📊 BTC $BTC
Probil Short-Term Holder Realized Price: Historical Pattern
Short-Term Holder$BTC Realized Price — the average price of purchasing coins, which has moved for the last 155 days. BTC$BTC now trades above this level (~$64,200), which has predicted a sharp decline in previous bear markets (2018, 2022).
Why is this important:
• Short-term holders, who bought above, exit into the void.
• The desire to fixate on nothing creates additional pressure.
• In previous cycles, testing of this level ended with a bounce of 30%+.
Current value STH Realized Price — $64,200 (according to Glassnode). BTC rose above this level in April–May 2026, but retreated each time.
As long as BTC does not consolidate above and does not drag with itself the STH Realized Price, the risks of a new decline remain.