$BTC — The Same Analyst Who Called the Crash Now Sees a +40% Expansion Ahead
This isn’t a feel-good rebound story or a recycled “buy the dip” take. It’s a continuation of a call that already played out — clean, uncomfortable, and largely ignored at the time.
Back in October 2025, while sentiment was still leaning bullish, this analyst laid out a harsh scenario: Bitcoin wasn’t ready to move higher. The cycle model pointed to a deep corrective phase, with downside potential ranging from −20% all the way to −77% before the next meaningful pivot. Most dismissed it as doom posting. Price didn’t.
From the Oct 6, 2025 ATH to Feb 2, BTC sold off roughly −40%, sliding directly into the projected downside window. No panic headlines. No hindsight edits. Just a slow bleed that punished late longs and forced leverage out of the system.
That phase matters — because cycles don’t end at the dump. They turn when exhaustion replaces fear.
Now the model flips.
According to the same yearly cycle framework, Feb 2 marks a timing pivot, not a top or bottom call, but a transition zone where downside pressure statistically fades and expansion risk starts to dominate. From here, the projection isn’t vertical mania — it’s a structured +40% expansion window stretching into late summer.
Run the numbers and the implication is simple:
That path points toward the $104K area between now and September, assuming structure continues to stabilize and no new macro shock breaks the base.
This isn’t about predicting every candle. It’s about understanding where Bitcoin sits in its broader rhythm:
• A heavy correction already completed
• Leverage largely flushed
• Time spent, not skipped
Whether price follows through immediately or chops first is secondary. What matters is that the model says the pressure point has shifted.
Ignore it.
Screenshot it.
Or come back in six months and decide which side of the cycle you were on.
