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The probability of the Federal Reserve cuting interest rates by 25 basis points in January is 4.4%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 95.6%. By March, the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 25 basis points is 27.6%, the probability of maintaining interest rates unchanged is 71.3%, and the probability of a cumulative interest rate cut of 50 basis points is 1.1%.
🚨 #USTradeDeficitShrink — A Silent Macro Shift with Loud Market Impact! 🇺🇸📉
The U.S. trade deficit is shrinking… and markets are paying attention 👀
🔹 Stronger exports = Better global demand 🔹 Lower imports = Domestic production rising 🔹 Smaller deficit = Dollar strength potential 💵
Why it matters👇 👉 A shrinking deficit supports economic stability 👉 Boosts investor confidence in U.S. growth 👉 Can influence Fed tone, inflation outlook & risk assets
Stocks, crypto, and commodities all feel the ripple 🌊📊
This isn’t just a number — it’s a signal.
Are we heading toward a stronger U.S. economy… or just a temporary relief? 🤔