$PAXG 🚸🚸 China just dumped U.S. Treasuries to an 18-year low while stacking gold at record pace ⚡️
Beijing now holds just $682.6B in U.S. government debt, down from over $1.1T at peak levels ⚡️
They've fallen to third place behind Japan and the UK 🤔
Meanwhile, the People's Bank of China pushed gold reserves to 2,306 tonnes, extending a 14-month buying streak ↔️
This is significant because we're watching a superpower actively de-dollarize in real time.
For years, China recycled trade surpluses into U.S. Treasuries ↔️
It was the default playbook: Safe, liquid, dollar-denominated.
But that playbook is now being rewritten.
Geopolitical tensions mean holding another nation's debt feels less like an asset and more like a liability ⚡️
The key factor here: gold doesn't come with sanctions risk.
(You can't freeze bullion sitting in a Beijing vault).
For the U.S., this signals declining demand from a major buyer at a moment when deficits keep expanding 👀
For gold, sustained central bank buying creates a structural floor under prices.
For BTC believers, this helps validates the "hard asset" thesis at the sovereign level ⚡️
$BTC
(Though, sovereign's will actually have to start seeing Bitcoin as a hard asset for that thesis to ever take hold)
One caveat worth noting:
The Treasury data may undercount actual Chinese holdings through custodial accounts in other countries 👀
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$BTC 🔞🚸 Something just triggered a coordinated liquidation across every major asset class - we're talking $5T+ gone! ⚡️🔞
Gold down 8.2% ($3T gone) 🚨
Silver down 12.2% ($760B wiped) 🚨
S&P 500 down 1.23% ($780B removed) 🚨
Nasdaq down 2.5% ($760B shed in hours) 🚨
Bitcoin down 4.34% ($100B quickly erased) 🚨
We're looking at roughly $5.4T erased from global markets in a single session 🚨
This smells less like random profit-taking, and more like a liquidity event ↩️
$PAXG
Simultaneous selling pressure across precious metals, equities, and crypto - all moving in lockstep? ⬇️
That ain't exactly normal ⌛️
Jury's still out, but it feels like someone BIG may have needed cash ⌛️
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$XAU 🔞🔞 If the dollar loses reserve status, gold could surpass $39K 👀
- Global M0 divided by gold reserves: $39K per oz - Global M2 divided by gold reserves: $184K per oz - Kazakhstan and Russia have enough gold to peg their currencies to gold - China needs 325M oz more to peg its currency to gold
BRICS are stacking gold for the ongoing clash between BRICS vs. the West 👀
Gold will become the preferred reserve asset in this environment 👀
The arithmetic cited is directionally correct — context matters 👀
Global M0 / official gold → ~$39K/oz (implied parity if base money were fully gold-backed) 👀
Global M2 / gold → ~$184K/oz (theoretical, assumes full monetization — historically unrealistic) 👀
Select countries (e.g., Kazakhstan, Russia) could technically support partial gold pegs due to reserve ratios 👀
China would need substantially more gold to credibly peg at current money supply levels
These ratios set ceilings, not forecasts. Price only approaches them if policy regimes change
$PAXG
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$AI This is the biggest AI headline in a very long time 👀
Nvidia's plan to invest $100 billion in OpenAI has completely "stalled" seemingly overnight 👌
Why?🧐
Jensen Huang specifically cited concerns over competition from Google and Anthropic and a "lack of discipline" in OpenAI’s business approach 👀
This also sheds light on the *random* headline that emerged just 48 hours ago, stating that OpenAI was "racing" to go public ASAP
OpenAI is reportedly rushing to IPO specifically to "beat Anthropic" as the first major generative AI startup to go public ⬇️
$TAO
OpenAI has been the central figure in hundreds of billions of recent AI deals, and everyone is watching this Nvidia-OpenAI saga ⚡️
Altman and OpenAI are certainly panicking right now ⬇️
AI competition is hitting new extremes
$AAVE
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
• Size does not equal stability • Liquidity shocks hit legacy assets just as hard • Volatility is about structure, not labels
Liquidity cuts both ways, even is safe assets!
