Market Update: Q1 Recap & Geopolitical Winds

The first quarter of 2026 is officially in the books, and it's been a rollercoaster. Despite a late- season recovery, the macro view for Q1 shows the impact of a heavy winter:

$BTC : Closed Q1 down 22%.

$ETH : Closed Q1 down 29%.

BUT March finally broke the bleeding cycle. BTC snapped a 5-month losing streak with a +2% monthly close, while ETH ended a brutal 6-month slide with a +7% bounce.

BTC is currently knocking on the door of $70k.

Resistance: $70,000.

Target: a breakout here clears the path to $75,000.

However, technicals are taking a backseat to geopolitics. All eyes are on the Fed's upcoming statements and the escalating tension in the Middle East. With the UAE reportedly considering involvement in a forceful reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, energy prices and global risk appetite are on a knife-edge.

The US Department of Justice has officially declared war on crypto manipulation. Charges have been filed against 10 executives from Gotbit,The US Department of Justice has officially declared war on crypto manipulation. Charges have been filed against 10 executives from Gotbit, Vortex, Antier, and Contrarian.

In a landmark move for state-level adoption, New Hampshire is set to issue $100M in bonds backed by Bitcoin. This is a massive "proof of concept" for SBTC as a legitimate collateral asset for government debt.

What's your play for April? Are we breaking $70k or is the geopolitical noise too loud?

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