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Bitcoin's Price Surge Sparks Renewed Interest in 'Christmas Rally'!
According to Odaily, discussions about a 'Christmas rally' have resurfaced as Bitcoin's price surpasses $90,000. Glassnode's cost basis distribution heatmap indicates a crucial support level between $84,000 and $85,600, with investors purchasing approximately 976,000 Bitcoins around this price range. Maintaining the $84,000 threshold could prevent further declines. Analysts highlight that since November 22, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a broad range of $82,000 to $95,000. The longer this consolidation persists, the stronger and more intense the subsequent rebound is expected to be.
Src: Binance News
$BTC
According to Odaily, discussions about a 'Christmas rally' have resurfaced as Bitcoin's price surpasses $90,000. Glassnode's cost basis distribution heatmap indicates a crucial support level between $84,000 and $85,600, with investors purchasing approximately 976,000 Bitcoins around this price range. Maintaining the $84,000 threshold could prevent further declines. Analysts highlight that since November 22, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a broad range of $82,000 to $95,000. The longer this consolidation persists, the stronger and more intense the subsequent rebound is expected to be.
Src: Binance News
$BTC
ترجمة
🚨🚨🚨Must Read🚨🚨🚨
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇👇
Trading Insight_News
--
Why Are Futures Prices Often Higher Than Spot Prices? Futures Term Structure
In the derivatives market, the Futures price is rarely exactly equal to the Spot price. This difference creates a curve called the Term Structure. This is the most effective lie detector to know what Smart Money is truly expecting in the future.
🔸 Contango (Normal) When Future Is More Expensive Than Present.
Futures Price > Spot Price.This is the healthy state of a financial market. Future prices are higher to compensate for the Cost of Carry and storage fees.However, if the Contango curve is too steep, Futures price is significantly higher than Spot 20 to 30% APR, it indicates the market is Over leveraged. 👉 The crowd is longing recklessly using leverage. This is often a sign of an impending Long Squeeze.
🔸 Backwardation (Abnormal) When Present Is More Expensive Than Future.
Futures Price < Spot Price.This is a rare phenomenon representing Extreme Supply Scarcity. Investors are willing to pay a higher price to own Bitcoin IMMEDIATELY rather than holding a paper promise for future delivery.Backwardation typically appears at two critical moments:When massive news breaks, Spot buying pressure is so strong that Futures can not keep up.When the market crashes, aggressive Shorts push Futures prices below Spot. This is when Whales are quietly accumulating Spot.
🔹 Pay close attention when the market is crashing and the structure flips to Backwardation. That is the most reliable Reversal signal. Why? Because it shows that the Shorts have run out of ammo, while Spot holders refuse to sell any cheaper.
When was the last time you saw Futures prices trading lower than Spot prices?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
🔸 Contango (Normal) When Future Is More Expensive Than Present.
Futures Price > Spot Price.This is the healthy state of a financial market. Future prices are higher to compensate for the Cost of Carry and storage fees.However, if the Contango curve is too steep, Futures price is significantly higher than Spot 20 to 30% APR, it indicates the market is Over leveraged. 👉 The crowd is longing recklessly using leverage. This is often a sign of an impending Long Squeeze.
🔸 Backwardation (Abnormal) When Present Is More Expensive Than Future.
Futures Price < Spot Price.This is a rare phenomenon representing Extreme Supply Scarcity. Investors are willing to pay a higher price to own Bitcoin IMMEDIATELY rather than holding a paper promise for future delivery.Backwardation typically appears at two critical moments:When massive news breaks, Spot buying pressure is so strong that Futures can not keep up.When the market crashes, aggressive Shorts push Futures prices below Spot. This is when Whales are quietly accumulating Spot.
🔹 Pay close attention when the market is crashing and the structure flips to Backwardation. That is the most reliable Reversal signal. Why? Because it shows that the Shorts have run out of ammo, while Spot holders refuse to sell any cheaper.
When was the last time you saw Futures prices trading lower than Spot prices?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
ترجمة
Bitcoin's Market Sentiment Improves Amid Federal Reserve's Policies!
According to Odaily, Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Global Macro Director, highlighted on the X platform that the current improvement in market sentiment follows a decline in excessive speculation within the crypto market. This change is occurring against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's accommodative policies and stability in the bond and foreign exchange markets. Timmer suggests that Bitcoin's official closing in 2025 could be favorable. Previously, Bitcoin treasury companies provided 'returns' by issuing stocks to purchase Bitcoin, which might now pose a resistance to Bitcoin's rise and raise questions about the end of another four-year cycle.
However, examining Bitcoin's mature network curve structure reveals that since 2010, Bitcoin has experienced five waves of upward trends, with each wave's increase being smaller than the previous one but lasting longer. From the recent bull market, which began around $16,000 in 2022, it is evident that Bitcoin has reached a significant level of maturity. According to the five-wave trend chart shared by Jurrien Timmer, the peak price in the fifth wave could be $151,360.
Src: Binance News
$BTC
According to Odaily, Jurrien Timmer, Fidelity's Global Macro Director, highlighted on the X platform that the current improvement in market sentiment follows a decline in excessive speculation within the crypto market. This change is occurring against the backdrop of the Federal Reserve's accommodative policies and stability in the bond and foreign exchange markets. Timmer suggests that Bitcoin's official closing in 2025 could be favorable. Previously, Bitcoin treasury companies provided 'returns' by issuing stocks to purchase Bitcoin, which might now pose a resistance to Bitcoin's rise and raise questions about the end of another four-year cycle.
However, examining Bitcoin's mature network curve structure reveals that since 2010, Bitcoin has experienced five waves of upward trends, with each wave's increase being smaller than the previous one but lasting longer. From the recent bull market, which began around $16,000 in 2022, it is evident that Bitcoin has reached a significant level of maturity. According to the five-wave trend chart shared by Jurrien Timmer, the peak price in the fifth wave could be $151,360.
