On April 27, Jin10 reported that according to CME's 'FedWatch', there is a 100% probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in April. The probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut by June stands at 4.7%, while the likelihood of maintaining the current rates is 95.3%.
Kevin Warsh to Inherit Fed Challenges Amid Inflation and Crypto Market Dynamics
U.S. President Donald Trump's nominee for the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, is poised to take over as chair following Jerome Powell's final FOMC press conference on Wednesday. According to NS3.AI, the federal funds target currently stands at 3.50%–3.75%, with headline inflation at 3.3%. Warsh will face the challenge of managing a $6.7 trillion balance sheet amid persistent inflation pressures. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market, which has been closely linked to Federal Reserve liquidity, will be a significant factor in his tenure.
Expert Predicts Bitcoin Bottom Near $57,000 in October
Michael Terpin has projected that Bitcoin may reach a bottom near $57,000 in October, drawing on historical drawdowns and the usual timing of cycle lows. According to NS3.AI, Terpin also expressed skepticism about Bitcoin returning to $100,000 this year unless institutional buying remains robust, ETF inflows persist, and the market avoids significant sell-offs during dips.
Strategy's Bitcoin Holdings Reach Record $63.46 Billion
Strategy's Bitcoin treasury reached a record $63.46 billion on April 26, with holdings totaling 815,061 BTC. According to NS3.AI, company filings reveal that Strategy acquired 34,164 BTC for approximately $2.54 billion last week, marking its largest single-week purchase in 17 months. The acquisition was funded through $2.18 billion from STRF perpetual preferred equity and $366 million from at-the-market sales of MSTR shares. Current spot prices indicate that the treasury is approximately $1.9 billion above Strategy's total cost basis.
Oil Futures Rise Over 2% Amid U.S.-Iran Peace Talks Stalemate
Oil futures surged over 2% early Monday as peace negotiations between the United States and Iran reached an impasse, limiting oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz and maintaining global oil supply tensions. According to Jin10, recent fluctuations in oil futures prices have been significant, with traders needing to predict both the resumption of oil exports from the Persian Gulf and the time required for regional production to return to pre-conflict levels. U.S. President Donald Trump stated on Sunday that Iran's inability to export oil is increasing domestic pressure, potentially causing long-term damage to its energy export infrastructure. Goldman Sachs analysts also commented on Sunday, delaying their expectation for the Strait of Hormuz to return to normal export levels from mid-May to late June. Additionally, they raised their fourth-quarter WTI crude oil price forecast from $75 per barrel to $83 per barrel.
Iran's Oil Export Challenges Amid Strait of Hormuz Disruptions
Iran's parliament speaker has indicated that Tehran retains unused supply levers as oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz remain significantly below normal levels, at about 95% less than usual. According to NS3.AI, data from Goldman Sachs reveals that Gulf crude production has decreased by approximately 14.5 million barrels per day, representing a 57% drop from pre-war levels. Goldman analysts predict that only 70% of the lost supply might be restored within three months following a complete and secure reopening, with 88% potentially returning within six months. U.S. President Donald Trump stated that American producers could mitigate part of the impact as Brent crude prices hover near $100 per barrel.
U.S. Treasury Market Eyes Fed Meeting Amid Middle East Tensions
On April 27, Jin10 reported that as tensions in the Middle East drive up oil prices, U.S. Treasury market traders are closely monitoring this week's Federal Reserve meeting to assess officials' views on inflation prospects. According to Jin10, the market widely expects the Fed to keep interest rates unchanged on Wednesday, but traders lean towards a rate cut by the end of the year. Swap market data from Friday indicates that the probability of a rate cut by year-end has risen to around 40%. This development could pave the way for Kevin Warsh, nominated by U.S. President Donald Trump, to lead the Fed and implement more accommodative policies in the future. In this context, traders will listen carefully to current Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks at the post-meeting press conference for updates on his plans after his term ends next May. Meanwhile, this week will also see a series of U.S. Treasury auctions, including 2-year and 5-year notes, to test market demand at current yield levels.
Goldman Sachs Raises Oil Price Forecasts for Q4 2026
Goldman Sachs has revised its oil price forecasts for the fourth quarter of 2026 due to decreased crude production in the Middle East. According to Jin10, the investment bank has increased its expected price for Brent crude to $90 per barrel and for WTI crude to $83 per barrel.
