My Bitcoin Outlook: 📊 BTC/USDC Technical Analysis — Daily Chart (1D)
🔹 Price Structure
Support Levels:
90,000 – 90,500 USDC → immediate support / psychological equilibrium zone
88,800 – 89,000 USDC → MA(25), key dynamic support
80,500 – 81,000 USDC → major structural support (relevant swing low)
Resistance Levels:
91,800 – 92,000 USDC → MA(7), short-term resistance
94,500 – 95,000 USDC → recent highs / clear rejection zone
98,600 – 99,000 USDC → MA(99), dominant macro resistance
🔹 Moving Averages
MA(7): ~91.8k → above price, slightly sloping down → short-term pressure
MA(25): ~88.9k → rising → valid dynamic support
MA(99): ~98.6k → sloping down → macro trend still neutral
➡️ Price trapped between MA(7) and MA(25) = classic consolidation zone.
🔹 Technical Indicators
RSI (6): ~48–49 → neutral, slightly cool
Stochastic RSI: ~47 / ~65 → normalizing, no overbought conditions
Williams %R (14): ~-52 → neutral
MACD: positive, flat histogram → momentum present but not accelerating
OBV: negative and flat → no clear institutional accumulation
🔹 Volume
Low to moderate volume
Volume MA(5) slightly above MA(10), but without expansion
No signs of aggressive distribution or capitulation
➡️ Market in wait-and-see mode.
📌 Conclusion:
BTC is consolidating above 90k, respecting the MA(25) and holding the recovery from the 80.5k region. Repeated rejections around 94–95k confirm active supply, but without follow-through selling.
➡️ Holding above 90k keeps a neutral-to-bullish bias
➡️ Daily close above 92k improves short-term structure
🚀 Sustained break above 95k / MA(99) opens the path toward 100k+
⚠️ Loss of MA(25) (~88.8k) increases the risk of a deeper pullback toward 85k–80k
📈 Daily Trend:
➡️ Neutral–Bullish (consolidation)
⚠️ Momentum has weakened, but no clear reversal signals
🎯 Controlled pullbacks and range trading remain the healthiest scenario in this context.