Src: Binance News
$BTC
ترجمة
🚨🚨🚨 Must Read for Every Futures Traders! 🚨🚨🚨
👇👇👇👇👇
👇👇👇👇👇
Trading Insight_News
--
What Is Funding Rates? Why Do Futures Prices Stick To Spot?
In traditional finance, futures contracts have an Expiry Date. On that day, Futures prices are forced to match Spot prices. But in Crypto, we mostly trade Perpetual Contracts. They never expire. So what stops Bitcoin Futures price from flying to $100,000 while the Bitcoin Spot price sits at $50,000? The answer is the Funding Rate.
🔸 Funding Rate is a periodic payment usually every 8 hours exchanged between Longs and Shorts to keep the Futures price tethered to the Spot price. The exchange does NOT collect this fee; it is peer to peer.
Positive Funding Rate:Bullish market. Too many Longs. Futures Price > Spot Price.The system forces Longs to pay Shorts.Discourage Longs and incentivize Shorts to drive the Futures price down to match Spot.Negative Funding Rate:Bearish market. Too many Shorts. Futures Price < Spot Price.The system forces Shorts to pay Longs.Incentivize opening Longs to push the Futures price back up.
🔸 Risk Free Strategy :
This is how big funds make money. It is not for inexperienced people.
Suppose Funding Rate is very high 0.1% every 8 hours = 109% APY.Step 1 buy 1 BTC on Spot market.Step 2 open a Short 1 BTC on Futures market.Result:Whether BTC price goes up or down, the PnL of these two positions cancels out. You are immune to price volatility.But every 8 hours, you sit back and collect the Funding Fee paid by the Longs.
🔹 Besides, Funding Rate is a powerful Sentiment Indicator.
If Funding is extremely Positive 👉The crowd is too greedy 👉 High risk of a Long Squeeze.If Funding is extremely Negative 👉The crowd is fearful 👉High risk of a Short Squeeze.
Do you check the Funding Rate before holding a position overnight?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
🔸 Funding Rate is a periodic payment usually every 8 hours exchanged between Longs and Shorts to keep the Futures price tethered to the Spot price. The exchange does NOT collect this fee; it is peer to peer.
Positive Funding Rate:Bullish market. Too many Longs. Futures Price > Spot Price.The system forces Longs to pay Shorts.Discourage Longs and incentivize Shorts to drive the Futures price down to match Spot.Negative Funding Rate:Bearish market. Too many Shorts. Futures Price < Spot Price.The system forces Shorts to pay Longs.Incentivize opening Longs to push the Futures price back up.
🔸 Risk Free Strategy :
This is how big funds make money. It is not for inexperienced people.
Suppose Funding Rate is very high 0.1% every 8 hours = 109% APY.Step 1 buy 1 BTC on Spot market.Step 2 open a Short 1 BTC on Futures market.Result:Whether BTC price goes up or down, the PnL of these two positions cancels out. You are immune to price volatility.But every 8 hours, you sit back and collect the Funding Fee paid by the Longs.
🔹 Besides, Funding Rate is a powerful Sentiment Indicator.
If Funding is extremely Positive 👉The crowd is too greedy 👉 High risk of a Long Squeeze.If Funding is extremely Negative 👉The crowd is fearful 👉High risk of a Short Squeeze.
Do you check the Funding Rate before holding a position overnight?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
ترجمة
Bitcoin's Profit Supply Percentage Indicates Market Sentiment!
According to PANews, analyst Murphy has observed that Bitcoin's Profit Supply Percentage (PSIP) fell below the critical 65% threshold on November 22-23, signaling a potentially dangerous market sentiment. The PSIP has since recovered to 67.6%, but it remains within the crucial 65%-70% range. A rise above this range could restore confidence, while a decline might trigger panic.
Historical data suggests that when PSIP falls below 50%, it typically marks the bottom of a bear market. Previous predictions indicated that Bitcoin would need to drop below $59,000 to reach this level, but recent estimates have adjusted this figure to below $62,000. Analysts believe that Bitcoin priced under $62,000 could present a high-value investment opportunity, though patience is advised as market conditions evolve.
Src: Binance News
$BTC
According to PANews, analyst Murphy has observed that Bitcoin's Profit Supply Percentage (PSIP) fell below the critical 65% threshold on November 22-23, signaling a potentially dangerous market sentiment. The PSIP has since recovered to 67.6%, but it remains within the crucial 65%-70% range. A rise above this range could restore confidence, while a decline might trigger panic.
Historical data suggests that when PSIP falls below 50%, it typically marks the bottom of a bear market. Previous predictions indicated that Bitcoin would need to drop below $59,000 to reach this level, but recent estimates have adjusted this figure to below $62,000. Analysts believe that Bitcoin priced under $62,000 could present a high-value investment opportunity, though patience is advised as market conditions evolve.
Src: Binance News
$BTC
ترجمة
🚨🚨🚨🚨 U.S. Economic Data and Fed Rate Decision to Influence Market Sentiment!
According to PANews, Wall Street's recent volatility has subsided as investors return to betting on low volatility and high confidence in risk assets. This shift comes amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week, supported by U.S. economic data such as the ADP employment report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. The Federal Reserve's rate decision will be the focal point next week, following recent weak U.S. employment data, with the market widely anticipating a rate cut.
Key events to watch in the upcoming week include:
On Tuesday at 00:00 UTC+8, the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation for November will be released. Later that day, at 23:00 UTC+8, the U.S. October Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will be published.
On Wednesday at 03:00 UTC+8, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its rate decision and economic projections, followed by a monetary policy press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at 03:30 UTC+8.
On Thursday at 21:30 UTC+8, data on initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6 and the U.S. September trade balance will be released.
On Friday at 01:00 UTC+8, the Federal Reserve will publish data on U.S. household financial health from the third quarter of 2025. Later, at 21:00 UTC+8, Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, a 2026 FOMC voting member, will speak on the economic outlook, followed by Cleveland Fed President Harker at 21:30 UTC+8.
