This week might be the first super week of 2026.
CPI, tariff rulings, CLARITY Act—Lazy Orange helps you sort it out
👇
1/13 (today): U.S. December CPI release
1/14 (tomorrow): Supreme Court tariff ruling + PPI
1/15 (day after tomorrow): CLARITY Act markup
1/28: FOMC interest rate decision
Today's CPI, market expects around 2.7%. If it comes in significantly below expectations, rate cut expectations rise, and $BTC may break above $95K; if above expectations, it could retrace to $88K.
But tomorrow is the key—Supreme Court will rule on whether Trump's 'Liberation Day tariffs' are unconstitutional. Polymarket shows a 76% probability of being overturned.
If overturned, the U.S. government would have to refund over $133 billion to importers, inflation expectations would drop, the dollar would weaken, and risk assets would be a major beneficiary.
Trump himself is anxious, saying, 'If we lose, we're done.'
The CLARITY Act on day after tomorrow is also worth watching—it's the first truly meaningful crypto market structure bill in the U.S. If it moves forward smoothly, regulatory clarity would be a medium-to-long-term positive for the industry.
Those with positions, please manage risk carefully~
CPI, tariff rulings, CLARITY Act—Lazy Orange helps you sort it out
👇
1/13 (today): U.S. December CPI release
1/14 (tomorrow): Supreme Court tariff ruling + PPI
1/15 (day after tomorrow): CLARITY Act markup
1/28: FOMC interest rate decision
Today's CPI, market expects around 2.7%. If it comes in significantly below expectations, rate cut expectations rise, and $BTC may break above $95K; if above expectations, it could retrace to $88K.
But tomorrow is the key—Supreme Court will rule on whether Trump's 'Liberation Day tariffs' are unconstitutional. Polymarket shows a 76% probability of being overturned.
If overturned, the U.S. government would have to refund over $133 billion to importers, inflation expectations would drop, the dollar would weaken, and risk assets would be a major beneficiary.
Trump himself is anxious, saying, 'If we lose, we're done.'
The CLARITY Act on day after tomorrow is also worth watching—it's the first truly meaningful crypto market structure bill in the U.S. If it moves forward smoothly, regulatory clarity would be a medium-to-long-term positive for the industry.
Those with positions, please manage risk carefully~