$BTC ,Gold & Silver. WHAT'S GOING ON🚨 Bitcoin: Dropped nearly $4,000 as $500M in leveraged longs were liquidated in just one hour. Gold: Climbs to $4,660/oz, reacting to global risk factors and tariff news. Silver: Breaks $94/oz, showing strong real-time buying pressure. Takeaway: Bitcoin reflects short-term leverage and sentiment-driven volatility, while gold and silver are signaling growing safe-haven demand in the markets.
Donald Trump said his pick to lead the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, could drive economic growth to 15%—a highly optimistic claim that highlights the pressure Warsh would face if confirmed.
In an interview with Fox Business, Trump called it a mistake to appoint Jerome Powell and said Warsh was his “runner-up” choice last time. He emphasized that he wants a Fed chair who will cut rates and dismissed concerns about inflation, even though such growth would normally push prices sharply higher.
The comments signal Trump’s push for aggressive stimulus ahead of midterm elections and suggest a challenging path for Warsh, whose confirmation could be delayed by Senate opposition tied to ongoing disputes over Fed independence.
🚨 The White House is holding a closed-door meeting tomorrow to decide the future of the U.S. crypto market structure bill.
The White House wants both sides to reach compromise language by the end of Feb 2026, with stablecoin yield being the main issue blocking the bill.
The House already passed the CLARITY Act on July 17, 2025. Since then, the bill has been stuck because the Senate cannot agree on one question: Should stablecoin holders be allowed to earn yield? THE CORE FIGHT IS STABLECOIN YIELD Banks see yield-bearing stablecoins as a direct threat to deposits. Bank trade groups warned that up to $6.6 trillion in community bank deposits could be at risk if the yield loophole stays open. Crypto firms see a yield ban very differently. They say banning yield protects banks and hurts competition. For companies like Coinbase, stablecoins are a major business line. They made $355M in stablecoin revenue in Q3 2025 alone, with a yearly run rate heading above $1B. That’s why Brian Armstrong pulled support when the Senate draft tried to tighten yield rules. The GENIUS Act already banned stablecoin issuers from paying interest. The real fight now is whether exchanges and platforms can still share reserve income through rewards and incentives. Here’s where things stand legislatively: The House passed CLARITY in July 2025. Senate Banking released its amendment in Jan 2026, but talks stalled after yield language changed. Senate Agriculture moved its version forward on Jan 29, 2026 along party lines. Without a yield deal, nothing moves. This is why Feb 10 is not a routine meeting. The White House is trying to force a deal on the single issue blocking U.S. crypto regulation. If compromise language is ready by end February, the bill can move forward. If not, delays continue and policy uncertainty drags on.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said last week’s sharp swings in gold were driven by speculative trading in China, calling it a “classical speculative blowoff.”
He said the rally—fueled by geopolitics, Fed concerns, and investor speculation—reversed suddenly, lifting the dollar and pushing the Dow above 50,000 for the first time.
Bessent said the economy is entering an upward cycle ahead of November’s elections and expects the Federal Reserve to move cautiously on shrinking its balance sheet.
He also said Trump’s Fed chair nominee, Kevin Warsh, will be independent but aligned with the administration’s views on interest rates.
ON-CHAIN SIGNAL: Whales Are Accumulating $XRP for a Push to $3.00 🚀🔥
The recent bounce in $XRP wasn't just a relief rally. It's a calculated accumulation by whales, and the on-chain data is flashing major bullish signals. We've seen a 4-month high in whale transactions, with over 1,300 transfers exceeding $100k each. Active addresses are also at a 6-month peak.
This move began after shorts became overly crowded, creating a perfect liquidity squeeze from the $2.00 demand zone. Now, big players are absorbing supply, tightening liquidity, and providing the fuel to reclaim market structure.
This isn't just speculation. It's supported by huge fundamental growth: $1 billion in new ETF inflows and a 164% surge in on-ledger stablecoin growth. The target remains the $2.80 to $3.00 range.
🚨THIS IS WHY BITCOIN DUMPED NON STOP FROM $126,000 TO $60,000🚨
$BTC has now crashed -53% in just 120 days without any major negative news or event and this is not normal.
Macro pressure plays a role, but it’s not the main reason Bitcoin keeps dumping. The real driver is something much bigger that most people aren’t talking about yet.
Bitcoin’s original valuation model was built on the idea that supply is fixed at 21 million coins and that price moves based on real buying and selling of those coins. In the early cycles, this was mostly true. But today, that structure has changed.
A large share of Bitcoin trading activity now happens through synthetic markets rather than spot markets.