At 23:35 UTC+8, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will participate in a dialogue at the 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium hosted by the Chicago Fed.
The Federal Reserve's September dot plot suggested two rate cuts in 2026. In contrast, the current market expectation is for 63 basis points of easing, indicating a higher likelihood of three rate cuts next year.
Src: Binance News
$BNB
According to PANews, Wall Street's recent volatility has subsided as investors return to betting on low volatility and high confidence in risk assets. This shift comes amid expectations that the Federal Reserve will lower interest rates next week, supported by U.S. economic data such as the ADP employment report and the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index. The Federal Reserve's rate decision will be the focal point next week, following recent weak U.S. employment data, with the market widely anticipating a rate cut.
Key events to watch in the upcoming week include:
On Tuesday at 00:00 UTC+8, the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation for November will be released. Later that day, at 23:00 UTC+8, the U.S. October Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) will be published.
On Wednesday at 03:00 UTC+8, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its rate decision and economic projections, followed by a monetary policy press conference by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell at 03:30 UTC+8.
On Thursday at 21:30 UTC+8, data on initial jobless claims for the week ending December 6 and the U.S. September trade balance will be released.
On Friday at 01:00 UTC+8, the Federal Reserve will publish data on U.S. household financial health from the third quarter of 2025. Later, at 21:00 UTC+8, Philadelphia Fed President Paulson, a 2026 FOMC voting member, will speak on the economic outlook, followed by Cleveland Fed President Harker at 21:30 UTC+8.
At 23:35 UTC+8, Chicago Fed President Goolsbee will participate in a dialogue at the 39th Annual Economic Outlook Symposium hosted by the Chicago Fed.
The Federal Reserve's September dot plot suggested two rate cuts in 2026. In contrast, the current market expectation is for 63 basis points of easing, indicating a higher likelihood of three rate cuts next year.
Src: Binance News
$BNB
ترجمة
🚨🚨🚨🚨👇👇👇🚨🚨🚨🚨
Bitcoinworld
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BTC Perpetual Futures Show a Precarious Edge for Shorts on Major Exchanges
BitcoinWorld BTC Perpetual Futures Show a Precarious Edge for Shorts on Major Exchanges
Have you checked the pulse of the Bitcoin derivatives market lately? The latest data reveals a subtle but significant shift in trader positioning. Across the three largest cryptocurrency futures exchanges, BTC perpetual futures traders are showing a slight but consistent preference for short positions. This collective lean, while not extreme, offers a crucial glimpse into the market’s current psychology and potential near-term pressure points.
What Do the BTC Perpetual Futures Ratios Tell Us?
The long/short ratio is a vital sentiment gauge for BTC perpetual futures. It shows the percentage of traders betting on price increases (long) versus those betting on declines (short). A ratio below 50% for longs indicates a bearish tilt. Currently, the aggregated data from Binance, OKX, and Bybit paints a clear picture: shorts hold a narrow majority. This suggests a cautious or pessimistic outlook is prevailing among active derivatives traders at this moment.
A Closer Look at Exchange-Specific Data
While the overall trend is clear, drilling down into individual exchange data provides deeper insight. The sentiment is not uniform, but the directional bias is consistent.
Binance: The world’s largest exchange shows 49% long vs. 51% short. This is the most balanced of the three, yet shorts still lead.
OKX: Here, the bearish tilt is more pronounced at 48.36% long versus 51.64% short.
Bybit: This platform exhibits the strongest short bias in the data set, with only 47.73% of positions long compared to 52.27% short.
This gradient from Binance to Bybit shows that while the sentiment is broadly negative, its intensity can vary depending on the trader demographics of each platform.
Why Should You Care About This Short Bias?
Understanding this data is more than an academic exercise. The positioning in BTC perpetual futures can act as a contrarian indicator or confirm existing trends. A mild short bias like this often reflects trader anticipation of a pullback or consolidation. However, if this sentiment becomes too one-sided (extremely high short interest), it can set the stage for a “short squeeze,” where a rising price forces short sellers to buy back, accelerating the uptrend. Therefore, monitoring these ratios helps you gauge potential market friction points.
Actionable Insights for Traders and Investors
So, what can you do with this information? First, don’t panic. A slight edge for shorts is a common market condition and not a definitive prediction of a crash. Use it as one piece of a larger puzzle. Consider it a sign that professional traders are hedging or expecting limited upside in the immediate term. If you are a spot investor, this data might suggest patience could be rewarding, allowing for better entry points. For active futures traders, it underscores the importance of robust risk management, as the market is primed with more participants betting on a decline.
The Bottom Line on Current Futures Sentiment
In conclusion, the data from major exchanges confirms a cautious stance in the BTC perpetual futures market. The short-side edge, though slight, is consistent across Binance, OKX, and Bybit. This collective positioning highlights a market that is hesitant to push aggressively higher and is instead preparing for potential downside or range-bound action. While not a crystal ball, this sentiment metric is a powerful tool for understanding the prevailing winds in Bitcoin’s complex derivatives landscape.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Q: Does a short majority in BTC perpetual futures guarantee the price will drop?A: No, it does not guarantee a price drop. It reflects current trader sentiment and positioning. Extremely high short interest can sometimes lead to a short squeeze, causing prices to rise sharply.
Q: What is the difference between perpetual futures and regular futures?A> Regular futures contracts have a set expiration date. BTC perpetual futures do not expire; they use a funding rate mechanism to tether their price to the spot market indefinitely.
Q: Which exchange’s data is most important?A> All major exchanges provide valuable signals. Binance, having the largest open interest, often carries the most weight, but consensus across exchanges (as seen now) strengthens the signal’s reliability.
Q: How often do these long/short ratios change?A> They can fluctuate significantly throughout the day based on price action, news, and overall market sentiment. The 24-hour snapshot provides a stable overview of the daily bias.
