This $BTC move… I’ve seen this movie before. More than once.
Everyone’s acting like we just broke the cycle or something.
Victory laps everywhere… ATH calls… off what, a 3% push above resistance?
C’mon.
Every bear market does this.
You get that one rally — looks strong, feels convincing — and it pulls people back in.
Price reclaims the 100-day.
Pushes into the 150-day.
Everyone starts talking trend reversal.
And then… that’s your lower high.
That’s the setup right now. Nothing new.
That band sits around 81K this time.
Same structure, different year.
Last cycle did the exact same thing.
Ran ~50% from 33K → 48K, cleared both bands… looked “real”.
Then gave it all back.
And more. Like a 65% drop after.
So yeah… I’m not calling this special. Not even close.
Not until price does something it’s literally never done in a bear market —
reclaim a prior distribution range and actually hold it.
Until then?
Feels like just another rally people are getting a bit too excited about.
