Bearish tilt near-term, with downside risk to $106K-$107K support (lower Bollinger Band) on a break below $107.3K, potentially filling CME gaps toward $102K. Upside requires a reclaim of $110.5K-$111.7K resistance for bullish flip, targeting $115K-$118K by late October if spot volume surges. Long-term remains bullish (2025 forecasts: $120K-$150K+), driven by ETF demand and halving cycle momentum, but shutdown data gaps heighten whipsaw risks. Position for range-bound trades; favor quality over leverage.#BTC #BiasCheck