CryptoZeno

$BTC [2h] keeps following a classic Wyckoff Accumulation Scheme.
LPS - pullback after a SOS, on lower volume, yields higher low
There can be multiple LPS
Markup (Phase E) is confirmed when price breaks SOS with strong volume and retests it as support on lower volume.

The #Bitcoin Game Never Changes Only People Forget
Two things about $BTC never change
1⃣ The 4-Year Cycle
2⃣ People expecting it to break... and failing

👀 Despite the confusing early 2025 price action, the Halving Cycles Theory remains undefeated.
Cycle Top Echo High → August - September 2025
Cycle Top → October - December 2025

Forget the ETF fairytales. Institutions won’t break the cycle. They’ll just ride it.
❌ 2026 isn’t a bull market extension. It’s the Orange Year. Expect pain.
Bitcoin is still doing… what #Bitcoin always does.

$USUAL looks strong as RWA and SEED narratives continue to heat up.
Price has completed a clean breakout and successful retest on lower timeframes, holding above key support. Structure favors a continuation move in the short term.
Entry: 0.025
Stoploss: 0.02
Targets: 0.029 - 0.036 - 0.044

$C is compressing at long-term support after a prolonged downtrend.
Price is testing the descending trendline on the daily timeframe, with downside risk limited at current levels.
Entry: 0.082
Stoploss: 0.070
Targets: 0.14 - 0.18 - 0.27

$MITO is grinding down along a descending trendline on the daily chart.
Price is holding near range support after a long compression phase, suggesting a potential trendline breakout if volume expands.
Entry: 0.072 - 0.075
Stoploss: 0.066
Targets: 0.10 - 0.145 - 0.20

$THE is attempting a reversal after a prolonged downtrend.
Price is breaking the descending trendline and holding above the support zone on the daily timeframe.

Entry: 0.17 - 0.18
Stoploss: 0.145
Targets: 0.24 - 0.40 - 0.55 - 0.72

$BTC Heavy selling straight into Friday’s liquidations pocket.
Massive market sells + fresh net shorts piling in.
Longs got flushed hard you can see the spike-out clearly on the chart.
Now the question is simple: Scam dump → reversal?
Or do we open a big gap to sync with CME? CME closed at 89k

📅 Today marks 15 years since #SatoshiNakamoto officially disappeared from social media and #Bitcoin forums.
Satoshi’s last post was on December 13, 2010. Since then, there has been no further trace or information.
After 15 years, the crypto market has changed dramatically, in ways that even Satoshi himself might not have imagined when creating Bitcoin:
🔹 Bitcoin once cost only a few cents, and now it has reached tens of thousands, even hundreds of thousands of USD per $BTC
🔹 The total crypto market capitalization grew from almost zero to nearly 4 trillion USD at its peak
🔹 From something once considered a scam or a niche experiment, crypto has now gained acceptance from major financial institutions and even governments
One person disappeared, but a financial revolution continues to grow stronger.

#Bitcoin and #Ethereum have 20 days to close the year in the green.

🔥 #Bitcoin Cycle Anatomy Is Repeating And the Chart Isn’t Lying
The 3-Week Donchian Basis has mapped every major $BTC cycle for 15 years and this chart shows we’re approaching the same structural breakdown zone that preceded every historical bear phase.

The Donchian Basis is a cycle boundary marker. When price loses it on the 3W timeframe, the market historically shifts from distribution → decline.
We’re now at the same inflection point.

⚠The next 4–6 months may decide whether we get a euphoric blow-off… or the first cracks of the next macro downtrend.
Stay alert. Protect capital. Read the cycles.

$BTC | Additional Context
The next FOMC meeting is December 9–10th. I expected this entire retracement and opened short positions at 92K.
We also have a new monthly open. Usually a area where we can form the early month pivot for trend direction. We still have about a week to go, which means there’s room for additional downside liquidity hunts. However, the broader expectation is a move upward heading into FOMC.
As for where that pre FOMC high will form, that’s impossible to call. What matters most is timing and execution once key levels are tested. From here, BTC will either establish a higher low or sweep the current 80K lows before making a push upward into the meeting.
This outlook is based on my confluences and historical behavior. We’ve rallied in both of the last 2 instances when rate cuts were announced, and there’s currently a 75% probability of another cut. That sets up a likely "sell-the-news" scenario, a bullish catalyst for price to move into beforehand.

