ملف Ali Faisal Crypto الشخصي

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BTC pumped 32% and everyone turned bullish. Let's dive into why this rally is a trap and where BTC is really heading 🧵 BTC is at $78,553 right now. Just touched $79,388 and immediately rejected. That rejection wasn't random. That's exactly the zone I've been warning about. Smart money doesn't chase pumps — they sell into them. And that's exactly what's happening right now. Remember the Range BOX from November to January? BTC consolidated there for months. Then February came — massive dump. US-Iran war headlines hit, price collapsed. Now we're recovering back into that exact broken structure. Old support is now resistance. This is textbook. "The BIG Short" zone: $80,000 — $86,000 🔴 0.618 Fib: $83,748 🔴 0.65 Fib: $84,975 📉 SMA 200 descending into this zone ⚓ Anchor VWAP sitting right here Every major indicator converging at the same place. This is not resistance — this is a wall. Institutions are already positioned there. People are excited because Strategy bought $2.5B in BTC and ETF inflows came in. But look closer. BTC touched $79,388 and rejected hard. Volume is still below average. Fear & Greed nowhere near bull territory. ETH and alts are RED while BTC pumps — that's risk-off behavior, not a bull market. The bear market is NOT over. Here's why: — Lower highs from $126K ATH — SMA 200 still pointing down — Anchor VWAP still above current price — Iran ceasefire is not permanent — war risk still live — Alts bleeding = no real risk appetite Until weekly close above $90K — this is a dead cat bounce. If rejection confirms from $80K-$86K zone — here's the roadmap: 📍 $72,000 — first pause 📍 $65,942 — key daily level 📍 $62,864 — critical zone 📍 $60,049 — Fibonacci 0 🎯 $55,305 — 1st Target 🎯 $45,019 — 2nd Target The next big leg down is loading. My plan is simple: ❌ Not buying this rally ⏳ Waiting for $80K-$86K rejection confirmation 📉 Short entry on daily close below structure 🎯 $55K first target Follow on X for daily analysis 👇 @AlifaisalTrades

BTC pumped 32% and everyone turned bullish. Let's dive into why this rally is a trap and where BTC is really heading 🧵

BTC is at $78,553 right now. Just touched $79,388 and immediately rejected.

That rejection wasn't random. That's exactly the zone I've been warning about. Smart money doesn't chase pumps — they sell into them. And that's exactly what's happening right now.

Remember the Range BOX from November to January?

BTC consolidated there for months. Then February came — massive dump. US-Iran war headlines hit, price collapsed. Now we're recovering back into that exact broken structure. Old support is now resistance. This is textbook.

"The BIG Short" zone: $80,000 — $86,000

🔴 0.618 Fib: $83,748
🔴 0.65 Fib: $84,975
📉 SMA 200 descending into this zone
⚓ Anchor VWAP sitting right here

Every major indicator converging at the same place. This is not resistance — this is a wall. Institutions are already positioned there.

People are excited because Strategy bought $2.5B in BTC and ETF inflows came in.

But look closer. BTC touched $79,388 and rejected hard. Volume is still below average. Fear & Greed nowhere near bull territory. ETH and alts are RED while BTC pumps — that's risk-off behavior, not a bull market.

The bear market is NOT over. Here's why:

— Lower highs from $126K ATH
— SMA 200 still pointing down
— Anchor VWAP still above current price
— Iran ceasefire is not permanent — war risk still live
— Alts bleeding = no real risk appetite

Until weekly close above $90K — this is a dead cat bounce.

If rejection confirms from $80K-$86K zone — here's the roadmap:

📍 $72,000 — first pause
📍 $65,942 — key daily level
📍 $62,864 — critical zone
📍 $60,049 — Fibonacci 0
🎯 $55,305 — 1st Target
🎯 $45,019 — 2nd Target

The next big leg down is loading.

My plan is simple:

❌ Not buying this rally
⏳ Waiting for $80K-$86K rejection confirmation
📉 Short entry on daily close below structure
🎯 $55K first target

Follow on X for daily analysis 👇
@AlifaisalTrades

Ali Faisal Crypto

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