The Iran peace deal signing is set for June 19 in Switzerland. That's 4 days from now.
What happens between now and then for $BTC :
TODAY: markets digest the deal announcement + BoJ rate decision.
TOMORROW/WEDNESDAY: Fed meeting + Warsh debut (the test).
THURSDAY: market prices in the combined Fed + Iran result.
FRIDAY June 19: Iran deal SIGNED. Strait of Hormuz reopening confirmed.
Bull scenario: Fed holds + dovish dot plot + Iran signed = $BTC push toward $68-70K
by Friday.
Bear scenario: Warsh hawkish + BoJ tightens = $BTC chops $62-65K despite Iran deal.
The next 4 days are the most catalyst-loaded of 2026.