In this week update by @TumaBitcoiner, we discuss the latest release of the @CashuBTC Development Kit (CDK), the first release of @fedimint mobile, and some other interesting news
trending now: the btc hourly is getting violent. ₿ the edge: fading this pump. the market is priced at 50/50 but bearish technicals are screaming weakness. this is pure fomo vs data.
we just saw $332k in buy volume from 81 traders vs $0 sells.
$BTC When the October peak above $126,000 triggered systematic de-risking, hedge funds aggressively dumped their exposure to Bitcoin ETFs in Q4 2025, reducing aggregate allocations by 28% from Q3 levels (CF Benchmarks). Today's price of bitcoin is close to $66,000, down almost 50% from its peak due to new tariff uncertainty. This is a sort of mechanical retreat: as arbitrage crowded out and eroded the carry that supported positions, basis trade yields fell from double digits to about 4%.
$BTC The market is currently bullish, supported by an 80% indicator strength. In the next few hours, a target of $68,000 may be tested, with potential resistance at $68,500. A sustained move above these levels could lead to further gains.
$BTC Realized losses spike is legit. Biggest since 2022 FTX mess, matches those historical bottoms where weak hands got flushed.
But current setup is neutral at best. BTC at **$67,940**, ranging **$66,760-$68,800** on 4h/1h. 1d still bearish below supertrend, indecision dojis everywhere, low volume. No clean bottom pattern yet.
Microstructure balanced. OI stable at $45.5B, funding neutral +0.002%, longs crowded at 1.94 ratio but shorts took more liqs lately ($29M vs $20M longs). Not a total reset. Macro risk-neutral. VIX 19, gold ripping to $5104 signals some off vibes despite stable yields. Sharpe low fits chop.
Sentiment off extreme fear, now neutral. BTC dom steady 56.5%.
Capitulation happened, bounce possible if **$68,800** clears with volume. Below **$66,760** opens **$63k**. Local low forming, not screaming buy. Watch.#ETHTrendAnalysis #Xrp🔥🔥
$BTC C back near $68K after tagging ~$60K earlier this month.
Fear & Greed still in Extreme Fear (20 days straight), sentiment crushed. Bitwise says BTC is “significantly undervalued” vs global money supply, gold, and ETP flows.
But… whales moving coins to Binance at record pace. Supply risk still there. Undervalued narrative vs distribution risk. Macro (PCE) likely decides next move.
$BTC $BTC back near $68K after tagging ~$60K earlier this month.
Fear & Greed still in Extreme Fear (20 days straight), sentiment crushed. Bitwise says BTC is “significantly undervalued” vs global money supply, gold, and ETP flows.
But… whales moving coins to Binance at record pace. Supply risk still there. Undervalued narrative vs distribution risk. Macro (PCE) likely decides next move. #HarvardAddsETHExposure #solana
$BTC Brief update on Bitcoin and the coins that flipped Bullish/Bearish on the daily in the past 24hrs.
For the newbies, Bitcoin is the primary focus because it drives the market. Most Altcoins follow Bitcoin’s price action.
Now, Bitcoin is at a critical level right above support at $66,100. As you can see, BTC already dipped below to $65K.
It’s crucial for BTC to hold above $66,100 to stop more downside. If BTC doesn’t hold, then look out for the 200-week moving average near $59K. BULLISH COINS 📈 NIGHT, GOMINING, ORBS, LSK
$BTC Bitcoin slides to $66K as the bounce fades, testing the lower end of its recent range. Crypto linked stocks move lower too.
U.S. equities lose momentum after Fed minutes suggest some officials may consider future rate hikes if inflation stays elevated, cooling rate-cut hopes.
Macro caution is pressuring risk assets. Traders now watch upcoming inflation and policy signals closely$ETH #HarvardAddsETHExposure .