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 Key TakeawaysOnchain data shows short-term DOGE holders are accumulating despite recent volatility.Technical patterns mirror previous Dogecoin bull cycles, pointing to a possible move toward $1.60 by early 2026.Metrics like MVRV Z-Score and Hodl Waves indicate the market remains in an early expansion phase.Analysts say the current uncertainty could be bullish, echoing conditions before past major rallies.DOGE Recovers After 66% Flash CrashDogecoin holders are quietly accumulating again after a violent sell-off earlier this month that erased much of its summer gains.On October 10, DOGE plunged 66% in a flash crash, falling from $0.25 to $0.08 within hours before rebounding to around $0.20. The liquidation event wiped out more than $365 million in long positions — more than four times the previous yearly high of $89 million — as leverage across derivatives markets collapsed.Yet, according to multiple analysts, the move may have triggered a “reset phase” that sets the stage for another long-term uptrend.Onchain Metrics Signal Accumulation, Not EuphoriaDespite the crash, onchain data shows that short-term holders and retail investors are accumulating DOGE.Joao Wedson, CEO of Alphractal, said that Dogecoin has not yet entered a “euphoria” phase, a stage that historically marks market tops.“DOGE reached its previous cycle top in December 2024 right at the CVDD Alpha metric — a model that has identified every major DOGE peak since 2016,” Wedson explained.The Cumulative Value Days Destroyed (CVDD Alpha) metric, which tracks the transfer of older coins and measures market maturity, suggests that DOGE is well below overheated territory.Meanwhile, Hodl Waves data shows an increasing share of DOGE supply is held by wallets with coins aged under six months — a sign of fresh speculative inflows. Historically, this precedes strong uptrends, as new capital pushes Dogecoin’s Realized Cap higher.The MVRV Z-Score, a ratio of market value to realized value, also remains far below euphoric levels seen in 2021, reinforcing the idea that DOGE’s current phase is one of early accumulation rather than a late-stage rally.Retail Positioning Remains Neutral — A Constructive SetupAccording to CryptoQuant data, retail participation in DOGE remains balanced — neither overheated nor disengaged. This equilibrium often signals accumulation outweighing speculation, creating a foundation for more sustained rallies.Historically, Dogecoin’s major upswings have started during periods of disbelief and fatigue, when sentiment is cautious but underlying metrics strengthen.“Every major DOGE rally began once price persistence above the 25-day moving average was confirmed after a prolonged downtrend,” said crypto trader EtherNasyonal.At present, DOGE has broken above that trendline and entered a retest phase, matching the conditions seen at the start of its 2020–2021 and 2014–2017 bull runs.Analysts See Breakout Potential Toward $1.60 by 2026Market analyst Trader Tardigrade said Dogecoin’s current technical structure closely resembles its 2014–2017 cycle, when the memecoin saw exponential growth after prolonged consolidation.He suggested that if the pattern holds, DOGE could enter a breakout phase in late 2025, potentially targeting $1.60 by Q1 2026 — aligning with historical fractal projections and the broader crypto market expansion cycle.Still, analysts caution that the move depends on broader liquidity trends, ETF flows, and macro sentiment toward risk assets.Cautious Optimism PrevailsWhile Dogecoin remains volatile and sentiment cautious following the flash crash, onchain and technical indicators suggest the groundwork for a new bullish cycle may already be forming.For now, accumulation, not euphoria, defines the DOGE market — and if history rhymes, the quiet phase of disbelief could be setting the stage for another powerful leg higher.

Dogecoin’s price could surge towards $1 based on consistent bullish patterns.

Bitwise Investment Advisers has filed for a Dogecoin ETF with the SEC.

Historical trends show Dogecoin tends to rise after retesting key moving averages.

Dogecoin is showing signs of a potential breakout, with many anticipating a move towards the $1 mark. Technical analysis shared by Mikybull Crypto suggests that Dogecoin may be gearing up for significant bullish momentum. 

$DOGE is ready to $1 from the bullish move that's about to hit

If you observe from the chart, whenever it is retested on the MA, a huge bullish move follows. pic.twitter.com/icUPQv07r7

— Mikybull Crypto (@MikybullCrypto) October 7, 2025

Each time Dogecoin retests its moving average (MA), a notable upward price movement has followed. Historical data backs this observation, revealing that price consolidations near the moving average have often preceded strong bullish trends.

