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$ETH $ZEC $ASTER 🚨 The Bank of Japan's strong statement: Raising interest rates is not the end, but the beginning of a new path! 🪙 Today, a key phrase from the Bank of Japan was severely underestimated: "If the economic and price trends align with forecasts, we will continue to raise the policy interest rate." Translated into plain language: ⚠️ This is not the end, but the beginning. Why is this statement more important than "raising by 25bp"? What the market truly prices is never what has happened, but "what will happen next." The Bank of Japan has clearly released three signals: 1️⃣ This rate hike is not an isolated event 2️⃣ The path of rate hikes depends on data 3️⃣ If conditions are met, actions will continue This means Japan is actively dismantling its role as the "global cheap funds ATM" for 30 years. The trillion-dollar arbitrage trades supported by zero interest rates are now slowly being turned off. Why does today's BTC rise not represent safety? A short-term rebound is merely a knee-jerk reaction to the "worst-case scenario not happening." The real risk is a structural change—capital will continue to flow out of risk assets in the coming months. Historical data rings alarm bells: After Japan's first three rate hikes, BTC fell by 23%, 26%, and 31%, respectively. Common pattern: sideways movement → rebound → gradual decline. This is the typical lethal method of the "rate hike path." Currently, the more dangerous factor is the market mentality: Negative news leads to rebound → emotional recovery → starting to believe "this time is different" And the central bank clearly tells you: don't relax, this is not over yet. • The Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates • Japan has just started tightening • Europe is cautiously tightening • No new global liquidity Three key indicators to judge mid-term effects: 1️⃣ Whether the yen continues to strengthen 2️⃣ Whether U.S. bond yields rise passively 3️⃣ Whether the scale of arbitrage trading decrease$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT) $ETH {future}(ETHUSDT)

$ETH $ZEC $ASTER
🚨 The Bank of Japan's strong statement: Raising interest rates is not the end, but the beginning of a new path!
🪙 Today, a key phrase from the Bank of Japan was severely underestimated: "If the economic and price trends align with forecasts, we will continue to raise the policy interest rate." Translated into plain language: ⚠️ This is not the end, but the beginning.
Why is this statement more important than "raising by 25bp"?
What the market truly prices is never what has happened, but "what will happen next." The Bank of Japan has clearly released three signals:
1️⃣ This rate hike is not an isolated event
2️⃣ The path of rate hikes depends on data
3️⃣ If conditions are met, actions will continue
This means Japan is actively dismantling its role as the "global cheap funds ATM" for 30 years. The trillion-dollar arbitrage trades supported by zero interest rates are now slowly being turned off.
Why does today's BTC rise not represent safety?
A short-term rebound is merely a knee-jerk reaction to the "worst-case scenario not happening." The real risk is a structural change—capital will continue to flow out of risk assets in the coming months.
Historical data rings alarm bells:
After Japan's first three rate hikes, BTC fell by 23%, 26%, and 31%, respectively.
Common pattern: sideways movement → rebound → gradual decline.
This is the typical lethal method of the "rate hike path."
Currently, the more dangerous factor is the market mentality:
Negative news leads to rebound → emotional recovery → starting to believe "this time is different"
And the central bank clearly tells you: don't relax, this is not over yet.

• The Federal Reserve maintains high interest rates
• Japan has just started tightening
• Europe is cautiously tightening
• No new global liquidity
Three key indicators to judge mid-term effects:
1️⃣ Whether the yen continues to strengthen
2️⃣ Whether U.S. bond yields rise passively
3️⃣ Whether the scale of arbitrage trading decrease$BTC
$ETH

Rahman Phyco

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