Q: Should I change my long-term Bitcoin strategy based on this?A> Short-term derivatives sentiment is typically more relevant for traders with shorter time horizons. Long-term investors should base their strategy on fundamentals, not short-term positioning data.
Found this analysis of BTC perpetual futures sentiment helpful? Share this article with your network on Twitter or Telegram to help other traders stay informed about the crucial dynamics shaping the Bitcoin market!
To learn more about the latest Bitcoin market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action and institutional adoption.
This post BTC Perpetual Futures Show a Precarious Edge for Shorts on Major Exchanges first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
Have you checked the pulse of the Bitcoin derivatives market lately? The latest data reveals a subtle but significant shift in trader positioning. Across the three largest cryptocurrency futures exchanges, BTC perpetual futures traders are showing a slight but consistent preference for short positions. This collective lean, while not extreme, offers a crucial glimpse into the market’s current psychology and potential near-term pressure points.
What Do the BTC Perpetual Futures Ratios Tell Us?
The long/short ratio is a vital sentiment gauge for BTC perpetual futures. It shows the percentage of traders betting on price increases (long) versus those betting on declines (short). A ratio below 50% for longs indicates a bearish tilt. Currently, the aggregated data from Binance, OKX, and Bybit paints a clear picture: shorts hold a narrow majority. This suggests a cautious or pessimistic outlook is prevailing among active derivatives traders at this moment.
A Closer Look at Exchange-Specific Data
While the overall trend is clear, drilling down into individual exchange data provides deeper insight. The sentiment is not uniform, but the directional bias is consistent.
Binance: The world’s largest exchange shows 49% long vs. 51% short. This is the most balanced of the three, yet shorts still lead.
OKX: Here, the bearish tilt is more pronounced at 48.36% long versus 51.64% short.
Bybit: This platform exhibits the strongest short bias in the data set, with only 47.73% of positions long compared to 52.27% short.
This gradient from Binance to Bybit shows that while the sentiment is broadly negative, its intensity can vary depending on the trader demographics of each platform.
Why Should You Care About This Short Bias?
Understanding this data is more than an academic exercise. The positioning in BTC perpetual futures can act as a contrarian indicator or confirm existing trends. A mild short bias like this often reflects trader anticipation of a pullback or consolidation. However, if this sentiment becomes too one-sided (extremely high short interest), it can set the stage for a “short squeeze,” where a rising price forces short sellers to buy back, accelerating the uptrend. Therefore, monitoring these ratios helps you gauge potential market friction points.
Actionable Insights for Traders and Investors
So, what can you do with this information? First, don’t panic. A slight edge for shorts is a common market condition and not a definitive prediction of a crash. Use it as one piece of a larger puzzle. Consider it a sign that professional traders are hedging or expecting limited upside in the immediate term. If you are a spot investor, this data might suggest patience could be rewarding, allowing for better entry points. For active futures traders, it underscores the importance of robust risk management, as the market is primed with more participants betting on a decline.
The Bottom Line on Current Futures Sentiment
In conclusion, the data from major exchanges confirms a cautious stance in the BTC perpetual futures market. The short-side edge, though slight, is consistent across Binance, OKX, and Bybit. This collective positioning highlights a market that is hesitant to push aggressively higher and is instead preparing for potential downside or range-bound action. While not a crystal ball, this sentiment metric is a powerful tool for understanding the prevailing winds in Bitcoin’s complex derivatives landscape.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Q: Does a short majority in BTC perpetual futures guarantee the price will drop?A: No, it does not guarantee a price drop. It reflects current trader sentiment and positioning. Extremely high short interest can sometimes lead to a short squeeze, causing prices to rise sharply.
Q: What is the difference between perpetual futures and regular futures?A> Regular futures contracts have a set expiration date. BTC perpetual futures do not expire; they use a funding rate mechanism to tether their price to the spot market indefinitely.
Q: Which exchange’s data is most important?A> All major exchanges provide valuable signals. Binance, having the largest open interest, often carries the most weight, but consensus across exchanges (as seen now) strengthens the signal’s reliability.
Q: How often do these long/short ratios change?A> They can fluctuate significantly throughout the day based on price action, news, and overall market sentiment. The 24-hour snapshot provides a stable overview of the daily bias.
Q: Should I change my long-term Bitcoin strategy based on this?A> Short-term derivatives sentiment is typically more relevant for traders with shorter time horizons. Long-term investors should base their strategy on fundamentals, not short-term positioning data.
Found this analysis of BTC perpetual futures sentiment helpful? Share this article with your network on Twitter or Telegram to help other traders stay informed about the crucial dynamics shaping the Bitcoin market!
To learn more about the latest Bitcoin market trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price action and institutional adoption.
This post BTC Perpetual Futures Show a Precarious Edge for Shorts on Major Exchanges first appeared on BitcoinWorld.
ترجمة
PCE Data Release to Guide Federal Reserve's December Meeting!
According to ChainCatcher, the PCE data, a key inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, is set to be released at 23:00 UTC+8. With the absence of the CPI data, this report will serve as the sole inflation guide ahead of the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The market is expected to scrutinize every detail of the report, remaining alert to potential market fluctuations.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
According to ChainCatcher, the PCE data, a key inflation indicator favored by the Federal Reserve, is set to be released at 23:00 UTC+8. With the absence of the CPI data, this report will serve as the sole inflation guide ahead of the Federal Reserve's December meeting. The market is expected to scrutinize every detail of the report, remaining alert to potential market fluctuations.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
ترجمة
Federal Reserve Returns to Profitability Amid Interest Rate Adjustments!
According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve has reportedly reversed its unprecedented three-year streak of losses, as recent data indicates a return to profitability since early November. This shift is expected to gradually offset the accounting losses previously recorded. Additionally, since November 5, the size of the Federal Reserve's deferred asset has decreased from $243.8 billion to $243.2 billion by November 26.