AI TRENDS | Coachella Explores AI Innovations with Google DeepMind
Coachella has collaborated with Google DeepMind to develop three artificial intelligence prototypes during the 2026 festival. According to NS3.AI, these prototypes include a tool for recreating 3D shows, a stage-planning application, and a mobile game. Coachella has stated that these projects are currently internal proofs of concept as the festival evaluates the potential for implementing any of these features in future events.
AI-Driven Scams Pose New Threats to Crypto Community
A crypto project founder recently fell victim to a deepfake scam, where an impersonator posed as a Cardano Foundation official. According to NS3.AI, the scammer deceived the founder into installing a fraudulent Microsoft Teams update, leading to the compromise of his laptop. This incident highlights the increasing difficulty in detecting scams as AI technology advances, even for those with technical expertise. CryptoSlate has used this case to caution the community about the growing sophistication of AI-driven scams in the cryptocurrency sector.
PRECIOUS METALS | Spot Silver Falls Below $75 per Ounce
Spot silver prices have dropped below $75 per ounce, marking a daily decline of 0.89%. According to Jin10, this decrease reflects ongoing volatility in the precious metals market.
U.S. stock futures for the three major indices opened slightly lower on Monday, with a decline of 0.2%. According to Jin10, this minor dip follows recent market fluctuations and investor caution amid ongoing economic uncertainties.
Spot gold opened on Monday with a gap down of $15, trading at $4,696.98 per ounce. According to Jin10, this marks a significant movement in the precious metals market as trading begins for the week.
US equity ETFs experienced a significant surge in average daily inflows, reaching a record $7.5 billion in April, more than doubling the $2.9 billion pace observed in March. According to NS3.AI, this increase was reported by Strategas Asset Management. Spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETF products also rebounded in tandem with equities since the market bottom in March.
Crypto Social Engineering Attacks Surge with $786 Million Stolen in 2023
Crypto social engineering attacks are on the rise, with criminals having stolen $786 million from crypto projects so far this year. According to NS3.AI, security executives have noted that DeFi teams are once again a primary target as hackers increasingly exploit human error rather than relying solely on code vulnerabilities.
OCC to Close GENIUS Act Comment Window, Impacting U.S. Banks
The Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) is set to close the comment window for the GENIUS Act on May 1. According to NS3.AI, this leaves U.S. banks with only four days to respond to the proposed 376-page stablecoin rule. The proposal outlines reserve, custody, capital, and supervisory requirements, and introduces a two-tier licensing system with a $10 billion threshold for federal oversight.
Launch of UTXO Preferred Income Strategies LP Targets Digital Credit Securities Income
UTXO Management has introduced a new private fund, UTXO Preferred Income Strategies LP, designed to generate income from preferred digital credit securities. According to NS3.AI, the fund features a dual-class structure, comprising a Senior Income Class and a Total Return Class. At the time of the announcement, no capital had been deployed under this strategy.
US Treasury Expands Debt Donation Options Amid Massive Debt Load
The U.S. Treasury has expanded its Pay.gov debt donation form to include PayPal and Venmo as payment options. According to NS3.AI, despite this addition, the average monthly donations amount to approximately $120,000, which is minimal compared to the nation's $39 trillion debt. Treasury data indicates that the donation program has been in operation since 1961, accumulating around $67 million since 1996, with about $30,000 collected in February 2026.
In parallel, the BITCOIN Act of 2025, which proposes the acquisition of 1 million BTC over a five-year period, is currently stalled in committee. This legislative proposal aims to integrate Bitcoin into the national financial strategy, but its progress remains uncertain.
Bridgewater Associates has significantly increased its investment in Nvidia, boosting its stake by over 54% in the last quarter. According to NS3.AI, analysts on TradingView have set a consensus price target for Nvidia at approximately $269, with a high target of $380. Nvidia reported a substantial rise in its Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue, reaching $68.1 billion, which marks a 73% increase compared to the previous year. Additionally, Nvidia has projected its Q1 FY2027 revenue to be $78 billion, surpassing Wall Street's expectations of $73 billion.
U.S. President Trump Faces Challenges Ahead of Beijing Visit
U.S. President Donald Trump is preparing for a visit to Beijing, facing a more challenging situation compared to his last meeting with President Xi Jinping six months ago. Bloomberg posted on X, highlighting that while China is managing the repercussions of the Iran conflict with relative stability, the United States is experiencing increasing difficulties. The geopolitical landscape has shifted, presenting new challenges for the U.S. administration as it navigates international relations and domestic pressures.
