Gold Nears a Historic Monetary Level as #Bitcoin Tests Support
Gold, when adjusted for U.S. money supply, is challenging a level that has acted as resistance for decades. It was reached in 2011 and only decisively broken during the inflationary surge of the late 1970s.
Bitcoin, often compared to digital gold, is instead pulling back toward a defining support zone. That level coincides with both the April macro-driven selloff and the previous cycle high earlier this year.
Gold’s strength reflects rising concern around currency debasement. Bitcoin’s position reflects consolidation within its cycle, not the end of its long-term trend.
Markets are weighing the same problem through two different instruments. #BTC☀️ $BTC
Trump Media Actively Managing Its Bitcoin Reserves
Trump Media moved about $174M in bitcoin across wallets a day after adding more BTC to its balance. A small portion was sent to Coinbase Prime Custody, while most remained under the same entity’s control.
This type of movement usually reflects treasury operations, not selling. Custody products are designed for long-term storage, not immediate trading.
Bitcoin’s price stayed flat despite the transfer, suggesting the market viewed it as neutral.
The key takeaway is institutional-style management of bitcoin, not speculative behavior. #BTC☀️ #Tramp $BTC
Bitcoin’s $70K–$80K range is one of its weakest historical zones.
BTC spent very little time there over the past five years, which means fewer positions were built and less structural support exists. Glassnode data confirms low supply concentration in the same range.
If price pulls back, this zone may require consolidation before acting as a true floor.
📉 Since March 3, the number of wallets holding at least 1 BTC is down 2.2%. On the surface, that looks bearish.
📈 But here’s the twist: Wallets with more than 1 BTC now hold 136,670 more coins.
🤔 In simple terms: • Fewer wallets • Bigger holders • More accumulation at the top
This doesn’t look like panic selling. It looks like #Bitcoin slowly moving into stronger hands. $BTC #BTC BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Bitcoin holding between $85,000 and $90,000 for most of December has less to do with sentiment and more to do with derivatives structure.
Heavy options exposure near spot forced market makers to hedge aggressively, buying dips and selling rallies. This behavior suppressed volatility and locked price into a narrow corridor, even as macro conditions improved and risk assets moved higher.
That dynamic changes as year-end options expire. With roughly $27B in open interest rolling off and a strong call bias still in place, the hedging pressure that pinned price fades quickly.
Implied volatility remains near monthly lows, suggesting the market is underpricing movement just as structural constraints are removed.
When positioning dominates price for weeks, the resolution often comes fast once those constraints disappear.
Why Markets Are Choosing Gold and Copper Over Bitcoin in 2025
This year’s market behavior tells a clear story. Investors are prioritizing assets they can touch, store, and rely on when confidence in financial systems weakens or when growth demands real infrastructure.
Gold has surged as fears around fiscal sustainability, currency debasement, and political instability intensify. Copper has followed, driven by the AI boom, electrification, and global infrastructure build-out. Both assets represent tangibility in a world questioning paper promises.
Bitcoin, despite being positioned as both digital gold and high-end tech, has not captured either flow. Institutions have largely priced in ETFs and regulatory clarity, while sovereigns continue to favor gold as their hedge of choice.
This divergence does not necessarily mean Bitcoin has lost relevance. Historically, gold tends to lead during periods of monetary stress, with Bitcoin reacting later and often with greater volatility.
The current market is not rejecting crypto. It is demanding proof, patience, and timing.
🚨 $BTC Regime Score is flashing an early signal most traders miss… Bull/Bear structure is compressing Regime score hovering near the critical equilibrium zone (~16%) This zone historically marks transitions, not trends
When the score stays below zero → distribution & downside volatility Sustained break above the regime baseline → trend expansion & momentum return
Right now, $BTC is NOT trending it’s coiling The longer the compression, the stronger the next impulse Smart money doesn’t chase candles. They position before the regime flips. #BTCPriceAnalysis $BTC BTCPriceAnalysis# #OnChainAnalysis # #MarketRegime
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I've been in this market since 2017. I saw the euphoria when taxi drivers were telling me to buy crypto. I saw the despair when my portfolio bled -75% in a week. I thought I was used to everything.
But this... this feels different.
Everything seems to be going up, institutions are here, ETFs are live. Yet, there is this strange tension in the air. It’s not the easy euphoria of the last bull run. It feels like the calm before something massive, either a life-changing pump or... well, you know.
