The past month has been a solid run. A lot of wins in a row. Honestly, one of those months that reminds you why you stay in this game.
Most of the trades I took were shared publicly. And I know for a fact many of you made money from them. That part matters to me.
The people who didn’t win — or even lost — it usually wasn’t the setup. It was psychology. Weak hands. Bad timing. No patience. No discipline.
Most traders are obsessed with learning strategies. New methods. New indicators. New “secrets.” Very few want to learn risk management. Even fewer want to learn discipline.
That’s the real difference. Always has been.
This path isn’t easy. It messes with your head. It tests your patience. But it’s worth walking if you’re serious.
Thanks to everyone who’s been following, trusting, and walking alongside me. I’m still here. And I’ll keep sharing the journey. $ETH $ENSO $RAVE
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Price snapped straight up out of a narrow base and ran into a thick ceiling, then stopped acting strong. The follow-up candles show long upper tails and cramped closes, energy spent but not going anywhere. Volume punched in on the spike, then showed up again with no distance — churn instead of travel. I’m holding reduced risk, watching how it behaves at this edge. If price presses above the ceiling and stays there without slipping back, I’m gone immediately.
Price pushed hard out of a tight pocket and tagged the upper band, then stopped advancing. The last candles show tall wicks and shallow bodies, pressure showing but distance shrinking. Volume flared on the push, then dulled as price sat there, rotating instead of extending. I’m in with light exposure, letting it prove whether this area caps or not. If price presses above the band and sticks without snapping back, I cut it on the spot.
Price ripped straight up out of a flat base and slammed into an overhead band, then stopped going anywhere. The last pushes leave upper wicks and short bodies — effort showing, travel gone. Volume showed up on the surge, but the follow-through thinned fast, now just overlap and give-back near the same area. I’m in with reduced risk, watching it sit heavy rather than continue. If price accepts above the cap and holds without snapping back, I’m out immediately.
Shorts are getting way too comfortable up here. Nearly $1B in liquidation clusters stacked between $72–82K. You can feel the confidence.
But here’s the problem for bulls: squeezing that zone needs a +15% rally, and this market can’t even hold a bounce longer than 48 hours right now. That’s not strength. That’s exhaustion.
Underneath current price, there’s a thick pocket of long liquidations. And price keeps drifting toward it like gravity. Easy targets. Low-hanging fruit.
Each downside liquidity pocket that gets wiped makes any bounce back up weaker. Less fuel. More damage. The path higher gets steeper every time.
If $66K doesn’t get reclaimed, that long liquidity below is probably next. I don’t love that setup at all.
Feels like the market is choosing the easier trade. And right now, that’s still down. $PIPPIN $BULLA
Price dumps into the lower pocket, snaps once, then goes flat instead of continuing. The sell burst leaves long lower tails, bodies crowding each other, no fresh distance after the hit. Small upticks keep getting capped, but the floor doesn’t give, pressure soaking right here. I’m in with reduced risk, watching it sit rather than unravel. Invalid if it accepts below the base and stays heavy there. I’m out on a quiet slip that never pulls back.
Price slides into the lower strip, tags through, then crawls back and sits instead of spilling. The push down stretches wicks but bodies refuse to open space, everything overlapping and heavy. Each small lift fades fast, yet the lows stop extending, pressure leaking without follow-through. I’m in with reduced risk, watching it hold ground rather than bounce. Invalid if it accepts below the shelf and stays pinned there. I’m out on a soft drift lower that doesn’t snap back.
Price bleeds down into the base, snaps once, then goes quiet right on the edge. Lower wicks show up but the lift keeps getting capped, bodies overlap and compress. Selling pressure keeps leaning, yet it can’t force clean separation; everything stalls in the same strip. I’m in, holding exposure, letting it sit and show its hand. Invalid if it settles below the floor and stops snapping back. I’m out the moment it drifts lower and doesn’t reclaim.
Price knifes down into the base, rebounds fast, then stalls right back inside the strip. The bounce shows long lower tails but no reach, each attempt higher short and heavy. Volume flares on the drop, fades on the lift; movement feels contained, not free. I’m in, holding exposure, watching whether it can stay planted here. Invalid if it settles beneath the floor and stops snapping upward. I’m out on a drift lower that doesn’t pull back quickly.
