Pelin Ay

Sui is holding up well. The accumulation movement that has been going on since February continues. I think this movement will first test the $1-$1.15 range and then end with a pullback to $0.57. What do you think? $SUI

Ethereum Stronger Against Bitcoin

On the Bitcoin side, Netflow is positive,

and the Reserve Ratio also appears to be on an upward trend. This indicates an extraordinary amount of BTC inflow into Binance. This inflow is also quite high relative to the reserve. In other words, there's a significant increase in supply. The increase in supply following the Iran-US ceasefire agreement and the subsequent price rise suggests that the amount of BTC ready to be sold has increased significantly. This means that investors still don't trust the market and are waiting for an uptrend to sell their BTC. This picture is worrying.

On the Ethereum side, unlike Bitcoin, Netflow is slightly negative, and the Reserve Ratio is around 0, indicating weakness. This means there's no significant selling pressure. There's also no strong outflow from Binance. The supply side is close to equilibrium; there's neither significant selling pressure nor a strong demand signal. This means Ethereum may remain stronger against Bitcoin.

If we compare the two graphs:

▪️ Net selling supply is increasing in BTC, while supply in ETH is more neutral.

▪️ Exchange liquidity is increasing in BTC, indicating preparation for selling. Liquidity in ETH is stable, with expectations of more sideways movement.

▪️ Reserve Ratio movement is highly influential in BTC, while it is weak and ineffective in ETH.

Based on this comparison, it appears that Bitcoin is under significant short-term supply pressure, meaning selling pressure will likely dominate the market.

Ethereum and altcoins, on the other hand, lack a clear direction and experience less selling pressure compared to BTC. Therefore, Bitcoin appears to be more affected by selling pressure than altcoins. This indicates that the market is not moving in sync with Bitcoin and altcoins. $BTC $ETH #BitcoinDunyamiz #Ethereum

Chainlink is officially crawling. It's so stuck in the $8-$9.34 range that it's waiting for news of a move. I think only news of an ETF approval could boost this chart. A drop is necessary for money to flow into the market. $LINK #LINK

Ethereum has been in a downtrend for a very long time, and I think it should now fall to the $1770 level. It's so low in volume that a rise seems difficult without attracting new investors. $ETH #Ethereum

My expectation for Bitcoin is that it will ease further away from its current position than it needs to. My expectation is bearish, but it may first retest the $72750 resistance.

$64000 and $58000 are important support levels. $BTC #Bitcoin❗

The chart shows the USDT Dominance (USDT.D), indicating how much of the money in the market is held in stablecoins. Therefore, it directly helps us gauge risk appetite in the crypto market.

The chart shows a flag pattern after a strong upward move. USDT dominance is currently touching the upper band of the channel, being rejected, and is undergoing a retest. I consider this a pre-rise consolidation. Because the lows aren't breaking aggressively, but at the same time, there's no upward breakout either. This could be a liquidity accumulation. If an upward reversal occurs as shown in the chart, money will return to stablecoins (USDT).

The market is in a decision-making phase, and the consolidation is nearing its end. If USDT dominance rises, we could see money flowing out of the market, i.e., a new downward wave; if it falls, we could see money flowing in and a rise in the crypto market. #dollar $USDT #USDTfree

In your opinion, which direction will the breakout occur?

LTC is currently trading between $59 and $45. While it's difficult to predict the direction without breaking out of this range, the downtrend, having reached the mid-support liquidity zone, could first see a move towards the $68 resistance level before continuing its decline. $LTC #LTC #Litecoin

The Market Awaits Major Economic News to Move the XRP Price

Low whale flow indicates that large players are not sending significant amounts of XRP to exchanges. This directly suggests that active selling pressure is weak on the whale side. The lack of aggressive supply increases on the liquidity side is quite positive for the XRP price. However, the absence of selling doesn't necessarily mean there's demand. Both conditions must be present for an upward move. In other words, low whale flow alone isn't enough to push the price up; it only creates an environment where there's no selling pressure to push the price down. This generally indicates stagnation and sideways movement.

The fact that this flow comes from a high-volume exchange with significant institutional use makes the data more meaningful. A significant portion of large players conduct their transactions through such highly liquid platforms. Therefore, the low flow seen here isn't just general on-chain data; it also reflects the behavior in the main liquidity area where actual transactions can be made.

This sideways, negatively trending price movement may be awaiting news that will generate volume in the market. $XRP #Xrp🔥🔥 #Ripple

Silver has broken its downtrend. If it holds above this trend line this week (above $75), the price could push it back up to the $89-$90 range. $XAG #Silver

Gold found support at $4400 per ounce and started to rise. This rise could continue up to $4900-$5000. This is a critical liquidity zone. If it cannot quickly break through this zone and close above $5400 on a daily basis, we may see another wave of decline. The economic calendar is also quite full this week. The news will be impactful. $XAU #GOLD #XAU

Solana broke the downtrend last week and continued to fall 😅 I think this trend will continue down to $67.50. $SOL #solana #sol

Total #kripto piyasası değerinde Büyük resim Trend aşağı devam edecek gibi duruyor.

