Nayon12

The US ETF industry is having a historic year:

US-listed ETFs have attracted a record $1.4 trillion in net inflows so far in 2025.

This surpasses the previous full year record by +$300 billion and is more than double the 2023 figure.

Furthermore, ETF trading volume is up to a record $57.9 trillion year-to-date, +$630 billion higher than 2024's total.

On top of this, the number of ETF launches in 2025 is up to 1,100, an all-time high, and +123% more than 2023 levels.

The last time all metrics saw a record in a single year was in 2021.

Investor demand ETFs is at record highs.

The global working age population is shrinking:

The percentage of people aged 15 to 64 in the world population is down -20 points since 1960, to 55%.

Over this period, the sharpest decline was recorded in China, at -36 percentage points, to 44%.

In the US, the working age population proportion fell -13 percentage points, to 54%.

On the other hand, the European Union saw a +2 percentage point increase, to 57%.

Overall, the number of countries where the working age population is shrinking is up by +48 since 1980, to 50.

That number is estimated to increase to 77 by 2040.

Demographics are set to be a major headwind for growth in developed global economies.

🚨BREAKING: GOLD just hit $4,500 for the first time in history, and it’s up 71% in 2025.

Gold has added nearly $13 trillion to its market cap in a single year, which is insane.

SILVER has just hit $72, up 148% in 2025, and is now the world's 3rd largest asset.

US S&P 500 just gave its highest daily close in history, and is up 43% from the April 2025 crash lows.

BITCOIN ?

It's down -30% from its ATH in Oct, down -13% in 2025, and is about to close its worst Q4 in the last 7 years.

While every other asset class is exploding and making historic highs for months, bitcoin is barely holding support.

There is no logical explanation for this. it’s just pure market manipulation by the big players.

$BTC is already dumping!

If we break below $86,800, I expect a swift move down to $84,000–$85,000.

I’ve already said it 28,283 times, but don’t try to catch falling knives here, the market is extremely weak.

Just be patient and wait for a good short opportunity.

Is it a good short opportunity right now at local support? No, it’s not a good entry.

Yesterday at $90,350 was a good entry. Now you just need to be patient and wait for the next setup.

Copper soars to $12,000 for the first time in history 📈📈

$AMZN is the worst performing mega-cap this year, up by only 5%..

AWS growth is expected to reaccelerate to 25% next year as Anthropic’s AWS clusters reach full capacity.

Despite the strong growth prospects, it’s trading at just 19x operating cash flow..

Top pick for 2026.

This man had 8 arrests in just one jail in 2025, 4 in 2023, 1 in 2020, a misdemeanor conviction in 2024, and a felony assault conviction in 2012

All for assault. He refuses to stop hurting people

But if we locked him and other 10+ criminals away, violence would decline ~20%

BREAKING: Spot gold prices surge above $4,500/oz for the first time in history.

Gold is now a $31.5 TRILLION asset, nearly 7 TIMES larger than Nvidia.

BREAKING: The odds of the Fed PAUSING rate cuts in January 2026 surge to a new high of 86%, per Polymarket.

Fed Chair Powell is about to halt rate cuts again, even as core inflation hits its lowest level since March 2021.

BREAKING: Platinum prices surge above $2,200, now at their highest since June 2008.

Platinum prices are now on track for their 9th consecutive daily gain, the longest streak in at least 2 years.

Over this period, platinum prices have rallied +32% and are just 5% away from the intraday all-time high set in March 2008.

Year-to-date, platinum prices have surged +142%, putting the metal on track for the best year since at least the 1960s, far surpassing the previous records of +87% in 1978 and +96% in 1979.

This comes as the London market is seeing tightened physical supply, with banks moving metal to the US to hedge against potential tariffs.

At the same time, exports to China have been strong this year, while the launch of platinum futures trading in Guangzhou is boosting demand.

The platinum market is experiencing a supply-driven squeeze.

If you invested $10,000 in Nike 10 years ago, you would have...

$9,860 today.