Price flushes into the base, snaps up, then stalls right beneath the ceiling. Each probe higher loses strength, bodies compress, wicks stretch but nothing carries. Volume shows on the dip, not on the lift. I’m holding exposure, watching it sit instead of spill. Invalid if it settles below the base and stops snapping back. I exit on a clean slide that just keeps drifting.
Price dips through the band, snaps back, then sits heavy right on the edge. Lower wicks show up but travel stays shallow, candles overlap instead of opening space. Selling effort shows, yet it can’t press, keeps bleeding into the same pocket. I’m in, reduced risk, letting it breathe while it grinds. Invalid if it accepts below the floor and holds without recoil. I’m gone on a slip that doesn’t reclaim immediately.
Price lifts into the overhead strip and immediately gives ground, no acceptance up there. Upper tails keep flashing on attempts to bounce, bodies overlap, volume shows but distance doesn’t come with it. The push from the base already looks spent, each follow-up smaller, easier to fade. I’m holding short, risk trimmed, letting the drift do its thing. If price reclaims the lid and stays there, I’m out on the spot. Until then… pressure still leaning down, unresolved.
Price pushes up, taps the overhead band, then bleeds back without holding anything above it. Rebounds keep arriving thinner, upper tails stretch but bodies don’t go, volume shows up and nothing travels. It’s sitting under the cap now, grinding sideways, offers leaning every time it tries to lift. I’m holding with reduced risk, letting the churn do the talking. If price steps back above the ceiling and sticks, I’m gone. Until then… pressure feels unresolved, still leaking.
Price spikes into overhead supply and immediately gives it all back, no pause, no base — just air. The rebound attempt stalls fast, candles overlap and stretch wicks without real travel, volume flares but displacement goes nowhere. Feels like effort being absorbed rather than accepted, sellers leaning every time price lifts its head. I’m in with reduced risk, watching how it behaves around this band. If price reclaims and sits above the shelf with clean follow-through, I’m out. Until then… pressure still leaking, nothing resolved.
Today’s dump shoved the Whale vs Retail Delta to its most negative spot since October — back when price was hanging around $114K. Same kind of pressure. Same kind of behavior.
Big wallets are selling with the same intensity they showed near the highs. Not easing. Not hesitating. Just steady distribution. Meanwhile retail is on the other side of it, trade after trade, happily taking the fill. That’s not an opinion — someone has to be the buyer.
This is what distribution looks like in a bear market. It’s slow, boring, and brutal. The informed crowd builds exits over weeks. The uninformed crowd provides the liquidity without realizing they’re doing it.
Every retail bid gives institutions another chance to offload. And they’ve been taking it. Four straight months of that risk handoff. Same pattern, different candles.
As long as the counterparty keeps stepping in with fresh capital, price just keeps respecting the delta. When that demand dries up… the chart doesn’t argue. $ETH $SOL
$BEAT, $KITE , $PLAY— solid green now. Took 50% off each, moved stop to entry. Not trying to be clever here, just locking the work in and freeing the head.
$PTB still holding. Price hasn’t left the entry zone, nothing to react to yet. Letting it sit.
$YGG starting to lose bite. Bounces getting softer, follow-through fading. Closed the position and stepping aside. No rush — will wait for a cleaner look before touching it again.
Price snaps up from the floor and then pauses, sitting just above the ledge instead of spilling back through it. Pullbacks are brief, lower wicks show up and get taken in, bodies stacking tight with little give. I’m in with controlled exposure, letting it work rather than adding. Each push higher is smaller, but nothing is unwinding yet. Trade is invalid if price slips back through the base and starts staying there. Immediate exit on a fast drop that doesn’t bounce and fails to reclaim the shelf.
Price slips back into the same band it just lost and can’t get traction, every lift fading early. Upper wicks keep showing up near the lid, bodies overlap, no real travel despite volume flickers. I’m in with controlled exposure, letting it sit heavy rather than chase. Pushes up feel labored, then stall, then leak again. If price reclaims the overhead zone and starts holding there, trade is invalid. Immediate exit on a sharp snap back above the shelf that doesn’t give back
Short $BEAT 👇
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