Sol tarafta bir düşük tepe, ortada oluşan yapı aslında bir omuz-baş-omuz benzeri dağılım sağ omuz sonrası kırılım gelmiş ve düşüş hızlanmış. Yani formasyon hedefi gelmiş. Peki şimdi ne olacak?

2.29T civarı yani şu anki bölge yatay direnç bölgesi. 2.05T (0.786 fib) ana hedef, 2.58T (1 seviyesi) güçlü direnç ve oraya çıkamadıkça yapı bearish devam edecektir.

Düşüş sonrası zayıf bir konsolidasyon bölgesi içindeyiz. Tepkiler düşük hacimli kalıyor. Yani bu range aralığı bir dip değil, büyük ihtimalle devam formasyonu gibi görünüyor.

#Total düştüğünde sisteme para girişi olmadığını hatta piyasadan para çıktığını anlarız.

Bu durumda Altcoinler her zamanki gibi EN ÇOK düşer. Çünkü en yüksek riskli varlıklar ve en kolay gözden çıkarılan varlıklar.
Bitcoin dominance artar ve para nakite geçer.

Eğer 2.29T altı kalıcılık gelirse en az %5 TOTAL düşüşü #Altcoin lerde %10–25 düşüşe dönebilir. Tabi ki #bitcoin 'de bu düşüşten payını alır.

Ethereum Investors Afraid to Open New Positions

First, we see that Open Interest (OI) has sharply broken down during the recent decline. This indicates that leveraged positions in the market have been largely cleared. If OI falls along with the price, it generally means positions are being forced to close and risk is exiting the market. After such clearings, the market is healthier but has weaker volume. The fact that this data comes specifically from Binance is significant because it has the highest volume and derivatives concentration; therefore, the positioning of large players can be directly observed.

The critical point now is that while the price is trying to recover, Open Interest is not accompanying it with the same strength. That is, the price is making upward attempts, but new position openings are weak. This indicates that investors opening futures contracts are afraid. The Ethereum price has been in such a narrow range for a long time that no matter which direction we open a trade, it results in a stop-loss. If a strong trend had started in any direction, Open Interest should have increased significantly along with the price.

On the other hand, there is a slight recovery in Open Interest after the recent low, but this increase is quite weak compared to the previous decline. This also proves that the new risk entering the market is limited.

In summary, the conclusions we can draw from the chart are:

* Low-risk environment after a major leverage cleanup
* Price is recovering, but there is no strong accumulation of positions behind it
* Trend strength is weak, movements are more fragile
* What will determine the new direction: whether Open Interest will expand along with the price

As can be seen from this picture, investors cannot decide which direction the price will break. However, I would like to remind you that when past price movements are examined, whenever the Ethereum price remained in such a horizontal range for a long time, the result was always a downward breakout. $ETH #Ethereum

Sellers Ready to Counter the Rise

Recently, Bitcoin's price has been recovering after a drop around 68K. Simultaneously, exchange reserves are rising. This means that coin inflows to Binance are increasing. As you know, whales and institutional investors predominantly use Binance due to its high trading volume. Therefore, this chart appears quite significant.

An increase in exchange reserves indicates that investors are moving coins from cold wallets to exchanges, meaning they are activating their sell options. While this doesn't directly mean selling, even a 1-2K price increase shows an increase in exchange reserves, indicating increased liquidity ready for sale.

Normally, during a healthy rise, reserves decrease as the price increases, but here it's the opposite. Supply is entering the market during the rise. Whales seem likely to turn these rebound rallies into sell-offs.

The same pattern is seen several times in the chart. When this pattern occurs, i.e., an increase in reserves, it generally creates pressure on the price.

In the current situation, I can say that the rise will be met with selling, and the decline will continue. $BTC #bitcoin

Ethereum Dominans uzun süredir düşüş trendini Lower high ve lower low yapısıyla koruyor. Son düşüşle birlikte yaklaşık %10.1 bölgesine kadar sert kırılım geldi.
Şu an düşen trendi kırdı ve küçük bir tepki yükselişi gelebilir. Sonrasında tekrar düşüş devam ederek yeni dip gelme olasılığı yüksek görünüyor.

Dominans yükselirse $ETH güç kazanır. Altcoinlerin bazıları #ETH ile kısa süreli yükseliş yaşayabilir. #Altcoin tarafında mini bir tepki yükselişi görebiliriz. Özellikle büyük altcoinler (SOL, XRP vs.) #Ethereum yükselişine eşlik edebilir. Unutmayın, Eth'deki bu yükselişin 2500$'e geçeceğini düşünmüyorum.

