This sweep of highs is still pending as long as its above the green zone. So now we can only wait until this is complete. Will exit shorts there or acceptance below the green.
Most people lose money because they size too big, not because they’re wrong.
I’ve been in this market long enough to see the same story repeat every cycle.
The trade idea is fine. The direction is right. The timing is decent.
And yet the account still gets destroyed.
Why?
Because position size turns a small mistake into a fatal one.
I’ve seen traders catch the right move on BTC but still get liquidated because they went too heavy and couldn’t survive a 2–3% pullback. I’ve seen ETH bounce exactly as expected, just after stopping them out. Not because the market was evil, but because they gave it zero breathing room.
Markets don’t move in straight lines. They never have. If you size like they do, you’re already planning to fail.
Here’s the hard truth most people don’t want to hear.
If a single candle can wipe you out, you were never trading. You were gambling.
Over the years, I’ve learned one simple rule that kept me alive while others disappeared.
If I’m right but still get liquidated, my size was wrong. Not the analysis.
That’s it.
Big size creates fear. Fear forces early exits. Early exits turn winning ideas into losses. And then comes the worst part revenge trading to get it back.
That’s how accounts really die.
The traders who last aren’t the smartest. They’re the ones who can stay in the game long enough for probability to work in their favor.
Small size feels boring. Small size feels slow. But small size keeps you alive.
And staying alive is what lets you compound.
Right now, volatility is high. BTC and ETH are moving fast. This is exactly when bad sizing hurts the most and disciplined sizing pays the most.
You don’t need to be right every time.
You just need to be sized so you can be wrong and still continue.
That’s the difference between traders who survive cycles and traders who keep resetting accounts.
Curious to know how you size your trades in this market.
I will wait to see if it breaks out or breaks down from green zone support. It's either 2.3k or 1.8k now. If it fails I will add from **1,798** instead with the same target of 2.6k
Everybody talks about $BTC and $ETH all day. But why is nobody seriously talking about BNB?
Let’s talk with numbers, not hype.
$BNB launched in 2017 at around $0.10 during its ICO.
In the 2021 bull run, BNB went to around $690.
That alone was almost a 6900x move from ICO price. Now look at this cycle.
BNB went all the way up to around $1370.
From the 2020 crash lows near $13 to $1370, that’s more than a 100x move.
Very few coins have done that and are still relevant.
And what’s important is how BNB behaved compared to other alts.
While most altcoins were down 60 to 80 percent from their highs, BNB held strong, defended key levels, and pushed to new highs again. That is not normal altcoin behavior.
Now let’s talk about memes.
This cycle, a lot of meme coins that actually performed well were on BNB Chain. Liquidity shifted there. Volume followed. Traders followed. Everyone thought Solana would dominate memes again, but BNB Chain surprised a lot of people.
BNB is not just another coin you hold and hope.
It is used for trading fee discounts. It powers Launchpads and Megadrops. It is the gas token for BNB Chain. It sits at the center of the biggest exchange ecosystem.
That means real usage every single day.
I am not saying BTC and ETH are not important. They are the foundation.
But before jumping into random memes and low caps hoping for quick gains, make sure you have BNB in your bag first.
Strong base first. Risk later.
BNB has already proven itself across multiple cycles. Most people just stop paying attention to it.
If $BTC goes to 48k, here’s what ETH likely does (based on real math, not hopium)
Before guessing the future, let’s acknowledge what already happened. BTC topped around 126k and fell to 60k
That’s a 52% drawdown
$ETH topped near 4950 and fell to 1750 That’s a 65% drawdown
So ETH didn’t just follow $BTC it overreacted by ~1.25x, mainly due to leverage and panic.
That part of the damage is already done. Now the real question isn’t “Can ETH go lower?” It’s from where and under what conditions.
Now assume this scenario:
BTC breaks 60k and grinds down to 48k That’s another 20% downside ETH’s reaction depends entirely on its starting point when this happens.
Scenario 1: ETH has bounced to 2300–2400 before BTC drops
This is the most realistic setup. Using the same ETH/BTC volatility ratio (1.2x–1.3x): 20% BTC drop → 24–26% ETH drop ETH 2400 → 1800 ETH 2300 → 1700
This is not panic. This is controlled fear.
Scenario 2: ETH is already weak near 1900–2000 Now things change.
There’s less buffer. Liquidations start earlier. In this case: ETH likely trades 1500–1400 Quick wicks lower are possible Not because ETH is broken But because leverage gets flushed again
Scenario 3: Full market panic (low probability, high damage)
This needs:- BTC losing 48k fast Bad macro or liquidity shock Only then do we talk about: 1100–1200 wicks
Short-lived, emotional moves Maximum pain, minimum time Important thing most people miss
ETH already did its first panic leg when it hit 1750. Second legs are usually: Slower Less violent More selective That’s why survival matters more than prediction. My honest takeaway ETH below 1500 is possible only if BTC is still falling ETH below 1300 needs real panic, not Twitter fear
Overleveraged traders won’t survive this range Spot holders with patience usually do Markets don’t reward confidence. They reward risk management. If BTC actually goes to 48k, where do you think ETH finds real buyers? 1400, 1200, or lower? I’m reading all serious answers 👇
According to Arkham monitoring, Jack Yi's Trend Research closed out their last Ethereum position on Sunday. At its peak, they held $2.1 billion in Ethereum longs, making them Asia's largest ETH long holder. Now, their on-chain accounts are completely cleared, with a final P&L of -$869 million