Current estimates on Polymarket put the probability of a Russia–Ukraine ceasefire by the end of 2026 at 45%, down from a peak of 71% in August 2025. According to Witkoff, major work is still required to move negotiations forward.
The Bitcoin Sharpe ratio, a measure of risk versus reward, has fallen to levels typically seen at previous market bottoms, signaling potential bear market exhaustion.
This is my 7-day trading summary. Some might say $97.65 isn’t much, but this is just my PnL over six days.
I focus on:
Discipline
Consistency
Self-control
I don’t gamble. Last month, using the same strategy, I made over $3,000. I don’t chase quick wins or overnight millionaire dreams. Those who gamble usually lose everything—look at James Wyn, Machi, and others. A real trader sticks to a consistent approach.
I could make more, but I trade small with strict rules. I start each month with under $1,000, and making over $3,000 is a result, not the goal.
If you want to be a real trader, focus on consistency and the long term. Trade like a trader, not a gambler.