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🇺🇸➖🇮🇱🇺🇸⚔️🇮🇷 American Think Tank: Iran Can Hit the Entire Region's Oil Infrastructure
The Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS) in the US, in an analytical report, warned that in the event of any attack on Iran, Tehran will have no red lines and will most likely target all the oil infrastructure of the Persian Gulf littoral countries.
What are the 4 scenarios for disruption of Persian Gulf oil supply?
Disruption of Iran's oil exports: If the US or Israel wants to disrupt Iran's exports by blockading Kharg Island or seizing oil tankers, the global oil price will jump at least $10 to $12. However, Iran's reaction will be unpredictable and dangerous for US allies.
Iran's disruption in the Strait of Hormuz: Iran can stop the passage of 18 million barrels of oil using drones, missiles, and naval mines. This action will cause shipping operators to withdraw and a sharp spike in oil prices.
Attack on Iran's oil facilities: This path will push oil prices above $100. Destroying Iran's infrastructure will cut supply for the long term and provoke a regrettable response from Iran.
Iran's attack on regional oil facilities (the most likely scenario): In this situation, Iran directly targets the oil fields and export terminals of the Persian Gulf littoral countries. Oil prices will jump above $130, and not only oil but also gas exports in the region will be completely halted.
Why is bypassing the Strait of Hormuz impossible?
According to the CSIS report, alternative routes are very limited:
Saudi Arabia: Less than half of its exports can be rerouted. UAE: Part of its exports is done through the port of Fujairah, but still, one-third of its exports would effectively be blockaded if Hormuz is closed. Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain, and Qatar: They have no alternative routes and their exports would drop to zero.
Turkey, China, Bangladesh, and Saudi Arabia support Pakistan’s statement that it reserves the right to eliminate any terrorist camps, bases, or networks involved in attacks against Pakistan from Afghan soil.
Pakistan may carry out deep strikes inside Afghanistan.
Reports of possible explosions and smoke rising from several points across the Iranian planned city of Parand in the Tehran Province, with power outages also being reported in some areas of Parand.
According to the Israeli Yent, President Trump has decided to use intense military fire over several weeks instead of short and one-time strikes against Iran.
Israel will play a significant role in the operation, and the scale of destruction in Iran is likely to be unprecedented in the history of the Middle East.
Pakistan carried out airstr*kes targeting civilian areas, including a religious school.
Preserving our territorial sovereignty and the security of our people is our religious and national responsibility, and we warn of a calculated and proportional response to this violation.
The United States Army briefly released new photos of its Dark Eagle Long Range Hypersonic Weapon, then deleted them without explanation. Dark Eagle is a mobile, Mach 5+ hypersonic boost-glide missile system designed to hit heavily defended targets at long range. The first operational battery is estimated to cost about $2.7 billion.
Two Russian cargo aircraft reportedly switched off their transponders after entering Iranian airspace and later landed in Tehran, according to flight tracking reports.
Twelve F-22 Raptors from the U.S. Air Force’s 1st Fighter Wing (Joint Base Langley–Eustis, Virginia) were spotted today, February 21, on the tarmac at RAF Lakenheath, Suffolk, England, after crossing the Atlantic in groups of six earlier this week.
The final aircraft arrived on Thursday following a slight delay due to a tanker issue.
All F-22s are expected to continue their journey to the Middle East on Monday.
Iran has deployed its advanced Cobra-V8 electronic warfare system, a domestically developed platform designed to intercept, analyze and jam enemy radar and reconnaissance signals.