FOMC is 5 days away.
Kevin Warsh chairs his first Fed meeting June 16–17.
The last Fed chair called crypto “volatile garbage,” but Warsh has invested in crypto companies.
Here’s a simple breakdown of each outcome: - Rate cut (unlikely but possible): BTC breaks $65K instantly, the Altseason index crosses 60, and risk assets rally. This would be Warsh’s most aggressive move.
- Dovish signal/cut hint: BTC pushes $63K-$65K, the dollar weakens slightly, and crypto gets a relief rally but not a breakout.
- Hold with hawkish language: BTC back to $60K-$61K, ETH tests $1,500 again, and pain continues through June. Warsh’s unpredictability is the variable nobody can model.
What do you think Warsh does in his first meeting?
Kevin Warsh chairs his first Fed meeting June 16–17.
The last Fed chair called crypto “volatile garbage,” but Warsh has invested in crypto companies.
Here’s a simple breakdown of each outcome: - Rate cut (unlikely but possible): BTC breaks $65K instantly, the Altseason index crosses 60, and risk assets rally. This would be Warsh’s most aggressive move.
- Dovish signal/cut hint: BTC pushes $63K-$65K, the dollar weakens slightly, and crypto gets a relief rally but not a breakout.
- Hold with hawkish language: BTC back to $60K-$61K, ETH tests $1,500 again, and pain continues through June. Warsh’s unpredictability is the variable nobody can model.
What do you think Warsh does in his first meeting?