Market looks overheated and risk is clearly rising
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$XAU 🔞 We just witnessed a $10 trillion evaporation event in 24 hours 🚸
This was a liquidation nuke that makes crypto volatility look like T-bills. Gold crashed 11.5% ($600+) and Silver collapsed 32% in a single session. This was a forced execution of the leverage overhang, triggered by the one thing the metal bulls forgot to hedge: Kevin Warsh 🔥
$BTC
The mechanics were brutal. First, the CME hiked silver margins to ~11% earlier this week to cool the vertical rally, forcing levered longs to sell just to stay in the game. Then, the Warsh announcement spiked the dollar and erased the Fed debasement narrative in minutes 👀
Warsh means a stronger USD and a balance sheet diet, which is kryptonite for the dollar collapse trade that pushed gold to $5,400. The result? A cascade of margin calls that wiped out weeks of gains in hours 👀
Consensus is calling this the top. I call it the flush. The fundamentals—sovereign debt spirals, AI energy demand for silver, and central bank hoarding—haven't changed. What changed is who holds the bag. The tourist leverage is gone, wiped out by the exchange and the White House. The physical buyers (Tether, PBoC, family offices) are now staring at a 30% discount on silver ⚡️
$XAG
Trade setup: Let the knife fall. The leverage flush isn't over until the forced selling stops. But when the dust settles, the Warsh discount will be the buying opportunity of the year for physical allocators
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$BTC 🚨🚨 The US OMB confirms a government shutdown will begin at midnight 👀
The Office of Management and Budget confirmation matters. It signals no last-minute deal is expected 👀
Negotiations have effectively stalled
A shutdown works through simple mechanics
Agencies without funding stop nonessential operations
Workers are furloughed or work without pay
Essential services continue by law. Air traffic control and defense remain active
But morale and efficiency suffer quickly
Economic damage grows with duration
Short shutdowns are mostly symbolic
Long ones disrupt supply chains and confidence
Markets usually react calmly at first
Investors have seen this pattern before
$WLD
Political theater is priced in The real pressure is political Public frustration rises after a few days
That shifts incentives toward compromise
Who blinks depends on blame perception
Each side calculates narrative advantage
Time becomes the bargaining chip 👀
This shutdown is not about capacity
$TRUMP
It is about priorities and leverage Resolution comes when costs outweigh posturing 👀
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Silver fell as much as -35% during intraday trade today, it's largest intraday drawdown in history
Yet, silver prices still closed the month GREEN, rising +19% 👀
This means silver has now risen for 9-STRAIGHT months 🙄
History is an understatement
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$SOL 🧐 solana adding 10.2 MILLION new addresses DAILY
That's insane adoption 👀
But the price? Stuck at $115 The contradiction ⬇️
10.2M new holders per day (massive network growth)
Holding support at $115 Descending wedge pattern (historically bullish) BUT:
SOL ETF outflows hit $2.2M (first time in 2 weeks)
Failed to hold rallies despite Pavel Durov release Institutional money backing out
Network fundamentals are SCREAMING bullish. Price action is whispering bearish
Critical level = $123 Break above = targets $132-$136 Fall below $115 = invalidates everything 10M new users vs ETF outflows
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
Same as with BTC, there's no need to rush into positions now ⚡️
On Ethereum too, huge amounts of longs were liquidated yesterday. And we all know that the market makes its moves after max pain 👀
Therefore, my trade scenario's for the coming period are leaning more towards the long-side here. It's also very late for shorts 👌
Locally, and since its Friday today, I see mostly scalp-trades that could be interesting 👀
For longs, the sweep of the current ~$2,680 low could be interesting for scalp-longs after reversals/market structure breaks 👀
The HTF support for ETH is a bit lower, around $2,400-$2,600. When we retest that, I'll look for bigger long-trades after high probability-reversals 👀
Shorts are always a possibility of course, but scalp only and higher in price
When we grab liquidity above the ~$2,830 high, a scalp-short after confirmation could be nice 🔞
Reclaiming ~$2,830 triggers a scalp-long towards the ~$2,930 resistance level, which was our previous support 👌
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
With silver currently bouncing $11 off the lows, we are looking at a 9th consecutive green month, with silver currently still UP 20% month to date
Furthermore, the Warshout makes a continued rally in silver on the monthly chart in February much more achievable 🧐
Where we go from here in the immediate term may depend on the last 2 hours of trading this afternoon, and the first 2 hours of trading Sunday night when China reopens 👀
Ideally, silver needs to close today back ABOVE its uptrend line which currently sits near $87-$88 🧐
But the real test will likely come Sunday night
Will Shanghai silver be dragged lower by a single day all-time record, month end, COMEX bullion-bank paper tape painting raid?