The reduction in interest rates has largely ended the Federal Reserve's losses, as it has lowered the costs associated with maintaining the federal funds rate target range. After peaking at 5.25% to 5.5% in 2023, the federal funds rate is currently maintained at 3.75% to 4%. Concerns about the labor market conditions may lead to further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the future.
Src: Binance News
$BNB
According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve has reportedly reversed its unprecedented three-year streak of losses, as recent data indicates a return to profitability since early November. This shift is expected to gradually offset the accounting losses previously recorded. Additionally, since November 5, the size of the Federal Reserve's deferred asset has decreased from $243.8 billion to $243.2 billion by November 26.
The reduction in interest rates has largely ended the Federal Reserve's losses, as it has lowered the costs associated with maintaining the federal funds rate target range. After peaking at 5.25% to 5.5% in 2023, the federal funds rate is currently maintained at 3.75% to 4%. Concerns about the labor market conditions may lead to further rate cuts by the Federal Reserve in the future.
Src: Binance News
$BNB
ترجمة
Spot BNB Insights 20251128 12:00 UTC
TLDR
BNB has seen fluctuating price action around $890$895 in the past 24 hours, with varied market sentiment, next steps.
1. Network Activity: Declining network activity and capital outflow are affecting the ecosystem.
2. Strategic Initiatives: Institutional interest and ecosystem growth initiatives provide potential upside.
3. Technicals: Recent indicators show shortterm bearish momentum amidst price fluctuations.
Positives
1. ETF Filing: VanEck's filing for a spot BNB ETF, targeting a Nasdaq listing, introduces a potential institutional access point for investment.
2. Ecosystem Growth: BNB Chain appointed a new Executive Director of Growth, Nina Rong, to lead ecosystem expansion and developer support.
3. Holder Incentives: The token ecosystem continues to reward BNB holders with token airdrops, such as the upcoming APRO (AT) program, facilitated by various platform offerings.
Risks
1. Network Activity: Daily transactions on the chain fell by nearly 50%, with network utilization plummeting from 51% to 19%, signaling reduced user engagement.
2. Capital Outflow: The ecosystem experienced a $98 million decline in stablecoin supply and a $5.02 billion reduction in DEX volume, suggesting capital rotation.
3. Bearish Momentum: The MACD line is currently below its signal line with a negative histogram, indicating a recent shift towards bearish momentum for the token.
Community Sentiment
1. Mixed Sentiment: Community sentiment is mixed, with some traders expressing optimism for a BNB price rally, while others concern network activity declines.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
TLDR
BNB has seen fluctuating price action around $890$895 in the past 24 hours, with varied market sentiment, next steps.
1. Network Activity: Declining network activity and capital outflow are affecting the ecosystem.
2. Strategic Initiatives: Institutional interest and ecosystem growth initiatives provide potential upside.
3. Technicals: Recent indicators show shortterm bearish momentum amidst price fluctuations.
Positives
1. ETF Filing: VanEck's filing for a spot BNB ETF, targeting a Nasdaq listing, introduces a potential institutional access point for investment.
2. Ecosystem Growth: BNB Chain appointed a new Executive Director of Growth, Nina Rong, to lead ecosystem expansion and developer support.
3. Holder Incentives: The token ecosystem continues to reward BNB holders with token airdrops, such as the upcoming APRO (AT) program, facilitated by various platform offerings.
Risks
1. Network Activity: Daily transactions on the chain fell by nearly 50%, with network utilization plummeting from 51% to 19%, signaling reduced user engagement.
2. Capital Outflow: The ecosystem experienced a $98 million decline in stablecoin supply and a $5.02 billion reduction in DEX volume, suggesting capital rotation.
3. Bearish Momentum: The MACD line is currently below its signal line with a negative histogram, indicating a recent shift towards bearish momentum for the token.
Community Sentiment
1. Mixed Sentiment: Community sentiment is mixed, with some traders expressing optimism for a BNB price rally, while others concern network activity declines.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
ترجمة
🚨 Must Read!
Trading Insight_News
--
The Leverage Illusion. Why Fast Gains Are Often Lost Even Faster?
You have $1,000 and want $1 million. You think x50, x100 leverage is the way. In reality, it is the shortcut to bankruptcy.
🔸 The Math of Leverage:
x100 Leverage: Price moves against you 1% 👉 You get liquidated.In Crypto, 1% volatility happens in seconds. You are betting on Noise, not Trend.Fees: Higher leverage eats capital via fees. You need huge wins just to cover costs.
🔸 Correct Mindset:
Leverage does not create profit; it only amplifies results (both gains and losses).Pros use leverage to reduce capital risk (keep less on exchange), not to bet beyond their means.
🔹 If you can not win on Spot x1, you will surely lose on Futures x10. Learn to walk before you run.
Do you use leverage because of strategy, or greed for quick riches?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
🔸 The Math of Leverage:
x100 Leverage: Price moves against you 1% 👉 You get liquidated.In Crypto, 1% volatility happens in seconds. You are betting on Noise, not Trend.Fees: Higher leverage eats capital via fees. You need huge wins just to cover costs.
🔸 Correct Mindset:
Leverage does not create profit; it only amplifies results (both gains and losses).Pros use leverage to reduce capital risk (keep less on exchange), not to bet beyond their means.
🔹 If you can not win on Spot x1, you will surely lose on Futures x10. Learn to walk before you run.
Do you use leverage because of strategy, or greed for quick riches?
News is for reference, not investment advice. Please read carefully before making a decision.
ترجمة
Spot BNB Insights 20251126 13:00 UTC
TLDR
BNB experienced varied price movements over the last 24 hours, with recent stability indicating potential shifts, as detailed below.
1. Ecosystem Growth: BNB Chain expands with new features and a $1M DeFi festival.
2. Institutional Interest: VanEck's spot ETF filing signals growing institutional engagement.
3. Technical Signals: Weakening shortterm momentum indicated by bearish MACD and RSI.
Positives
1. Ecosystem Growth: BNB Chain continues to expand with new listings like Cronos Army on dappBay and growing RealWorld Assets, alongside a significant $1 million reward DeFi Festival.