$NKE

A whale has opened a $166,822,000 $BTC short position.

He has also opened $54,856,000 $ETH and $18,790,000 $SOL short positions.

Shocking stat of the day:

Interest costs on US public debt may reach as much as $2.2 trillion over the next decade.

This would mark a +127% increase from the $970 billion reported in FY2025.

This comes as the government is projected to borrow ~$2 trillion annually over the next decade, pushing interest payments even higher alongside rising debt.

As a result, at least ~50% of the money borrowed each year will go solely to service this debt.

The US is on an unsustainable fiscal path.

Such a divergence has rarely ever been seen in markets:

In 2024 and 2025, investors expected implied correlations between individual S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 stocks to fall to the lowest levels in at least 23 years.

Low implied correlation means most stocks are expected to move independently rather than rise or fall with the broader market.

In other words, even if major indices go up, many individual stocks may not see similar gains.

Looking ahead to 2026, the market expects an average S&P 500 single-stock correlation of ~23%, the lowest reading in 23 years.

This points to a highly concentrated market, where a small group of mega-cap stocks continues to drive overall performance.

The market has never been this concentrated.

If you invested $10,000 in Nike $NKE exactly 5 years ago, you'd have $4,378 today (dividends included) 🚨 Not too bad

US demographic challenges are rising:

The number of American families with children under 18 is down to 33 million, the lowest since 1993.

This figure has declined by ~3 million since 2008, despite the US population increasing by 36 million people.

This marks a shift from the post-World War II demographic boom when family formation was rising.

Declining birth rates and an aging population are driving this trend.

Over time, this may put pressure on labor force growth, economic expansion, and social program spending.

The US may soon face a demographic crisis.

Show me the incentive and I’ll show you the outcome…”

BREAKING: Gold just hit a new ATH, and history shows that Bitcoin always follows it with a lag.

This chart shows when liquidity conditions improve, money often moves in a sequence:

Gold moves first.
Bitcoin moves later.

You can see it repeating on the chart.

2016-2017:

Gold starts trending up first.
Bitcoin is still slow at the start.
Then later, Bitcoin accelerates hard.

2020–2021:

When QE started, gold pushed to new highs first.
Bitcoin was still below its old ATH and stayed stuck for a while.
At one point, BTC was still far below ATH while gold was already strong.

Then the sequence flipped:

Gold momentum weakened and topped out. And that is when Bitcoin started the big move.

That is the main point. Bitcoin did not lead that cycle at the start. It followed after gold slowed down.

2025 Setup - The liquidity is improving again:

- The Fed has already done 3 rate cuts
- The Treasury is doing $40B per month in T-bill buying
- Global money supply is at all-time highs

And the price action is matching the same pattern:

Gold is already trending strong.
Bitcoin is still lagging.

Gold is highly overbought right now, so we can expect some weakling in coming weeks orand we can finally see money rotation from Gold to BTC.

Bitcoin market cap - $1.8 trillion
Gold market cap - $31 trillion
(Gold has added nearly $17 trillion in just the last 2 years, which is 4x of Japan’s GDP)

So if in the next 5 years Bitcoin reaches just 30% of gold's market cap, the price per BTC would be $450,000 per BTC.

Market concentration is still surging:

The top 7 largest stocks now reflect a record 36% of the S&P 500's market cap.

This percentage has doubled in just 7 years and exceeds the 2000 Dot-Com Bubble peak by 13 percentage points.

Meanwhile, these 7 stocks represent 26% of the index's earnings, near an all-time high.

Over the last 15 years, the market-cap and earnings weights of these stocks moved largely in tandem until 2022.

Furthermore, the top 10 largest stocks account for 40% of the S&P 500's market cap, near a record, and 32% of total index earnings, an all-time high.

Big tech is getting bigger.

$NVO said the FDA approved the first oral GLP-1 pill for weight management in the U.S. with trial data showing ~16.6% mean weight loss with adherence.

The company expects a U.S. launch in early 2026.