Foresight News reported that glassnode tweeted that the 7-day moving average funding rate across major perpetual contract markets has slightly improved. The average funding rate rebounded from around 0% to approximately 0.005%, then fell back to about 0.003% over the past 24 hours. Historically, sustained market rallies are often accompanied by funding rates consistently remaining above 0.01%, indicating that while the current market environment is still supportive, it has not yet formed a decisive bullish trend. $BTC $BROCCOLI714
January 6th, Predictive market platform Polymarket recently updated its official documentation, revealing that it has introduced a new taker-only fee in its 15-minute cryptocurrency price market, marking an adjustment to its long-standing "zero-fee" trading model.
According to the update, the fee is designed to fund market maker liquidity incentives, with all fees paid by takers being daily returned to liquidity providers in the form of USDC, rather than being retained by the platform. This adjustment only applies to the 15-minute crypto market, with the majority of other markets still maintaining zero fees.
The fee level varies with market probability, with the highest fees occurring when the price is close to 50%, approaching zero as it nears 0% or 100% probability. Based on an official example calculation, if 100 contracts are traded at a price of $0.50, the fee is approximately $1.56, representing about 3% of the transaction amount at the fee rate curve peak.
This adjustment was not accompanied by a formal announcement, but the document revision history indicates that the relevant terms are new additions. The community generally believes that this change is not a platform-wide fee introduction but rather a market structure optimization targeting high-frequency bots and wash trading, aimed at improving liquidity quality and tightening spreads. Polymarket stated that long-duration event markets, political markets, and non-crypto prediction markets are not affected, with limited overall impact on regular users. $BTC
January 6, as bitcoin remains above $93,000, capital in the crypto market is rotating from meme coins to tokens with real application value, with AI concept tokens showing the most outstanding performance.
Data shows that in the past 24 hours, several functional indexes from CoinDesk—including DeFi, Metaverse, and non-bitcoin composite indexes—have all risen by more than 4%, while the meme coin index has remained flat or even slightly declined, indicating that market risk appetite is returning to "tracks with fundamentals."
Decentralized GPU computing platform Render Network (RENDER) rose about 20% in 24 hours, becoming the best-performing token among the top 100 crypto assets by market cap; small and medium-sized AI tokens such as Virtuals Protocol also recorded gains of over 6%. Sui (SUI) rose more than 15%, and XRP climbed about 10%, reaching a new two-month high; in contrast, Solana (SOL) remains in a multi-month consolidation range.
Analysts pointed out that the above trends are consistent with the optimistic sentiment towards AI and high-beta tech stocks in the US stock market. However, geopolitical risks and the upcoming release of US non-farm payroll data may still affect market sentiment. In addition, several analysts believe that further gains in the crypto market still depend on continued inflows into bitcoin ETF funds. Data shows that in the first two trading days of 2026, net inflows into bitcoin ETFs have already exceeded $1 billion. $BTC
on January 4 that, following the completion of annual tasks at the end of last year, more coal mines that had previously halted production resumed operations, leading to a contraction in market supply. Overall, coal prices remained stable with localized increases. As of December 31, 2025, the mainstream pithead price of Yulin Q6000 thermal coal was 595-610 yuan/ton, a cumulative decrease of 80 yuan/ton compared to the end of last month, representing a decline of 11.72%. After the New Year’s Day holiday, some coal mines that had suspended production and sales due to the completion of annual tasks at the end of last year gradually resumed normal production, improving market supply. Downstream users mostly continued to purchase as needed, with end-users maintaining just-in-time demand. Traders’ sentiment was somewhat divided, with some remaining cautious and observant, while others showed a slight increase in purchasing enthusiasm. Overall, coal shipments from operating mines were average, with a few experiencing relatively smooth sales. Most coal mines made narrow adjustments to pithead prices based on their own inventory and railcar arrivals. During the holiday, pithead prices in some regions showed slight fluctuations. Going forward, attention should still be paid to inventory reduction in the mid- and downstream sectors and changes in weather conditions. (SCI99) $BTC $XPL
on January 2, after shutting down its two major production bases, Jiangshan Oupai Door Industry Co., Ltd. has begun to enter the booming robotics sector. According to Qichacha data, on December 24, 2025, Jiangshan Oupai established Jiangshan Oupai Robotics Technology Co., Ltd. in Quzhou City, Zhejiang Province, with a registered capital of 2 million yuan and a 100% shareholding ratio. On December 31, 2025, a reporter called the Jiangshan Oupai securities department, and the relevant staff stated that the newly established Jiangshan Oupai Robotics company only sells robots and does not participate in the production of robots. (China Business Journal) $PIPPIN $XPL
January 4 – Philadelphia Federal Reserve President Harker stated that if inflation cools, the Federal Reserve may be able to cut rates further, but also hinted that any additional rate cuts may not be implemented immediately. In a speech delivered in Philadelphia on Saturday, Harker noted that she is cautiously optimistic that price pressures may ease in the coming months. This year marks her first term as a voting member of the Federal Reserve's policy committee. She said that the current target range of 3.5% to 3.75% remains "somewhat restrictive," meaning that this rate level is sufficient to curb inflation, which could create conditions for further rate cuts in the future. According to the published speech transcript, Harker stated: "If inflation eases and the economy stays on its current path, a moderate adjustment to the federal funds rate later this year may be appropriate." Harker indicated that the "mixed signals" regarding the health of the job market suggest that, overall, the market is under pressure but has not collapsed, and she is waiting for more data to clarify the situation. These remarks suggest that she may want to see more evidence about the economic developments in the coming months before supporting further policy adjustments. $BTC $A2Z
According to Golden Ten Data on January 3, Guosen Securities Chief Economist Xun Yugeng pointed out in a research report that compared to 2025, the bull market in 2026 remains unchanged: policies will continue to be accommodative. The bull market that started on September 24, 2024, is similar to the one on May 19, 1999, with persistent deflation and an unchanged environment of policy easing; the bull market cycle is not yet over. Drawing on historical bull and bear market cycles, this round of the bull market has not yet reached its temporal and spatial limits, and market sentiment has not peaked. Changes: The recovery of fundamentals will spread from points to the broader market, and with the inflow of household funds, the bull market will enter the latter part of the second stage and the third stage; the technology rally is expected to expand from computing power infrastructure to applications, and traditional assets such as liquor consumption and real estate may have opportunities for revaluation. $BTC
JPMorgan believes that the market in 2026 will exhibit multidimensional polarization. "Polarization," "AI super cycle," and "diversified allocation" are the investment keywords throughout the year. How should investors seek opportunities from this? $PIPPIN $LIGHT
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