Indonesia to Begin Oil Purchases from Russia in April
Indonesia is set to commence oil imports from Russia starting in April, according to Energy Minister Bahlil Lahadalia. The country currently produces 600,000 barrels of oil daily but consumes 1.6 million barrels, creating a significant shortfall. According to NS3.AI, Indonesia requires approximately 300 million additional barrels annually to satisfy its energy needs. Minister Lahadalia emphasized the necessity for expanded gas and energy cooperation to address this demand.
Clarity Market Structure Bill Faces Uncertainty Ahead of Memorial Day Deadline
The Clarity market structure bill has seen minimal public progress over the past month, with Memorial Day identified as a critical deadline for advancing the legislation before the upcoming election. According to NS3.AI, over 100 industry participants recently signed an open letter urging the Senate Banking Committee to conduct a markup. However, the timing of the committee's action remains uncertain. Even if the Senate issues are addressed, the bill would still require another vote in the House.
Elon Musk's Lawsuit Against OpenAI and Microsoft Heads to Trial
Elon Musk's $134 billion lawsuit against OpenAI, Sam Altman, and Microsoft is scheduled for trial on Monday in federal court in Oakland, California. According to NS3.AI, Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers has reduced the case from 26 claims to two counts: unjust enrichment and breach of charitable trust. This decision follows Musk's withdrawal of fraud claims just days before jury selection.
Ethereum Foundation Launches Asia's First Offline Community Center in Hong Kong
ETH Hong Kong Hub, Asia's first offline Ethereum community center, officially opened on April 21, 2026. According to NS3.AI, the opening event attracted over 1,500 registrants, marking a significant milestone for the Ethereum community in the region. The center is supported by the Ethereum Foundation's Ethereum Everywhere program and features an initial cohort of over 30 projects from the Ethereum ecosystem. This initiative aims to foster collaboration and innovation within the Ethereum community across Asia.
U.S. President Trump Predicts Swift End to Iran Conflict
U.S. President Donald Trump stated in an interview with Fox News that he anticipates the conflict with Iran will conclude soon, with the United States emerging victorious. According to Odaily, Trump suggested that Iran could initiate negotiations by contacting the U.S., expressing hope that Iran would act wisely.
XRP's Decline Questions Its Role as a Portfolio Hedge
XRP has experienced a significant drop, falling over 61% from its July 2025 high of $3.65. According to NS3.AI, this decline raises concerns about the token's effectiveness as a portfolio hedge. Bitcoin has also seen a decrease, dropping 38.6% from its peak, which further supports the notion that major cryptocurrencies are too volatile to be considered defensive assets.
Michael Saylor, founder of Strategy, has released new information regarding the Bitcoin Tracker, accompanied by the caption 'The ₿eat Goes On.' According to Odaily, Strategy typically announces additional Bitcoin acquisitions the day after such updates are shared.
DoorDash Collaborates with Tempo for Stablecoin Payouts
DoorDash is partnering with Stripe-backed Tempo to integrate stablecoin-powered payouts into its marketplace, spanning over 40 countries. According to NS3.AI, this collaboration involves DoorDash, Stripe, Coastal Bank, and ARQ, aiming to introduce stablecoin payments. Andy Fang highlighted that the primary attraction for DoorDash is the faster and more affordable payout system offered by stablecoins.
Bitcoin Futures Traders Maintain Long Positions Despite Price Fluctuations
Bitcoin futures traders are maintaining a strong long position, with a ratio exceeding three-to-one, as Bitcoin trades near $77,500, below the $80,000 mark. According to NS3.AI, Coinglass data indicates that BTC perpetual open interest decreased by approximately 6% to 744,300 BTC over a 24-hour period. Additionally, Coinglass recorded $22.44 million in long liquidations on April 25, compared to $11.60 million in short liquidations.
Trump and UK Prime Minister Discuss Middle East Tensions
U.S. President Donald Trump held a phone conversation with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer on April 26 to discuss the current situation in the Middle East. According to Odaily, both leaders emphasized the urgent need to resume shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. The UK highlighted that the ongoing blockade, lasting several weeks, has left numerous crew members stranded in the Gulf region. Starmer warned of the severe consequences this situation could have on the global economy and the cost of living for UK citizens. On the same day, Iran issued a warning that the waterway would not return to its previous state under any circumstances.
