I have been in crypto since 2016, on Binance since 2021. I love cryptocurrencies. I'm also an artist and a designer. Trading is my first love! BTC is Love
Yesterday, the market was relatively flat during the day, with limited price fluctuations for Bitcoin. However, in the evening, the trend strengthened significantly, and the price surged rapidly, reaching a high near 94,500 before starting to pull back. Currently, the market is consolidating around the 92,400 level.
Overall, after a sustained upward move, the market has entered a consolidation phase at a high level. Although there is some short-term downward pressure, the main technical structure still favors the bulls. Going forward, attention should be paid to whether the price can find effective support near key moving averages and previous resistance areas and regain upward momentum.
It is recommended to go long around 92,200 and 91,500, with initial targets at 94,600.
Bitcoin and most major altcoins are under pressure in early December, with BTC pulling back to the high‑$80k/low‑$90k range after hitting a new all‑time high in October, while regulation and policy headlines are heating up globally. Sentiment is cautious to fearful, but there are also some very bullish structural and regulatory developments in the background.
Market moves
- Bitcoin is trading around the high‑$80k to low‑$90k area today, down roughly 10–13% over the past month and well below its October all‑time high near $126k.
$BTC
- The recent sell‑off has hit altcoins too, with Ethereum slipping from around $3,000 a week ago toward the high‑$2k range and broader market sentiment sitting in “extreme fear.”
- Analysts frame this as a sharp correction after a strong 2025 run rather than a full structural breakdown, though near‑term volatility remains elevated.
Regulations and policy
- 2025 is a major inflection year for crypto law: in the US, a new stablecoin law (GENIUS Act) and a broader market‑structure bill (often referred to with the CLARITY framework) are advancing, aiming to clearly split oversight between the SEC and CFTC and provide paths for token listings and platforms.
- Globally, a large group of jurisdictions covering most of the crypto market have rolled out or tightened frameworks for exchanges, stablecoins, and licensing, including the EU’s MiCA regime moving from design to real‑world implementation this year.
Trader takeaways
- Trend: Macro uptrend still intact on the higher‑timeframe chart, but currently in a corrective phase with elevated downside volatility.
- Narrative: Short‑term “fear” and profit‑taking vs. long‑term tailwinds from institutional adoption, treasury strategies, and clearer regulation in the US and EU.
US President Trump just posted on Truth Social: "AIRSPACE ABOVE & SURROUNDING VENEZUELA BE CLOSED IN ITS ENTIRETY" to airlines, pilots, & traffickers. FAA warnings + USS Gerald R. Ford carrier buildup in Caribbean = strikes "very soon" per Trump. Airlines already suspending flights; Venezuela calls it "illegal aggression."
Oil Spike Ahead: Venezuela's oil exports could tank, pushing crude higher → global inflation up, fuel costs could rise
Gold Play: Usually goes up. Good time to get more $PAXG - Bullish
Crypto Play: Venezuela already USDT-heavy (hyperinflation hedge). Escalation = more stablecoin demand + BTC as "sanctions escape," but watch liquidations & Treasury blacklists. De-risk leverage NOW – volatility incoming! - Bearish
$BTC faces high short-term downside risk from a Venezuela attack, with quick 2-5% drops common on strike headlines due to risk-off liquidations, but often rebounds within hours/days if conflict stays limited.
The U.S. administration has now withheld both the GDP report and the monthly Jobs Report — a move many analysts say is unprecedented. Without these core indicators, investors, businesses, and even the Federal Reserve are essentially “flying blind.”
Economic transparency isn’t just data — it’s trust. And when trust disappears, markets react.
⚠️ Possible Negative Effects on the U.S. Economy
1. Market Uncertainty & Volatility Without GDP, jobs, inflation, and spending data, investors lose confidence. Businesses can’t plan, banks can’t forecast, and the Fed can’t make informed rate decisions. This increases volatility in stocks, bonds, and commodities.
2. Higher Borrowing Costs Uncertainty often pushes interest rates upward because lenders demand more “risk premium.” This hurts consumers (loans, mortgages) and businesses (expansion, hiring).
3. Slower Economic Growth Delayed data = delayed decisions. When companies don’t know the economic picture, they pause hiring, investments, and spending — dragging down growth.
4. Lower Institutional Trust A government withholding essential economic data creates fear of mismanagement or manipulation. Confidence — the backbone of modern economies — begins to weaken.
⚠️ Possible Negative Effects on Crypto
1. Short-Term Panic Selling When traditional markets lose clarity, retail investors often panic. Crypto, being highly sentiment-driven, can see sudden drops.
2. Reduced Liquidity Institutional players rely heavily on macro data to trade BTC, ETH, and altcoins. Without indicators, many pause or reduce positions — lowering liquidity and widening spreads.
