cripto analysis with master trader

$DOGE Faces Further Downside Pressure: Why a Drop Below $0.12 Could Be Imminent in December 202
As of December 19, 2025, Dogecoin (DOGE) is trading around $0.122–$0.128 USD, reflecting persistent weakness in the broader crypto market. Despite brief consolidation attempts near key support zones, technical indicators and market sentiment point to a higher probability of further downside in the short term.
Current Market Overview
Price Action: DOGE has broken below the long-term support at $0.1365, forming lower highs and lower lows. Recent trading shows the price hovering near $0.125, with weak volume on upside attempts.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $0.135–$0.145 (descending trendline and 50-day SMA)
Support: $0.120–$0.115 (immediate), with deeper targets at $0.10 if breached
Indicators: RSI is neutral but trending lower, MACD shows bearish momentum, and the Fear & Greed Index sits at Extreme Fear (~16–22).
Why Further Decline Seems Likely
Bearish Technical Structure: DOGE is trapped in a falling wedge or bearish pennant pattern. Failed breakouts above $0.14 have led to rejections, confirming seller control. A breakdown below $0.12 could trigger stop-loss cascades toward $0.10–$0.115.
Broader Market Pressure: Bitcoin dominance is rising, altcoins are underperforming, and low trading volumes indicate lack of buyer conviction. Meme coins like DOGE are particularly vulnerable in risk-off environments.
On-Chain and Sentiment Signals: Whale accumulation is mixed, but retail sentiment remains cautious. No major catalysts (e.g., Elon Musk tweets or ETF inflows) have materialized to reverse the trend.
Historical Context: Similar setups in past cycles have led to 20–30% corrections before reversals.
Potential Bullish Counterargument
If DOGE holds above $0.12 and reclaims $0.135 with increasing volume, a short-term bounce to $0.145–$0.16 is possible (oversold conditions could trigger a relief rally). Long-term holders might view current levels as accumulation zones.
Outlook for End of 2025
Short-term bias remains bearish, with a 60–70% probability of testing lower supports before year-end. A decisive close above $0.145 would invalidate this view.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) and consider risk management before trading.
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #Dogecoin‬⁩ #CryptoAnalysis📈📉🐋📅🚀