Is the S&P 500 P/E Expansion Signaling the Next #Crypto Wave?
- Looking at the correlation chart between the S&P 500 P/E Ratio and $BTC Price from Alphafractal, we can observe several similarities:
- The S&P 500 P/E ratio skyrocketed to an unimaginable level (~40) due to the impact of global economic stimulus packages. This was a historic "liquidity pump". As a result, $BTC received a delayed capital inflow (lagging effect) and exploded to set a cycle peak shortly after.
- While the S&P 500 P/E was moving sideways and stabilizing in the average range, BTC made a powerful breakthrough above the $100K mark thanks to internal catalysts (Spot ETFs & direct capital inflows).
- After a long correction period, the US stock market's P/E has just made a spectacular comeback, shooting straight up past the 30 mark. This indicates that TradFi valuations are becoming very expensive, reflecting investors' massive expectations for corporate growth.
- In contrast to the steep rise in P/E, the current $BTC price has just undergone a correction from its peak and is consolidating sideways, creating a tightly compressed structure.
When TradFi valuations (P/E) hit overly high thresholds, the pressure to search for alternative assets with superior returns will increase. The current divergence between the P/E and BTC is often the prelude to the next #Crypto explosion as capital rotates.