The stock market has been influenced by various factors, including economic data, Federal Reserve announcements, and corporate developments. Bloomberg posted on X that over the past 15 months, traders have seen their fortunes closely tied to the actions and statements of U.S. President Donald Trump.
Clipping Network Generates Millions in Revenue Through Stake Campaign
Stake utilized a clipping network to amplify an Adin Ross campaign, resulting in 430 million views from 11,000 videos posted by 520 clippers. According to NS3.AI, Bloomberg reported that Anthony Fujiwara’s company, Clipping, generated approximately $7.7 million in revenue and now handles millions of dollars monthly in stablecoin payments.
Bitcoin Funding Rates Show Long Bias Amid Market Shifts
According to data from Glassnode, Hyperliquid whales transitioned from a net short to a net long position in early March. According to NS3.AI, Coinglass reported that the seven-day bitcoin perpetual funding rate stands at -0.13%. This negative funding rate has persisted for approximately 47 consecutive days, marking the strongest long bias observed in the dataset.
DeepSeek Reduces Input Cache Hit Prices Across Model Series
DeepSeek has announced a significant reduction in input cache hit prices across its model series, effective immediately. According to NS3.AI, the company has lowered the prices to one-tenth of the original launch price. Additionally, DeepSeek-V4-Pro is offering a limited-time 75% discount until 23:59 UTC+8 on May 5, 2026, reducing its input cache-hit price to 0.025 yuan per million tokens.
This week's roundup focuses on significant developments in the Asian cryptocurrency landscape. According to NS3.AI, Singapore has taken steps to ease regulations on public chain assets, aiming to foster a more conducive environment for blockchain innovation. Meanwhile, Thailand has opened its doors to digital asset derivatives, marking a significant expansion in its financial offerings.
In addition to these developments, Uzbekistan, Russia, and the Philippines have also made notable policy moves in the crypto sector. These changes reflect a broader trend of regulatory adjustments across Asia, as countries seek to balance innovation with oversight in the rapidly evolving digital asset space.
Elon Musk Announces Imminent Launch of X Money with Cash Back and Interest Benefits
Elon Musk has announced that X is on the verge of launching X Money, a new banking and payments tool. According to NS3.AI, early testers of the service have reported benefits such as 3% cash back and 6% interest on cash savings. Musk has committed to making the service available to the public this month, with early public access anticipated soon.
Elon Musk Nears Launch of Financial Services Tool on Twitter
Elon Musk is approaching his long-term objective of transforming Twitter into an 'everything app.' According to Bloomberg, Musk plans to introduce a new financial services tool for public use this month. This development comes more than three years after Musk acquired Twitter, marking a significant step towards his vision for the platform.
El Salvador Increases Bitcoin Holdings by 31 BTC Over Past Month
El Salvador has increased its Bitcoin holdings by 31 BTC over the past 30 days, according to ChainCatcher. The country's total Bitcoin reserves now stand at 7,633.37 BTC. The value of these holdings is approximately $624 million.
Vietnam to Launch Regulated Crypto Asset Pilot Program in 2026
Vietnam plans to initiate a five-year pilot program for regulated crypto asset trading in the second quarter of 2026. According to ChainCatcher, this initiative aims to transition from offshore, unregulated crypto trading to a domestic, regulated market. Currently, Vietnamese traders handle an annual crypto trading volume of $220 billion to $230 billion, with daily transactions exceeding $600 million. The pilot program will only permit participation from locally registered institutions that meet stringent capital and compliance requirements. Additionally, the traded assets must be backed by real-world assets and settled in Vietnamese dong.
Tokenization Expected to Transform ETF Market, Says JPMorgan Executive
Ciarán Fitzpatrick, Global Head of ETF Products at JPMorgan Securities Services, expressed confidence in the transformative potential of tokenization for the market. According to Odaily, Fitzpatrick highlighted that tokenization could significantly impact not only ETFs but the entire fund industry. He noted the ongoing experiments with ETF tokenization, citing benefits such as easier subscription and redemption processes, 'near-instantaneous settlement,' and continuous access. Fitzpatrick added that while tokenization is expected to become part of the ETF ecosystem, it may take several years before practical use cases emerge.
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