$BTC The price is now testing a key lost high-timeframe support range, the same bottoming formation from December 2024 and the January–February base. As I’ll cover in my upcoming update, this is an important test.
Because of this, I believe the best approach is to stay somewhat cautious on the low-timeframes.
We could still see a rejection here, and if that happens, I’ll scale back into the hedges I trimmed once the high-timeframe support range in blue, the early-April bottoming formation, got tested.
Going forward, the setup is simple: the on-chain data, Velo data, and funding rates all point toward upside in the coming weeks.
But this short-term volatility is something we have to track. As I mentioned in one of my latest alerts, the Liquidation-Heatmap shows a cluster of overleveraged longs sitting on the downside, and they could be wiped out before the next leg up.

The bear trap just snapped shut. Funding rates do not lie.
On Nov 24 $BTC funding flipped negative at minus 0.0033% for the first time in a month.

Translation: the herd got scared, shorted the bottom, and paid the market to take their money.

Now we are back to neutral at 0.0023 percent.
The foam is gone. The shorts are trapped. The path of least resistance is up.

This is the cleanest entry signal you will get all quarter.

🚨 $BTC Coinbase Premium Just Flipped Deeply Negative
U.S. spot demand is evaporating the Coinbase Premium Index has plunged into its lowest negative zone of the entire cycle.
When Coinbase trades at a discount, it often signals persistent sell pressure from U.S. participants and a lack of aggressive dip-buying.

Premium has stayed below zero for weeks a rare sustained imbalance.
Historically, extended negative premiums have aligned with fearful local bottoms or the early stages of deeper macro downtrends.
Price action continues to struggle below key liquidity levels as U.S. spot weakness drags the market.

⚠ Until this premium turns positive again, $BTC remains vulnerable, and any bounce is likely to face heavy selling from U.S. traders.

$BTC

CME closed at 91,083.

Currently we have a $500+ gap. I usually do not target gaps over the weekend, I wait for Late sunday/Monday.

We have filled every weekend gap in the past 6 months.

$BTC Had been consolidating in this relatively tight range.

After the futures re-open today, it took out the highs and tapped the $93K level but has now fallen back into the ~91K range.

A break below and I think $88K-$89K are good to watch for a higher low.

Alternatively, acceptance and holding abvoe $91.8K could make for another go at that $93K+ level.

Choppy environment in the short term surrounding Thanksgiving which always sees pretty low volume & liquidity. Especially going into the weekend as well.

$BTC My current plan:

We’re pricing in rate cuts too quickly, which suggests the market is likely to slow down. At this point, price action almost needs to range or show some downside.

We still have two weeks until FOMC, leaving plenty of time for the market to chop. Probabilistically, it makes more sense for momentum to cool off, especially since most of this week’s upward move already played out.

Given that, there’s a strong possibility that we simply chop into Monday, set a Monday high (next week), and then retrace back below 90K toward the 88K area. In other words, we might just keep oscillating near the highs for now.

Since FOMC / rate cuts are considered “bullish,” it makes more sense for the market to rally into the event rather than form a bottom right beforehand. So the structure I’m expecting is:

Retest lower (around 88K) about a week before FOMC

Then rally into the event, sweeping highs and liquidity

and ultimately, FOMC becomes a classic "sell the news" pivot.

Overall, I think a retest of 88K is highly likely. Based on my calculations, this scenario has roughly a 75% probability. Either this plays out, or we somehow keep pumping straight into FOMC for two weeks,which doesn’t align well with the timing or typical market behavior.

🚨 BREAKING NEWS: MICROSTRATEGY JUST STARTED SELLING #BITCOIN
For the first time in 2 years, they have offloaded 33,000 $BTC worth 3.2 billion dollars and continue to sell more every few minutes.
Is it possible they know something big is coming, or is this simply a move to secure safety?