Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Is Still Playing Out, BTC will hit a low of $36,000 This year.
Bitcoin’s 4-Year Cycle Is Still Playing Out, BTC will hit a low of $36,000 this year.Looking at the long-term chart, it is clear that Bitcoin continues to follow a remarkably consistent cyclical structure. Each major cycle lasts approximately 152 weeks (~1,064 days) — aligning closely with Bitcoin’s well-known 4-year cycle, strongly influenced by Halving events. $BTC Across the previous three cycles, Bitcoin has consistently gone through: - A powerful bull market expansion - A distribution phase followed by a deep correction - And finally, the formation of a cycle bottom within roughly 52 weeks (~364 days)In the chart, the green zones represent the expansion phases, while the red zones highlight post-peak corrections. What stands out is how both the duration and magnitude of these moves are strikingly similar across cycles, suggesting a high level of structural repetition in market behavior — despite Bitcoin’s growing market capitalization. Applying this same framework to the current cycle suggests that: Bitcoin has likely completed its primary expansion phase The market is now entering a cyclical correction The next major cycle bottom could form around early October 2026 Historically, Bitcoin corrections have ranged between 70%–80% from cycle highs. Based on that historical drawdown, a price level near $36,000 aligns well with prior cycle bottoms — both in time and price structure.Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle is not magic. It is the natural result of human psychology, capital flows, and the Halving mechanism. And so far, this cycle has never been broken Do you believe history will repeat itself once again?
🚨 BREAKING: $BTC IS SETTING UP FOR A BEARISH BREAK — BEAR MOON IN ~4 HOURS 🚨
The macro storm is real — and Bitcoin isn’t immune.
In 4 hours, risk assets face a major reset as markets react to intensifying geopolitical conflict and new U.S. tariff shocks that are ripping through risk sentiment.
Here’s what’s pressuring Bitcoin right now:
🔻 Trump’s renewed tariffs on Europe have rattled global markets and sent risk assets sliding as uncertainty spikes. Safe havens like gold and silver are attracting fresh capital — not crypto.
🔻 Geopolitical tensions around Iran and broader Middle East instability remain elevated, pushing capital into perceived safety.
🔻 With macro risk rising, traders are rotating liquidity out of crypto and into bullion — gold and silver demand is surging as markets price risk-off flows.
The risk-off narrative is loud and clear: when uncertainty spikes, capital flees risk assets first — and Bitcoin leads that exodus.
Liquidity above BTC has thinned, bid floors are failing at key levels, and momentum is shifting toward safe-haven dynamics.
📉 If this risk-off rotation accelerates, $BTC could break key supports quickly and retrace sharply — especially as leveraged positions unwind into the post-news volatility.
This setup is textbook for bearish continuation: ⚠️ Macro uncertainty rising ⚠️ Risk-off flows dominating ⚠️ Liquidity rotating to gold, silver ⚠️ Crypto capital fleeing into safer assets
Bear Moon starts in ~4 hours — and BTC may not escape unscarred.
Bitmine Immersion Technologies Inc. BMNR the largest eth holder, the largest corporate holder of the cryptocurency Ether and chaired by Fundstrat’s Tom Lee, said it will invest $200 million for a stake in Beast Industries, the private company behind YouTube star Jimmy “MrBeast” Donaldson
$BTC a simple chart repeat itself. DO NOT trust any pump in JAN, Last time BTC had -ve forth Q was 2018 and history says JAN will also be RED with BTC. Hence 2026 Jan will be RED, Sell on Rise.
Gold XAU is much better than $BTC all money moving from btc to gold and it will continue till 2027 Sell BTC on every rise and buy real money which is GOLD
$BTC has already dumped more than $40k, and it’s been almost 4 months since I turned bearish on BTC. I’ve been warning non stop that this is the top. Don’t expect more pump. It’s ready to drop.
I told you 100K was the strongest support. Weekly close below it = bear market 😂 The 1W 50 EMA is broken. Since 25K BTC pumped every touch. Now it's the 5th week below it. Welcome to the bear market. A pullback to the 50 EMA is possible, and if it happens, I’ll add more shorts.
As you can see, the yellow line has been BTC’s biggest resistance since 2018. Every time price hits it, BTC gets rejected and enters a long accumulation phase. After the 2018 rejection, BTC spent more than 3 years trading inside accumulation.
Then COVID hit, liquidity flooded the market, and BTC pumped hard straight back into the same trendline.
That rally was also rejected. What followed? Another accumulation phase that lasted more than 1.5 years before the next expansion.
Now look at the present. BTC has once again hit the same resistance trendline and is getting rejected. History is repeating, not rhyming.
In my view, 75–72K is the last major support. If we lose that zone, BTC enters the 3rd accumulation range between 53K and 72K. {future}(BTCUSDT) #TrumpTariffs
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