Bitget CEO Gracy Chen says Oct. 10 hurt altcoins (3:39)
Bitcoin (BTC), the world's first decentralized cryptocurrency, was launched in 2009 in the wake of the global financial crisis in 2008. The goal was to give financial autonomy to the people and liberate them from the clutches of Wall Street.
But the way Bitcoin has increasingly become integrated into the mainstream financial system, macroeconomic forces now tend to affect King Crypto's price trajectory.
That is exactly what happened when U.S. President Donald Trump's tariff threat against China led to a massive liquidation in the crypto market on Oct. 10 last year.
Bitcoin had hit its all-time high (ATH) of $126,080 only a few days earlier on Oct. 6 and it is currently trading 45% lower.
Related: Bitget CEO who predicted $200K Bitcoin says it’s a ‘good time to buy’
Investor identifies 6 factors behind crypto crash
Earlier this month, Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan listed six major factors behind the crash in the crypto market.
First, long-term crypto investors have been selling to front-run the four-year cycle. The general thesis is that crypto has historically followed four-year cycles, with down years being 2014, 2018, and 2022 previously. So, traders think 2026 is also going to be a down year and are therefore exiting markets after making gains.
Second, though crypto remained the "most exciting, dynamic, and volatile segment" of the market, investors have now flocked to other exciting segments like artificial intelligence (AI) and precious metals.
Three, the crypto market took the blow of Trump's tariff threat alone, as Oct. 10 was followed by a weekend when Wall Street was closed for trading.
Four, Trump has nominated Kevin Warsh to be the next Federal Reserve chairman, who is seen to hold very hawkish views.
Five, there is a significant section of the Bitcoin community that fears the threat of quantum computing is near and not enough is being done to address the risk.
Six, Bitcoin has suffered from the broader market’s risk-off shift.
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Mike McGlone warns Bitcoin could crash to $10K
On Feb. 16, Bloomberg Intelligence strategist Mike McGlone warned that Bitcoin could even drop to $10,000.
While other analysts may talk of a "healthy correction" soon, a further decline is here, he said. But the buy-the-dip mantra since 2008 may be over, he added.
The U.S. stock market is rallying with low volatility, but the digital assets market has lost faith in Trump. He warned that the crypto bubble is imploding.
But precious metal traders are making huge profits, he underlined the contrast.
McGlone shared a price chart comparing Bitcoin divided by 10 for scaling with the S&P 500.
Collapsing Bitcoin/Cryptos May Guide the Next Recession -
"Healthy Correction" is what we should hear soon from stock market analysts (who risk unemployment if not onboard), following collapsing cryptos. The buy the dips mantra since 2008 may be over, here's why:
- US stock… pic.twitter.com/fPPc2fV3EU
— Mike McGlone (@mikemcglone11) February 15, 2026
The stock market benchmark closed at 6,836.17 points on Feb. 13, and since Bitcoin doesn't sleep even on Presidents' Day, it was trading at $67,952.02 at press time. Both assets are hovering below $7,000 in the chart McGlone shared.
He thinks the initial normal reversion for the S&P 500 is toward 5,600, so it should be $56,000 for Bitcoin. In a base case, he thinks Bitcoin could revert toward $10,000, given the equities market hits a peak.
Standard Chartered's head of digital assets research, Geoff Kendrick, is also bearish but not as much as McGlone. He believes Bitcoin could slide toward $50,000 in the coming months.
JPMorgan analysts led by managing director Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, however, remain bullish and predicted earlier this month that BTC could eventually hit $266,000.
Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Cryptocurrency investments are highly volatile and risky. Always conduct your own research before making any investment decisions.
Related: JPMorgan turns bullish on crypto in 2026 despite crash