Or will China react by BTFD, while silver pulls itself up by its own bootstraps
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
Gold is already sitting close to a $38T market cap 👀
That is almost 2x the GDP of China 🚸
From here onward, every further move in gold will require disproportionately more liquidity. And central banks are not naive enough to expose themselves to a single asset at that scale 👀
For perspective, the total GDP of the world is around $126T 👀
If you think gold is going to $15000 from here, you are essentially saying gold will command liquidity larger than the entire world’s economic output 👀
Will banks start adopting Bitcoin as usual? 🧐
$BTC
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$BTC Daily bullish crypto overview - why the altseason is loading 👀
-President Trump officially selects Kevin Warsh as new Federal Reserve Chair 👀
-Kazakhstan’s central bank allocates $350M from its gold reserve to buy Bitcoin and crypto 👀
-Billionaire Grant Cardone announced he is buying more bitcoin 👀
-Public company DDC Enterprise buys an additional 100 Bitcoin and now holds a total of 1,783 BTC 👀
-U.S. Texas State Teachers Retirement Fund just disclosed they bought 7,398 more Bitcoin treasury company Strategy 👀
One day closer to the bottom and smart money is stacking
Are you paying attention? 🧐
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$XAG People who believed silver would stay at peaks for a long time learned nothing from history 🧐
1980: Silver peaks at $49 per troy ounce, then crashes by 90%
2011: Silver reclaims $49 per troy ounce, then drops by 72%
Yesterday we saw $120 levels 👀
It was never normal 👀
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
Stop calling Bitcoin a "safe haven." You are lying to your LPs, and now we have receipts 🚸
In calm markets, BTC’s correlation profile looks tolerable: ~0.26 to equities, basically zero to bonds, commodities, and gold.
Cute digital gold story, fine ↩️
But in high‑volatility regimes that correlation to equities jumps to 0.47 while its link to commodities and gold rises to ~0.22. No the shock absorber you think it is, more like a risk asset marching in formation with the rest of your book
And this isn’t just a Barclays quirk. CME’s own research shows Bitcoin’s realized volatility runs roughly three to five times higher than broad equities and that its correlation to stocks has drifted from near-zero to clearly positive since 2020, especially during stress windows
That’s why you see BTC trade tick‑for‑tick with the Nasdaq on big macro days. Recent drawdowns had BTC moving with a 0.7+ correlation to the Nasdaq 100 while nuking 30% in weeks
So when you pitch BTC as "digital gold," what you’re really doing is smearing a volatility overlay on top of the same equity beta your LPs already own. A 2.0–2.5 beta proxy to high‑growth tech might be a perfectly valid speculative sleeve—just admit that’s what you’re running
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$XAG 🔞🔞 Silver down 35% and gold down 15% in the past 30 hours… where’s the safe haven now? 🧐
$XAU
Bitcoin 👀 $BTC 🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$XAU Gold crashed 12% in the last 24 hours, wiping out over $4 TRILLION ⚡️📢
Bitcoin could be worth over $300,000 if that capital rotated into BTC ⚡️
$BTC
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$BTC 🔞🔞 Venezuela Just Proved the Bitcoin Bull Case, And No One Is Paying Attention 👀📢
Maduro used Tether to move 80% of Venezuela's oil revenue. Billions in sanctions evasion, settled on Tron since 2020 📢
Then the US made a phone call 🚸
Tether froze the wallets ↩️
Game over ⬇️
Everyone's focused on the arrest. The real story is the lesson every finance minister on earth just learned in real time ↩️⬇️
Stable coins are a leash, not an escape ↩️
If someone can freeze it, it isn't money. It doesn't solve sovereignty ↔️
First principles ⬇️
USDT is dollar plumbing without SWIFT. Faster. Cheaper. Still has a CEO. Still has a compliance department. Still picks up when Washington calls 👀
This is why USDT adoption exploded, 71-year-old grandmothers in Caracas pay their HOA fees in tether now. But useful ≠ sovereign ⚡️
The entire value proposition for sanctions evasion just got publicly falsified 🧐
Now do the game theory ⬇️
You're Iran. Russia. Any country hedging against dollar weaponization. You just watched Venezuela's "crypto solution" get shut off like a light switch 🗣
Where do you put reserves now?
USDT? Compromised
Yuan? Political strings
Gold? Try settling $500M across borders in 10 minutes
CBDCs? Same kill switch, government branding
There's exactly one asset that clears final settlement without asking permission from anyone 🧐
21 million units. No CEO. No freeze function. No phone number ⚡️
This is the ad Bitcoin never had to buy The most desperate, highest-stakes capital on earth just learned there's only one door 🧐
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$ETH 🔞🔞 MARKETS MOVE, BUT WARSH UNLIKELY TO SWAY FED FAST 🔞📢
Treasury yields shifted as markets reacted to Kevin Warsh’s nomination: the two-year dipped to 3.54% while the 10-year rose to 4.25% ⌛️
$XRP
Warsh has backed faster rate cuts and a smaller Fed balance sheet, driving the curve’s steepening. But Corpay’s Karl Schamotta warns this reaction may reverse, noting Warsh has a weak record of persuading colleagues to adopt his views 👀
$SOL
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌
$XAG 🔞🔞 I am not a commodities guy but how is it possible that a large global market like SILVER drops from $120 to $91 in 24 hours 😱
Everyone basically has to be awake and selling all day for this to happen ?👀
Futures, spot, ETFs, miners all dumping together ?👀
There are too many questions today and not enough answers 👀
🚸 Warning 🚸 I do not provide financial advice 🔞The intent of this content is for you to be aware of market conditions before starting to invest 👌Thank you for reading 👌