2. Institutional Interest: VanEck has filed an updated S1 for a spot BNB ETF with ticker VBNB, signaling growing institutional attention and potential for broader market integration.
3. Smart Money Accumulation: Onchain data indicates smart money has been accumulating BNB over the past 24 hours, suggesting a potential bullish outlook from informed investors.
Risks
1. Weakening Technical Momentum: Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and RSI values below 50, indicating weakening shortterm momentum and potential for further price adjustments.
2. Selling Pressure: Recent data observed significant outflows in earlier hours, suggesting periods of selling pressure that could impact BNB's shortterm price stability.
3. Security Concerns: Reports indicate a Sybil attack controlled 60% of a BNB Chain airdrop, which remains unaddressed, raising concerns about ecosystem security and trust.
Community Sentiment
1. Bullish Outlook: The community expresses strong confidence in BNB's future, anticipating significant price increases and viewing recent dips as valuable buying opportunities.
2. Ecosystem Optimism: Many users are optimistic about BNB Chain's expanding utility, including direct US stock purchases via Wallet and participation in airdrop programs.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
BNB experienced varied price movements over the last 24 hours, with recent stability indicating potential shifts, as detailed below.
1. Ecosystem Growth: BNB Chain expands with new features and a $1M DeFi festival.
2. Institutional Interest: VanEck's spot ETF filing signals growing institutional engagement.
3. Technical Signals: Weakening shortterm momentum indicated by bearish MACD and RSI.
Positives
1. Ecosystem Growth: BNB Chain continues to expand with new listings like Cronos Army on dappBay and growing RealWorld Assets, alongside a significant $1 million reward DeFi Festival.
2. Institutional Interest: VanEck has filed an updated S1 for a spot BNB ETF with ticker VBNB, signaling growing institutional attention and potential for broader market integration.
3. Smart Money Accumulation: Onchain data indicates smart money has been accumulating BNB over the past 24 hours, suggesting a potential bullish outlook from informed investors.
Risks
1. Weakening Technical Momentum: Technical indicators show a bearish MACD crossover and RSI values below 50, indicating weakening shortterm momentum and potential for further price adjustments.
2. Selling Pressure: Recent data observed significant outflows in earlier hours, suggesting periods of selling pressure that could impact BNB's shortterm price stability.
3. Security Concerns: Reports indicate a Sybil attack controlled 60% of a BNB Chain airdrop, which remains unaddressed, raising concerns about ecosystem security and trust.
Community Sentiment
1. Bullish Outlook: The community expresses strong confidence in BNB's future, anticipating significant price increases and viewing recent dips as valuable buying opportunities.
2. Ecosystem Optimism: Many users are optimistic about BNB Chain's expanding utility, including direct US stock purchases via Wallet and participation in airdrop programs.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
ترجمة
🚨 Bitcoin News: Bitcoin Enters Its ‘Fastest Bear Market Ever’ — But Key Liquidity Signals Hint at a Bullish Year-End Reversal!👇
Must Read!👇
$BTC
Must Read!👇
$BTC
Binance News
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Bitcoin News: Bitcoin Enters Its ‘Fastest Bear Market Ever’ — But Key Liquidity Signals Hint at a Bullish Year-End Reversal
Bitcoin’s dramatic plunge to $80,600 on Friday extended what analysts are calling the fastest and sharpest bear market drawdown in BTC’s history, but back-tested macro indicators now suggest the current sell-off may be setting up a major bullish inflection point heading into year-end.BitcoinBTC: ~$84,000 (▼23% monthly, ▼10% weekly)The drop below $84,000 pushed BTC to test its 100-week EMA for the first time since October 2023 — the moment the current bull cycle began. According to the Kobeissi Letter, this sell-off marks the “fastest bear market ever” based on speed, depth, and cross-market liquidity stress.Futures liquidations surpassed $1 billion, while Bitcoin has now fallen 36% from its all-time high of $126,210 set just weeks ago.Key TakeawaysCrypto market cap erased 33% since October — a structural unwind, not a normal correction.Crypto funds have logged the largest outflows of 2025, totaling $3.2 billion in three weeks.The NFCI liquidity indicator is falling, historically preceding major BTC rallies by 4–6 weeks.BlackRock’s IBIT ETF is on track for its largest weekly outflow ever, intensifying sell pressure.Back-tested data across 105 macro indicators suggests Bitcoin may be entering a pre-bullish “reset zone.”$1.4B in Bitcoin Outflows Signal Structural Pressure — Not PanicThe total crypto market cap has collapsed from $4.2 trillion → $2.8 trillion since Oct. 6 — a loss of 33%. Analysts say selling pressure is “structural,” coming from:Long-term holders de-riskingDigital asset treasury (DAT) redemptionsETF rebalancing amid macro uncertaintyCrypto investment funds saw $2 billion in outflows last week alone — the worst weekly reading since February. Bitcoin accounted for $1.4 billion, with Ether seeing $689 million withdrawn.Average daily outflows relative to assets under management (AUM) hit all-time highs, dragging industry AUM down to $191 billion, 27% lower than in October.ETF Flows Deepen Bitcoin’s DrawdownSpot Bitcoin ETF flows remain negative, with no sign of sustained inflows.BlackRock’s IBIT — the largest U.S. Bitcoin ETF — is on pace for its biggest weekly outflow ever, nearing a break of February’s $1.17 billion record.These ETF flows have contributed materially to Bitcoin’s plunge into the $80K zone.Macro Liquidity Indicator Suggests Bitcoin Bottom May Be NearWhile many analysts are searching charts for a bottom, macro researcher Miad Kasravi points to a different leading signal: the National Financial Conditions Index (NFCI).After back-testing 105 financial indicators over a decade of Bitcoin price history, Kasravi found that:NFCI reliably leads major Bitcoin rallies by 4–6 weeks during macro regime shifts.Why NFCI Matters for BitcoinNFCI is currently at -0.52 and trending lowerEvery 0.10 decrease in NFCI historically aligns with 15–20% BTC upsideA drop toward -0.60 has historically preceded parabolic Bitcoin accelerationThis exact dynamic appeared:October 2022 → BTC rallied 94%July 2024 → BTC surged from $50K → $107KA December Liquidity Boost Is on the HorizonThe Federal Reserve is preparing to rotate mortgage-backed securities (MBS) into short-term Treasury bills.While not labeled as Quantitative Easing (QE), analysts note:“This resembles the 2019 ‘not-QE’ liquidity event that preceded a 40% Bitcoin rally.”If NFCI continues trending downward into December, it aligns with a historically reliable liquidity window — one that has preceded major Bitcoin reversals.What It Means for Bitcoin’s Year-End OutlookDespite the sell-off:Technicals show BTC retesting long-term cycle supportMacro liquidity indicators are improvingMarket structure resembles prior pre-rally washoutsETF outflows appear tactical, not structural exitsBitcoin’s Fear & Greed Index sits in Extreme Fear, often a contrarian bullish zone, according to Cointelegraph.
