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Binance KOL & Web3 Mentor
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$9.15 $SOL sounds extreme.
But let’s look at history.
Last cycle: $260 → $8 (-97%).
This cycle: Peak at $260, now near $80 (-69% so far).
Prior major bottoms formed roughly every 3 years.
If the pattern repeats, $60 is realistic.
In a full capitulation, even $9.15 cannot be fully dismissed.
Is this cycle different — or repeating?
But let’s look at history.
Last cycle: $260 → $8 (-97%).
This cycle: Peak at $260, now near $80 (-69% so far).
Prior major bottoms formed roughly every 3 years.
If the pattern repeats, $60 is realistic.
In a full capitulation, even $9.15 cannot be fully dismissed.
Is this cycle different — or repeating?
$BTC dropped from $68.6K → $64.3K, now bouncing near $66K.
• $468M futures liquidations (mostly longs)
• Single $61.5M wipe on HTX
• Fear & Greed Index at 5 (Extreme Fear)
• Still 48% below October ATH
Leverage reloads every bounce.
Rally → Liquidate → Reset.
#Market_Update
• $468M futures liquidations (mostly longs)
• Single $61.5M wipe on HTX
• Fear & Greed Index at 5 (Extreme Fear)
• Still 48% below October ATH
Leverage reloads every bounce.
Rally → Liquidate → Reset.
#Market_Update
$BTC showing weakness.
Gold pushing higher while equities soften.
Pre-market snapshot:
• Nasdaq futures -0.40%
• S&P futures -0.25%
Risk sentiment leaning defensive.
#BTC
Gold pushing higher while equities soften.
Pre-market snapshot:
• Nasdaq futures -0.40%
• S&P futures -0.25%
Risk sentiment leaning defensive.
#BTC
Is $ETH repeating the Q4 2025 fractal?
The structure looks very similar so far.
If pattern holds, a volatility expansion phase could follow.
Key levels will confirm or invalidate the setup.
The structure looks very similar so far.
If pattern holds, a volatility expansion phase could follow.
Key levels will confirm or invalidate the setup.
🚨 Geopolitical Risk Watch
Potential US strike on Iran reportedly discussed for Monday/Tuesday.
Prediction markets pricing odds near 5%.
Low probability ≠ low impact.
Oil, gold, and risk assets could react sharply if triggered.
Stay alert.
#Market_Update
Potential US strike on Iran reportedly discussed for Monday/Tuesday.
Prediction markets pricing odds near 5%.
Low probability ≠ low impact.
Oil, gold, and risk assets could react sharply if triggered.
Stay alert.
#Market_Update
Bitcoin demand showing early recovery signals.
• Apparent demand turned positive for the first time in 3 months.
• Momentum shift may indicate renewed spot buying interest.
Early accumulation signs emerging.
#BTC
• Apparent demand turned positive for the first time in 3 months.
• Momentum shift may indicate renewed spot buying interest.
Early accumulation signs emerging.
#BTC
The current monthly dump structure resembles the May 2022 post-Luna crash.
If fractal plays out similarly, $BTC could rally toward $76,000 before another leg down.
Relief rally scenario in play.
If fractal plays out similarly, $BTC could rally toward $76,000 before another leg down.
Relief rally scenario in play.
The current monthly dump structure resembles the May 2022 post-Luna crash.
If fractal plays out similarly, $BTC could rally toward $76,000 before another leg down.
Relief rally scenario in play.
If fractal plays out similarly, $BTC could rally toward $76,000 before another leg down.
Relief rally scenario in play.
Altcoin deposits just surged to 49K per day (+22%).
Exchange inflows typically precede increased selling activity.
Market positioning about to get tested.
#Market_Update
Exchange inflows typically precede increased selling activity.
Market positioning about to get tested.
#Market_Update
BTC/Gold history:
• 2014 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2018 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2022 → Bottom after 14 months
Current cycle → 14 months into bear phase.
Timing now aligns with prior cycle bottoms.
• 2014 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2018 → Bottom after 14 months
• 2022 → Bottom after 14 months
Current cycle → 14 months into bear phase.
Timing now aligns with prior cycle bottoms.
$ETH still failing to reclaim $2,000.
BitMine accumulating, but sell pressure remains stronger.
Clear reclaim of $2,000–$2,100 with strong spot demand needed.