All of these allow exposure to Bitcoin’s price without requiring actual Bitcoin to move on chain. This changes how price is discovered because now selling pressure can come from derivative positioning rather than real holders selling coins.
For example:
If institutions open large short positions in futures markets, price can fall even if no spot Bitcoin is sold.
If leveraged long traders get liquidated, forced selling happens through derivatives, accelerating downside moves. This creates cascade effects where liquidations drive price, not spot supply.
That is why recent sell offs look very structured. You see long liquidation waves, funding flips negative, open interest collapses, all signs that derivatives positioning is driving the move.
So while Bitcoin’s hard cap has not changed, the effective tradable supply influencing price has expanded through synthetic exposure.
Price today reacts to leverage, hedging flows, and positioning, not just spot demand.
Adding to this, there are other factors too driving the current dump.
GLOBAL ASSET SELL-OFF
Right now, selling is not isolated to crypto. Stocks are declining. Gold and silver have seen volatility. Risk assets across markets are correcting.
When global markets move into risk-off mode, capital exits high-risk assets first and crypto sits at the far end of the risk curve. So Bitcoin reacts more aggressively to global sell offs.
MACRO UNCERTAINTY & GEOPOLITICAL RISK
Tensions around global conflicts, especially U.S.–Iran developments, are creating uncertainty.
Whenever geopolitical risk rises, supply chain risks increase, and markets shift toward defensive positioning. That environment is not supportive for risk assets.
FED LIQUIDITY EXPECTATIONS
Markets had been pricing a more dovish liquidity backdrop. But expectations around future policy leadership and liquidity stance have shifted.
If investors believe future Fed policy will be tighter on liquidity even if rates eventually fall, risk assets reprice lower.
Crypto, being the most volatile asset class, sees outsized downside during those transitions.
STRUCTURED SELLING VS CAPITULATION
Another important observation:
This sell off does not look like panic capitulation. It looks structured.
Consecutive red candles, controlled downside moves, and derivative driven liquidations suggest large entities reducing exposure, not retail panic selling.
When institutional positioning unwinds, it suppresses bounce attempts because dip buyers wait for stability before re-entering.
The $75,000 zone we highlighted earlier was a very crucial level for $BTC
The moment BTC lost that weekly support, the downside accelerated fast. Within just a few days, price tapped the $60,000 zone, exactly the range we had highlighted.
Once $75K broke, the higher high and higher low structure on the bigger timeframe failed. That structure break is what opened the door for this straight move lower.
Now Bitcoin is trading below both the 20W and 50W moving averages, which keeps momentum weak on the weekly timeframe.
As long as BTC stays below these MA, upside remains capped and rallies will act as relief bounces, not trend reversals.
On the downside, the next major area sits around the MA200 and historical cycle support zone around $50K.
That zone has historically acted as the final reset area during deep cycle corrections.
So from here the structure is simple:
• Reclaim $75K and then $100K → structure repair begins
• Stay below key MAs → risk of deeper move toward $50K remains
🚨BREAKING: Over $304 billion has been added to the crypto market in the last 20 hours & Over $1 TRILLION added to the U.S. stock market in the last 2 hours.
$BTC is up 17% and has pumped $10,000 from its lows, reclaiming $70,000.
$ETH surged 18% and reclaimed $2,000 from lows of $1,750.
WARNING: Spot Bitcoin ETF Assets Just Slipped Below $100B.
A major institutional liquidity drain is underway. $272M in fresh outflows just pushed Spot ETF assets below the critical $100B level, bringing year-to-date outflows to a concerning ~$1.3B.
This is a significant bearish signal for market structure. With $BTC now trading below the average ETF cost basis of ~$84K, a large block of institutional capital is officially underwater. This increases the risk of capitulation and further selling pressure.
While we are seeing minor inflows into altcoin ETFs, suggesting some capital may be rotating rather than exiting crypto completely, the sustained bleed from $BTC ETFs is creating major headwinds.
ON-CHAIN SIGNAL: U.S. Institutions Pour $561.89M into $BTC , Reversing the Trend.
A major shift in capital flows is underway. After a multi-day streak of outflows, U.S. spot ETFs just saw a massive +$561.89M net inflow for BTC. This is a significant reversal.
This isn't just retail buying; this is institutional-grade demand absorbing supply and locking it into custody. This move strengthens market structure and signals a potential bottom formation, absorbing sell-side liquidity.
While capital rotates into Bitcoin, we're seeing outflows from $ETH (-$2.86M) and $XRP (-$404.69K). The message is clear: institutional money is choosing BTC right now.
Verdict: Bullish. The strength of this inflow reversal is a powerful signal that accumulation has resumed.