This pattern has sparked optimism among investors who are closely monitoring the cryptocurrency’s market structure. The current consolidation near the moving average may signal that Dogecoin is preparing for another major surge. If these trends hold, Dogecoin could see a sharp rally toward $1 in the coming weeks.

Bitwise Files for Dogecoin ETF

Meanwhile, Bitwise Investment Advisers filed an S-1 registration statement with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on October 6, 2025. The filing is for a Dogecoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF), which, if approved, could bring Dogecoin into the realm of mainstream crypto investing.

The filing, identified as Amendment No. 3 to Form S-1, represents a significant step for Dogecoin, which has remained mainly outside traditional investment products. The ETF, managed by Bitwise Investment Advisers in San Francisco, could provide institutional investors with easier access to Dogecoin, further legitimizing it as an investment asset.

The filing aligns with growing interest in cryptocurrency as an alternative investment class. As more institutional players seek to include cryptocurrencies in their portfolios, the approval of such an ETF could accelerate Dogecoin’s adoption in the mainstream finance sector. Investors are closely watching this new product, as it may impact the coin’s price and appeal in the coming months.

Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. CoinCryptoNewz is not responsible for any losses incurred. Readers should do their own research before making financial decisions.

<p>The post Dogecoin Set for Bullish Surge Towards $1 as ETF Filing Sparks Optimism first appeared on Coin Crypto Newz.</p>

Key Takeaways:Bitcoin’s indecisive Doji candle at major resistance signals hesitation, with downside support near $107K.Ethereum broke down from a contracting range, exposing the $4,000 psychological level.XRP’s weekly MACD has flipped bearish despite the recent U.S. ETF debut.Dollar index (DXY) shows a bullish reversal signal, adding pressure on risk assets.Fed speeches and Friday’s U.S. PCE inflation release are key catalysts for volatility this week.Bitcoin Stalls at Key ResistanceBitcoin (BTC) closed last week with a Doji candle near $118,000, signaling indecision at the critical long-term resistance trendline drawn from the 2017 and 2021 peaks. On the daily chart, BTC slipped below its September uptrend and is testing the Ichimoku cloud.First support: $114,473 (50-day SMA).Key downside: $107,300 (Sept. 1 low).Bullish invalidation: Break above last week’s high at $118,000.If bears maintain momentum, BTC could revisit the $107K level, marking a steep retracement from recent highs.Ethereum Breaks Down, Eyes $4,000Ether (ETH) fell out of its contracting triangle pattern, confirming renewed selling pressure. The breakdown directs focus to the Aug. 20 low at $4,062 and the key $4,000 psychological level.Resistance to watch: $4,458 (last week’s high).Immediate downside: $4,062 → $4,000 zone.XRP MACD Turns BearishDespite the launch of the first U.S. XRP ETF last week, momentum remains weak. The weekly MACD has crossed bearish, signaling renewed downside pressure.XRP is slipping back toward the upper boundary of its descending triangle, with bulls struggling to sustain the recent breakout attempt.Dollar Index Bullish, Risk Assets at RiskThe U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) ended last week with a dragonfly Doji at critical support near 96.37. This bullish reversal signal suggests a potential dollar rebound — historically a headwind for Bitcoin and other risk assets.DXY closed at 97.65, supported by firm U.S. Treasury yields.Macro Catalysts: Fed Speak & PCE InflationThis week brings a heavy macro calendar:Fed Chair Jerome Powell and nine other officials are scheduled to speak, with investors watching closely for clues on the pace of future cuts.Stephen Miran, who dissented in favor of a 50 bps cut, will also outline his policy stance.On Friday, the U.S. core PCE index (the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge) is expected at 2.9% YoY for August, up from the prior month — a risk factor for easing expectations.With the Fed’s first rate cut behind us, markets are at a crossroads. A stronger dollar, bearish crypto technicals, and sticky inflation risks could pressure Bitcoin back toward $107K support, while XRP and ETH also face weakening setups. Traders are bracing for heightened volatility as Fed rhetoric and PCE data shape the next move, according to CoinDesk.