ترجمة
🚨 Cool!👇
Bluechip
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صاعد
After 16 years and $1.83 trillion, I finally understand what Bitcoin actually is.
It's not digital gold. It's not a payment system. It's not even money.
Bitcoin is humanity's first institution where legitimacy comes from physics instead of politics.
Here's what that means:
Your bank account exists because a government says it does. They can freeze it. Print more. Change the rules.
Bitcoin exists because thermodynamics says it does. Each block costs $281,700 in electricity. You cannot print energy. You cannot vote to change physics.
To rewrite one day of Bitcoin history costs $40 million in power.
To rewrite one day of banking history costs one phone call.
This is why it won't stop.
Not because of price. Not because of believers. Because of math.
Metcalfe's Law predicts Bitcoin's price with 90% accuracy across 15 years. The same law that governs how epidemics spread and how earthquakes cascade.
Game theory predicts zero successful attacks across 16 years. The same math that keeps nuclear weapons unused and traffic flowing.
Thermodynamics predicts why it costs more to attack than defend. The same physics that makes gold impossible to counterfeit.
Three scientific laws. 16 years of data. $1.83 trillion in validation.
Every other money in history asked: "Do you trust us?"
Bitcoin asks: "Can you do the math?"
For 5,000 years, money meant trusting kings, priests, or central bankers.
For 16 years, money has meant verifying physics.
You don't have to believe in Bitcoin.
You didn't have to believe in the internet either.
TCP/IP hit year 16 in 2005. People still thought it was a fad.
Today you're reading this because of it.
The pattern is simple: Infrastructure that removes the need for trust always wins. Always.
Not today. Not this year.
But eventually.
Because physics is patient.
And physics doesn't negotiate
It's not digital gold. It's not a payment system. It's not even money.
Bitcoin is humanity's first institution where legitimacy comes from physics instead of politics.
Here's what that means:
Your bank account exists because a government says it does. They can freeze it. Print more. Change the rules.
Bitcoin exists because thermodynamics says it does. Each block costs $281,700 in electricity. You cannot print energy. You cannot vote to change physics.
To rewrite one day of Bitcoin history costs $40 million in power.
To rewrite one day of banking history costs one phone call.
This is why it won't stop.
Not because of price. Not because of believers. Because of math.
Metcalfe's Law predicts Bitcoin's price with 90% accuracy across 15 years. The same law that governs how epidemics spread and how earthquakes cascade.
Game theory predicts zero successful attacks across 16 years. The same math that keeps nuclear weapons unused and traffic flowing.
Thermodynamics predicts why it costs more to attack than defend. The same physics that makes gold impossible to counterfeit.
Three scientific laws. 16 years of data. $1.83 trillion in validation.
Every other money in history asked: "Do you trust us?"
Bitcoin asks: "Can you do the math?"
For 5,000 years, money meant trusting kings, priests, or central bankers.
For 16 years, money has meant verifying physics.
You don't have to believe in Bitcoin.
You didn't have to believe in the internet either.
TCP/IP hit year 16 in 2005. People still thought it was a fad.
Today you're reading this because of it.
The pattern is simple: Infrastructure that removes the need for trust always wins. Always.
Not today. Not this year.
But eventually.
Because physics is patient.
And physics doesn't negotiate
ترجمة
Spot BNB Insights 20251118 08:00 UTC
#BinanceLiveFutures
TLDR
BNB is currently trading at $909.29, down 1.48% in the last 24 hours, reflecting recent market dynamics, however
1. Ecosystem Growth: Key integrations and partnerships strengthen BNB Chain's utility.
2. Bearish Technicals: Price below key moving averages, signaling caution.
3. Selling Pressure: Significant large outflows suggest concentrated selling activity.
Positives
1. RWA Expansion: BlackRock's BUIDL integration on BNB Chain boosts institutional collateral options and realworld asset tokenization, enhancing BNB's utility.
2. Ecosystem Development: BNB Chain continues to grow with new integrations like the CMC20 index token, SmartSentinels, and Shariacompliant staking options.
3. ShortTerm Momentum: MACD shows a bullish crossover with a positive histogram, suggesting potential upward momentum for BNB after recent price dips.
Risks
1. Bearish Trend: BNB's 7day, 25day, and 99day exponential moving averages are bearishly aligned, with price trading below key mid and longterm moving averages.
2. Large Outflows: Recent money flow data shows significant large outflows, including over $12 million at 05:00:00 UTC, indicating concentrated selling pressure from larger holders.
3. Regulatory Uncertainty: Discussions about potential government agency access to offshore crypto data for tokens like BNB introduce an element of regulatory concern.
