#bitcoin
📉 Is Bitcoin’s bottom really yet to come? What history says
Despite attempts to hold on,$BTC is once again showing a downward trend after failing to consolidate above the psychological level of $80,000. The current price fluctuates around $75,400.
Analysts are divided into two camps:
📉 1. Bearish scenario: The real bottom is yet to come 🐻
Crypto analyst Chain Mind warns that BTC has historically never bottomed without testing the 300 EMA (as it did in 2020 and 2022).
In this cycle, the price has pushed back from $60,000 without touching this indicator.
Moreover, BTC has just bounced off the 200MA lines (at $82,000), which repeats the bearish structure of 2022.
Forecast: If history repeats itself, Bitcoin is expected to fall by 40-60% from the divergence point — that is, to the $50,000-$55,000 zone.
📈 2. Bullish scenario: Summer flat and fall rally 🚀
Analyst Kaleo calls for “scale down” and not to panic due to skeptics’ bets on Kalshi vs. BTC at $100k.
Forecast: Retest of the lower limit of $70,000, rebound to $80,000-$90,000 and consolidation in the summer.
A strong rally above $100,000 and a new all-time high (ATH) is expected in the fall and winter, which may be facilitated by the passage of the CLARITY Act.
⚠️ Market pressure factors: geopolitical tension (US-Iran conflict), rising inflation, expectations of a Fed rate hike and SEC delay in approving tokenized shares.
📉 Is Bitcoin’s bottom really yet to come? What history says
Despite attempts to hold on,$BTC is once again showing a downward trend after failing to consolidate above the psychological level of $80,000. The current price fluctuates around $75,400.
Analysts are divided into two camps:
📉 1. Bearish scenario: The real bottom is yet to come 🐻
Crypto analyst Chain Mind warns that BTC has historically never bottomed without testing the 300 EMA (as it did in 2020 and 2022).
In this cycle, the price has pushed back from $60,000 without touching this indicator.
Moreover, BTC has just bounced off the 200MA lines (at $82,000), which repeats the bearish structure of 2022.
Forecast: If history repeats itself, Bitcoin is expected to fall by 40-60% from the divergence point — that is, to the $50,000-$55,000 zone.
📈 2. Bullish scenario: Summer flat and fall rally 🚀
Analyst Kaleo calls for “scale down” and not to panic due to skeptics’ bets on Kalshi vs. BTC at $100k.
Forecast: Retest of the lower limit of $70,000, rebound to $80,000-$90,000 and consolidation in the summer.
A strong rally above $100,000 and a new all-time high (ATH) is expected in the fall and winter, which may be facilitated by the passage of the CLARITY Act.
⚠️ Market pressure factors: geopolitical tension (US-Iran conflict), rising inflation, expectations of a Fed rate hike and SEC delay in approving tokenized shares.