Net Inflows into XRP ETFs May Be a Prelude to Spot Selling

The current chart shows that the funding rate has been negative for a long time. Moreover, it's not just negative; there are negative spikes reaching -0.01 / -0.02. The short side is aggressively maintaining its dominance. Those who opened long positions are gaining funding. In short, the market generally continues to expect a decline. It appears the market is clearly bearish in terms of position.

The price is around $1.32, continuing its downtrend with lower highs and lower lows.
Negative funding is accompanying the decline. However, if the price is also falling while funding is negative, this is not a healthy decline. It means the decline is being driven by the short side rather than the spot market.

There were +2.66M inflows into XRP ETFs during the week of March 23-27. Institutional investors have turned positive, but the price is still under pressure – a contradiction here. Despite smart money buying, the market is maintaining its short position. This means institutional investors are expecting a short-term short squeeze. In short, when the market rises to reduce short positions, the price may face a sharp spot sell-off from institutional investors.

In summary, I can say that volatility will increase in the short term and there is a high probability of a fake breakout. However, if the price starts to rise while funding is negative, we can then say the signal is bullish. Until then, the bearish trend will continue. Rises will be short-lived. $XRP

Altın ons fiyatı 4400$ desteğinde tutunuyor. Bu destek test edildikçe zayıflıyor. 4100$ da da birikmiş bir likidite var. Bu hafta fiyat bu likiditeyi almak isteyebilir. Sağlıklı yükseliş için de buna ihtiyacımız olduğunu düşünüyorum. Sizce fiyat önce 4000$'ı mı görecek yoksa 4650$'ı mı? $XAU

Gümüş onsu düşüş trendini sürdürüyor. 60$ güçlü bir likidite bölgesi. Fiyatın bu bölgeden dönmesini beklerim.
Dönmezse fiyatı karşılayacak destekler:
▪️55$
▪️50$
▪️45$ (Bu destek yükselişin başladığı seviye olduğu için daha altını beklemem)
Büyük negatif bir haber gelmedikçe 60$ altında kalıcı olacağını sanmıyorum. $XAG

The TRX price formed strong resistance in the $0.32–$0.33 range after a long upward trend. Following this, a decline resulted in a rounded bottom. The $0.28–$0.29 range acted as strong support (0.618 Fibonacci retracement) in the lower region.

Currently, the price has risen again to the $0.30–$0.31 range. However, it has still not broken through the main resistance around $0.325. In short, the market appears to be attempting upward movements within a range but has yet to produce a breakout.

The most striking point in the chart is that the lows are forming higher lows while the highs remain the same. This can be described as a classic consolidation pattern.

There are several key dynamics that have recently stood out in the TRON (TRX) ecosystem.

These include the TRON network being one of the most heavily used networks for Tether (USDT) transfers. Low fees and fast transfers provide a constant flow of liquidity. This supports the price during declines, but it doesn't create strong upward movements on its own. Activity on TRON is focused on real-world usage. Therefore, its price is more stable compared to other altcoins.

TRON has revenue from transaction fees and a burning mechanism on its network. This is a long-term supply suppressor, which is a positive factor for the price.

In short, the ecosystem is strong and the price isn't crashing. However, the resistance isn't being broken because the market is generally low-volume. TRON currently behaves like an asset that is frequently used but cannot be HODLed due to market inconsistencies. $TRX

The Crypto Market is Experiencing One of the Lowest Volume Periods in History

The chart shows the lowest volume around September 2023.

* “Others” falls below ~100T
* BTC around ~100B
* ETH below ~100B (even in the ~80-90B range)

This period can be described as the point where total market activity truly dried up.

Currently, BTC is around the 80-100B range, ETH around 170-180B, and Others around 200-250T. So, BTC is quite close to its historical lows. ETH is slightly higher but still weak, and total volume, while not as low as the past low, is clearly low. The market isn't exactly at the bottom, but it's close.

In such low-volume environments, liquidity weakens, and prices move more easily. Even small sell-offs can push the price down sharply. Rises don't inspire confidence. Because the lack of volume increases the risk of a fake rally. The main direction of the trend is generally downwards. Because if there are no strong buyers, the market falls under its own weight. We are currently experiencing this.

This volume level creates a foundation that supports the decline. It's particularly important that this chart is Binance data. Because Binance is the largest liquidity hub in the spot crypto market. If the volume here is falling, it indicates a decrease not only in local but also in global risk appetite. Since a significant portion of institutional and large investors trade here, a decrease in volume means a market decline. Unless whales shift from a spectator position to a buyer position, the market seems likely to continue falling. The most accurate conclusion to draw from this chart is that large investors still find the market expensive to buy and cheap to sell. $BTC $ETH