3. Increased Correlation With Risk Assets In periods of uncertainty, crypto tends to behave like tech stocks. If U.S. markets drop on fear, crypto can fall alongside them.
4. Fear of Regulatory or Political Motives When economic transparency is compromised, investors worry about broader instability — including tighter controls on digital assets.
Breaking News: UAE’s First AED-Backed Stablecoin Powers Real Estate Payments via Mbank’s AEC Wallet
Abu Dhabi: Al Maryah Community Bank (Mbank), The UAE’s first fully integrated digital bank, has announced a strategic collaboration with East & West International Group (EWIG) to officially launch AE Coin payment capabilities for property transactions through the AEC Wallet, powered by Mbank. This milestone highlights EWIG’s leadership in UAE real estate by enabling blockchain-powered payments through AE Coin, the nation’s first AED-backed stablecoin regulated by the Central Bank of the UAE.
This partnership marks a major leap forward in the practical application of blockchain in real estate, enabling buyers and tenants to settle payments instantly and securely using AE Coin, while benefiting from lower transaction costs and greater transparency, all within a fully compliant and regulated ecosystem.
#Bitcoin and indeed the broader crypto market is set for possibly it's most critical trading week ahead of this year, as the price sits at a rebound or collapse zone.
Before I get to a breakdown of indicators, I will simply, say that when things appear to be at their very worst in crypto is usually exactly the time you should consider getting exposure.
Starting with the good news first, and Top Traders with the highest margin balances on Binance are still very bullish. Top Traders have been positioned all week for gains, and they are not being deterred by the big drop in price this week.
Now to the less positive part. Biyond's Vanguard is still very bearish on the all important higher time frames. Their front-running Vanguard 2.0 model on Tradingview is also showing we are set for another Red weekly candle.
Now to the less positive part. Vanguard indicator is still very bearish on the all important higher time frames. A front-running Vanguard 2.0 model on Tradingview is also showing we are set for another Red weekly candle. Atlas indicator moving higher again this week is probably the most worrying indicator we have right now. The constant move higher in Atlas has coincided with the price dump in $BTC . In short, Atlas is still going the wrong way. What is happening with Atlas is a double-edged sword. Atlas is showing that Bitcoin is deeply oversold right now.
However, despite Atlas being very oversold, we still don't know if we are going to see another leg lower in Bitcoin as it continues to run higher.
#Bitcoin and indeed the broader crypto market is set for possibly it's most critical trading week ahead of this year, as the price sits at a rebound or collapse zone.
Before I get to a breakdown of indicators, I will simply, say that when things appear to be at their very worst in crypto is usually exactly the time you should consider getting exposure.
Starting with the good news first, and Top Traders with the highest margin balances on Binance are still very bullish. Top Traders have been positioned all week for gains, and they are not being deterred by the big drop in price this week.
Now to the less positive part. Biyond's Vanguard is still very bearish on the all important higher time frames. Their front-running Vanguard 2.0 model on Tradingview is also showing we are set for another Red weekly candle.
Now to the less positive part. Vanguard indicator is still very bearish on the all important higher time frames. A front-running Vanguard 2.0 model on Tradingview is also showing we are set for another Red weekly candle. Atlas indicator moving higher again this week is probably the most worrying indicator we have right now. The constant move higher in Atlas has coincided with the price dump in $BTC . In short, Atlas is still going the wrong way. What is happening with Atlas is a double-edged sword. Atlas is showing that Bitcoin is deeply oversold right now.
However, despite Atlas being very oversold, we still don't know if we are going to see another leg lower in Bitcoin as it continues to run higher.
Stop loss: $150 (≈ −8.7% from $164). Tight stop option: $155 (−5.7%) if you want smaller drawdown.
Confidence: Moderate — 60% for the $180 target (because SOL shows support and short-term bullish setups), ~45% for the $200 breakout target (requires follow-through).
Why $SOL
1. Price & liquidity — SOL is a major L1 with deep liquidity (top crypto market cap, heavy volume). Current price/market data corroborates liquidity to enter/exit within a month.
2. Technical context — recent bounce from the $150 support zone and a break above short-term consolidation suggests a near-term mean reversion / bounce to the next resistance band near $175–$180. Several short-term TA writeups flagged the $150 support and a likely move to $175.
3. Fundamental tailwinds — network upgrades and institutional stories (treasury accumulation, institutional interest) create a plausible catalyst that could amplify a technical breakout within a month.
Technical analysis
1) Trend & structure
Daily trend recently pulled back from earlier highs; intermediate trend shows a correction that found support around $150. Bounce off that level suggests buyers defended it — that support becomes our key invalidation point.
2) Support & resistance
Immediate support: $150 (strong), then $140 (secondary).