Community Sentiment
1. Mixed Outlook: The community holds a mixed outlook, recognizing BNB's strong longterm potential and ecosystem growth amid shortterm market volatility.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
#BinanceLiveFutures
TLDR
BNB is currently trading at $909.29, down 1.48% in the last 24 hours, reflecting recent market dynamics, however
1. Ecosystem Growth: Key integrations and partnerships strengthen BNB Chain's utility.
2. Bearish Technicals: Price below key moving averages, signaling caution.
3. Selling Pressure: Significant large outflows suggest concentrated selling activity.
Positives
1. RWA Expansion: BlackRock's BUIDL integration on BNB Chain boosts institutional collateral options and realworld asset tokenization, enhancing BNB's utility.
2. Ecosystem Development: BNB Chain continues to grow with new integrations like the CMC20 index token, SmartSentinels, and Shariacompliant staking options.
3. ShortTerm Momentum: MACD shows a bullish crossover with a positive histogram, suggesting potential upward momentum for BNB after recent price dips.
Risks
1. Bearish Trend: BNB's 7day, 25day, and 99day exponential moving averages are bearishly aligned, with price trading below key mid and longterm moving averages.
2. Large Outflows: Recent money flow data shows significant large outflows, including over $12 million at 05:00:00 UTC, indicating concentrated selling pressure from larger holders.
3. Regulatory Uncertainty: Discussions about potential government agency access to offshore crypto data for tokens like BNB introduce an element of regulatory concern.
Community Sentiment
1. Mixed Outlook: The community holds a mixed outlook, recognizing BNB's strong longterm potential and ecosystem growth amid shortterm market volatility.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
ش
BNBUSD CM
دائم
مغلق
الأرباح والخسائر
-0.0001BNB
ترجمة
Spot BNB Insights 20251116 08:00 UTC
TLDR
BNB exhibits strong price momentum and ecosystem growth driven by significant institutional integration, leading to further analysis.
1. BlackRock Catalyst: Institutional RWA integration boosts BNB's market position.
2. Ecosystem Strength: BNB Chain shows significant growth and technical upgrades.
3. Upward Momentum: Recent technical indicators signal bullish price movement and shortterm strength.
Positives
1. Institutional Integration: The BlackRock BUIDL fund's expansion onto BNB Chain and its approval as offexchange collateral significantly bolsters institutional adoption and Real World Asset (RWA) utility.
2. Bullish Technicals: BNB's price has risen approximately 1.13% in the last 24 hours to 943.48 USDT, supported by a bullish MACD crossover and the 7period EMA crossing above the 25period EMA.
3. Ecosystem Expansion: BNB Chain demonstrates robust activity with millions of daily active users, billions in total value locked, and a recent Fermi Hardfork enhancing scalability.
Risks
1. Potential Overextension: The 6period RSI is elevated at 68.68, and the price (943.48 USDT) is nearing the upper Bollinger Band (947.16), suggesting strong shortterm buying pressure that might precede a consolidation.
Community Sentiment
1. Strong Conviction: The community expresses high conviction for BNB's longterm value, with some comparing its potential to past successes and emphasizing its role as a core asset in the ecosystem.
2. Positive Outlook: Many community members are highly optimistic about BNB, citing the BlackRock BUIDL integration as a major catalyst for future growth and institutional funds inflow.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
BNB exhibits strong price momentum and ecosystem growth driven by significant institutional integration, leading to further analysis.
1. BlackRock Catalyst: Institutional RWA integration boosts BNB's market position.
2. Ecosystem Strength: BNB Chain shows significant growth and technical upgrades.
3. Upward Momentum: Recent technical indicators signal bullish price movement and shortterm strength.
Positives
1. Institutional Integration: The BlackRock BUIDL fund's expansion onto BNB Chain and its approval as offexchange collateral significantly bolsters institutional adoption and Real World Asset (RWA) utility.
2. Bullish Technicals: BNB's price has risen approximately 1.13% in the last 24 hours to 943.48 USDT, supported by a bullish MACD crossover and the 7period EMA crossing above the 25period EMA.
3. Ecosystem Expansion: BNB Chain demonstrates robust activity with millions of daily active users, billions in total value locked, and a recent Fermi Hardfork enhancing scalability.
Risks
1. Potential Overextension: The 6period RSI is elevated at 68.68, and the price (943.48 USDT) is nearing the upper Bollinger Band (947.16), suggesting strong shortterm buying pressure that might precede a consolidation.
Community Sentiment
1. Strong Conviction: The community expresses high conviction for BNB's longterm value, with some comparing its potential to past successes and emphasizing its role as a core asset in the ecosystem.
2. Positive Outlook: Many community members are highly optimistic about BNB, citing the BlackRock BUIDL integration as a major catalyst for future growth and institutional funds inflow.
Src: Binance AI
$BNB
ترجمة
Market Deleveraging Continues as Leverage Positions Decline!
According to BlockBeats, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has noted that the process of market deleveraging is ongoing, with excess risk being steadily eliminated and the use of leverage gradually cooling down. Over the past three months, there has been a 21% decrease in open interest. During the adjustment periods of September 2024 and April 2025, leverage positions saw declines of approximately 24% and 29%, respectively. These figures are now approaching levels similar to previous patterns. In bull market phases, a reduction in leverage positions often precedes a trend reversal, aiding in market cleansing and rebuilding on a healthier foundation.
Src: Binance New
$BNB
According to BlockBeats, CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost has noted that the process of market deleveraging is ongoing, with excess risk being steadily eliminated and the use of leverage gradually cooling down. Over the past three months, there has been a 21% decrease in open interest. During the adjustment periods of September 2024 and April 2025, leverage positions saw declines of approximately 24% and 29%, respectively. These figures are now approaching levels similar to previous patterns. In bull market phases, a reduction in leverage positions often precedes a trend reversal, aiding in market cleansing and rebuilding on a healthier foundation.
Src: Binance New
$BNB
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