The probability of the Federal Reserve cuting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 4.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 95.6%. By March, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 27.6%, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 71.3%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 1.1%.
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