Until then, expect continued chop.
BitMine accumulating, but sell pressure remains stronger.
Clear reclaim of $2,000–$2,100 with strong spot demand needed.
Until then, expect continued chop.
$BTC still moving sideways ahead of key macro data.
Today: US Q4 GDP + PCE Price Index release.
Volatility likely to increase.
Pre-market:
• Nasdaq futures -0.01%
• S&P futures -0.03%
Markets slightly cautious.
Today: US Q4 GDP + PCE Price Index release.
Volatility likely to increase.
Pre-market:
• Nasdaq futures -0.01%
• S&P futures -0.03%
Markets slightly cautious.
🚨 Whale Alert
$54.5M $BTC long opened with 40x leverage.
Liquidation level: $62,288.
Extremely high risk positioning.
Volatility likely around this zone.
$54.5M $BTC long opened with 40x leverage.
Liquidation level: $62,288.
Extremely high risk positioning.
Volatility likely around this zone.
$BTC bounced again from the $65K–$66K support zone.
As long as this level holds, upside targets sit around $73K–$74K.
Support intact = bullish continuation scenario.
As long as this level holds, upside targets sit around $73K–$74K.
Support intact = bullish continuation scenario.
BTC / GOLD Ratio Breakdown
• 7 consecutive red monthly candles
• RSI sliding toward low 30s
• Momentum shifting clearly toward gold
Key support now sits around 12 to 13.
If monthly close breaks below that zone, next major support lies near 8 to 10, implying further BTC underperformance vs gold.
For strength recovery, Bitcoin needs:
• Strong bullish monthly close
• RSI reclaim above 50
• Higher low on the ratio
Until then, gold dominates the macro trend.
• 7 consecutive red monthly candles
• RSI sliding toward low 30s
• Momentum shifting clearly toward gold
Key support now sits around 12 to 13.
If monthly close breaks below that zone, next major support lies near 8 to 10, implying further BTC underperformance vs gold.
For strength recovery, Bitcoin needs:
• Strong bullish monthly close
• RSI reclaim above 50
• Higher low on the ratio
Until then, gold dominates the macro trend.
$BTC showing weakness after losing $67,000.
Next key support sits at $65,000 to $66,000.
Failure to hold this zone would break the higher low structure.
That scenario opens room for a potential sweep toward $60,000.
Next key support sits at $65,000 to $66,000.
Failure to hold this zone would break the higher low structure.
That scenario opens room for a potential sweep toward $60,000.
🚨 Whale Activity
New positions opened:
• $33M $ETH short (20x)
• $28M $SOL short (20x)
Track record: $23M profit in 4 months with 80% win rate.
High conviction, high leverage positioning. The market will watch closely.
New positions opened:
• $33M $ETH short (20x)
• $28M $SOL short (20x)
Track record: $23M profit in 4 months with 80% win rate.
High conviction, high leverage positioning. The market will watch closely.
📊 Capital Flow Signal
Market makers can shape price, but not money flow.
Current ETF flows:
• $BTC ETFs → -$104M outflows
• $ETH ETFs → +$48M inflows
Short term capital rotation clearly favoring Ethereum.
Market makers can shape price, but not money flow.
Current ETF flows:
• $BTC ETFs → -$104M outflows
• $ETH ETFs → +$48M inflows
Short term capital rotation clearly favoring Ethereum.
🚨 $ETH Liquidation Map
$4.6B shorts liquidate if ETH pumps 20%.
$4.58B longs liquidate if ETH dumps 20%.
Despite nearly 60% drop from peak, long positioning still heavy.
Market remains highly leveraged both sides.
$4.6B shorts liquidate if ETH pumps 20%.
$4.58B longs liquidate if ETH dumps 20%.
Despite nearly 60% drop from peak, long positioning still heavy.
Market remains highly leveraged both sides.
🚨 Weekly Golden Cross Signal
Bitcoin just printed a weekly golden cross.
Last 6 months → Only 2 stochastic golden crosses.
Each one resulted in roughly 15% to 21% $BTC rebound.
Not huge, but strong relief bounce signal in weak conditions.
Bitcoin just printed a weekly golden cross.
Last 6 months → Only 2 stochastic golden crosses.
Each one resulted in roughly 15% to 21% $BTC rebound.
Not huge, but strong relief bounce signal in weak conditions.
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