Last night, I closed the terminal and just went for a walk without my phone. Sometimes you need a reminder that life isn't just green and red candles.
Came back and bought a little more $BTC Because despite the nerves, I believe in the long run.
How are you handling the pressure right now? Are you anxious or totally zen? #BTC Price Analysis# #Macro Insights#
NVDA moves on earnings and hype. Bitcoin’s volatility is dropping because adoption is rising. That’s maturity, not luck
N-Crypto Queen
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🚨 Nvidia Alert Analyst Bernstein says NVDA is historically cheapforward P/E under 25x, 13% below SOX index. Buying at these levels averaged 150% 1 year returns with no losses over 10 years. Despite AI capex concerns, NVDA stays Outperform with a $275 target.
Inflation cooled and rates were cut, but traders still sold risk assets. $BTC is down about 2% near $88,100 as many lock in profits after the recent run, with added nerves around potential ETF-linked liquidation pressure if the dip deepens.
$ETH also followed the market lower, sliding over 2% to around $2,940 as selling spread across majors. On days like this, “good macro” doesn’t always matter - positioning and risk-off mood can overpower the headlines fast.
📊 Brazil’s Largest Bank Recommends Bitcoin as a Portfolio Hedge
Brazil’s largest private bank, Itaú Unibanco, is advising investors to allocate 1%–3% of their portfolios to $BTC, framing it as a diversification tool rather than a speculative bet.
According to Renato Eid, head of beta strategies at Itaú Asset Management, Bitcoin should serve as a complementary asset, not a core holding. The focus is on long-term positioning, not market timing, with $BTC offering returns that are largely uncorrelated with domestic economic cycles.
The recommendation is closely tied to currency risk. After the Brazilian real hit record lows in late 2024, Itaú highlighted Bitcoin’s potential role as a partial hedge against FX volatility, alongside its function as a global store of value.
Itaú’s guidance references BITI11, a Brazil-listed Bitcoin ETF launched in partnership with Galaxy Digital. The fund currently manages over $115 million, providing local investors with regulated BTC exposure and international diversification.
The move reflects a broader institutional shift. Similar allocation ranges have been suggested by global banks, signaling that Bitcoin is increasingly viewed not as an outlier, but as a structured portfolio component in emerging-market risk management.
Question: Is a 1%–3% $BTC allocation becoming the new conservative baseline for institutional portfolios? #BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?# #BTC #Brazil
$BTC continues to exhibit volatility, with recent rallies encountering significant selling pressure near the intra-day range highs. This persistent resistance suggests that traders are cautious, particularly in light of macroeconomic factors influencing the broader financial landscape.
Market analysts are closely monitoring the implications of potential interest rate cuts from the Bank of Japan, which could further exacerbate downward trends not only for $BTC but also for various altcoins. The anticipation of these monetary policy adjustments may create a ripple effect across the cryptocurrency market, prompting investors to reassess their positions.
While $BTC remains a focal point, other cryptocurrencies are also feeling the impact of this uncertainty. Investors are advised to stay vigilant as market dynamics shift, particularly with the backdrop of traditional financial movements influencing crypto valuations.
🇺🇸 US Congress pauses crypto regulation $BTCregulation
US Congress has decided to delay work on the crypto market structure bill until next year. While the market is searching for positive signals, lawmakers are not in a hurry. No urgency, no pressure, just business as usual in Washington.
For now, crypto continues to operate without new rules, keeping the market in wait-and-see mode.
#BTC Price Analysis##Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
Why Holding Bitcoin Is No Longer Enough for Public Crypto Firms
Twenty One Capital (XXI) debuted on the NYSE with one of the largest corporate $BTC treasuries on record, but shares fell nearly 20% on day one. The market’s message was clear: simply holding Bitcoin is no longer enough to justify a premium valuation.
Key Takeaways:
XXI’s shares traded near the net value of its 43,500 $BTC , signaling fading mNAV premiums for Bitcoin-heavy equities.
Investors now demand visible revenue streams, operating leverage, and cash-flow narratives, not just asset exposure.
Market conditions, including SPAC fatigue and a recent BTC pullback, amplified skepticism toward balance-sheet-only valuations.
The shift highlights a broader trend: Bitcoin treasury firms must prove they can generate durable returns beyond price movements, rather than relying solely on crypto holdings. In this new environment, vision alone no longer commands investor confidence. #BTC Price Analysis# #Bitcoin2025#Bitcoin Price Prediction: What is Bitcoins next move?#
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