hands, absorb sell pressure, then push higher.
🔻 Scenario 2: Deeper Correction
A confirmed breakdown targeting the broader $49,865 level, based on the larger $59,800–$72,300 projection range.
If momentum accelerates and fear takes control, this scenario gains strength.
What Really Matters
The 5-year SMA around $55,600 remains historically strong structural support.
In previous cycle waves, Bitcoin has seen average drawdowns of around 55% before major recoveries.
That statistical precedent increases the probability of a bear trap —
unless panic selling accelerates and breaks structure decisively.
Remember:
Liquidity hunts come first.
Trend confirmation comes later.
The real question is —
Is this the final shakeout before expansion… or the beginning of a larger unwind?
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