Shadow_Trader
Patience. Discipline. Smart trades.
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🚨 MASSIVE FOR CRYPTO
Mike Novogratz says US CLARITY Act could pass in May.
(Novogratz made the comments during a podcast with SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci. He said the bill may reach committee in early May and could reach President Donald Trump’s desk in June)
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Mike Novogratz says US CLARITY Act could pass in May.
(Novogratz made the comments during a podcast with SkyBridge Capital founder Anthony Scaramucci. He said the bill may reach committee in early May and could reach President Donald Trump’s desk in June)
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Sunday's Are For Backtesting.
1)Always backtest a new strategy before investing real capital
2)Confirms if a strategy has a mathematical edge and makes money over the long term
3)Allows testing of various scenarios and strategies without risking actual capital.
4) Helps identify when a strategy fails, such as during specific market conditions.
5)Delivers key data, including win rate, drawdown, and risk-reward ratios
$BTC $ETH
1)Always backtest a new strategy before investing real capital
2)Confirms if a strategy has a mathematical edge and makes money over the long term
3)Allows testing of various scenarios and strategies without risking actual capital.
4) Helps identify when a strategy fails, such as during specific market conditions.
5)Delivers key data, including win rate, drawdown, and risk-reward ratios
$BTC $ETH
Gunshots reported outside the White House Correspondents’ Dinner as Trump was set to speak, Secret Service rushed him off stage.
Trump said he decided to cancel the planned visit of Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner to meet Iranian officials in Pakistan.
Trump to host a private Bitcoin & crypto conference today at 9:30 PM IST, an exclusive Mar-a-Lago gala hosted by the Trump memecoin team.
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Simple understand today Bitcoin options expiry is happening at a fixed time on Deribit this expiry happens at 9 am London time and 1 pm Pakistan time options expiry means that people who placed call and put bets get their final settlement today because of this the market moves fast sometimes a spike up sometimes a dump down because market makers adjust their positions so around expiry volatility is high and for scalpers this is a golden time
Simple understand options are a type of deal where you pay a small fee called a premium to get the right to buy or sell Bitcoin in the future at a fixed price that fixed price is called the strike price for example if someone buys a call at 80000 then their strike is 80000 and if someone buys a put at 60000 then their strike is 60000
Now max pain point is the price where the maximum number of people end up in loss meaning most options become worthless for example if the market closes around 71000 or 72000 then the 80000 call buyers lose and the 60000 put buyers also lose and all the premium goes to market makers
Bitcoin options expiry is happening where around 9.8 billion dollars worth of options are closing data shows the max pain is around 71k to 72k while the price before expiry is around 77k
Now what is max pain easy understand people place bets at different strike prices some bought 80k calls expecting price to go up and some bought 60k puts expecting price to go down and everyone paid a premium now market makers want the maximum number of people to lose so the best level for them is where both sides lose which is the middle level around 71k to 72k
Now since price is at 77k either the market can be pulled down toward 72k or if strong momentum comes it can move up in a short squeeze that is why around expiry volatility is always high and this is where the real game for scalpers happens
Simple understand today Bitcoin options expiry is happening at a fixed time on Deribit this expiry happens at 9 am London time and 1 pm Pakistan time options expiry means that people who placed call and put bets get their final settlement today because of this the market moves fast sometimes a spike up sometimes a dump down because market makers adjust their positions so around expiry volatility is high and for scalpers this is a golden time
Simple understand options are a type of deal where you pay a small fee called a premium to get the right to buy or sell Bitcoin in the future at a fixed price that fixed price is called the strike price for example if someone buys a call at 80000 then their strike is 80000 and if someone buys a put at 60000 then their strike is 60000
Now max pain point is the price where the maximum number of people end up in loss meaning most options become worthless for example if the market closes around 71000 or 72000 then the 80000 call buyers lose and the 60000 put buyers also lose and all the premium goes to market makers
Bitcoin options expiry is happening where around 9.8 billion dollars worth of options are closing data shows the max pain is around 71k to 72k while the price before expiry is around 77k
Now what is max pain easy understand people place bets at different strike prices some bought 80k calls expecting price to go up and some bought 60k puts expecting price to go down and everyone paid a premium now market makers want the maximum number of people to lose so the best level for them is where both sides lose which is the middle level around 71k to 72k
Now since price is at 77k either the market can be pulled down toward 72k or if strong momentum comes it can move up in a short squeeze that is why around expiry volatility is always high and this is where the real game for scalpers happens
#MarketSentimentToday
📊 $BTC 4H ANALYSIS
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a bullish move, showing signs of slowdown rather than reversal.
🧠 Structure
Bullish trend still intact (HH + HL) ✅
Price now moving sideways under resistance
Trendline still holding
👉 Market = consolidation phase
📍 Key Levels
🔵 Support: 76.5K – 77K
🔴 Resistance: 78K – 79K
⚪ Current price stuck in range
💧 Liquidity View
Sell-side liquidity below 77K
Buy-side liquidity above 79K
👉 Expect a liquidity grab before expansion
⚠️ Weekend Effect (VERY IMPORTANT)
The weekend has started, and this changes market behavior:
Volume = low
Moves = slow / choppy
Higher chance of fake breakouts & traps
👉 Big players are less active → market becomes less reliable
🎯 Scenarios
🟢 Break above 79K → continuation toward 82K+
🔴 Sweep below 77K → reclaim → bullish move
🧠 Final Thought
This is not the time to be aggressive.
👉 Weekend = patience game
👉 Best trades come after clear confirmation
$BTC
📊 $BTC 4H ANALYSIS
Bitcoin is currently consolidating after a bullish move, showing signs of slowdown rather than reversal.
🧠 Structure
Bullish trend still intact (HH + HL) ✅
Price now moving sideways under resistance
Trendline still holding
👉 Market = consolidation phase
📍 Key Levels
🔵 Support: 76.5K – 77K
🔴 Resistance: 78K – 79K
⚪ Current price stuck in range
💧 Liquidity View
Sell-side liquidity below 77K
Buy-side liquidity above 79K
👉 Expect a liquidity grab before expansion
⚠️ Weekend Effect (VERY IMPORTANT)
The weekend has started, and this changes market behavior:
Volume = low
Moves = slow / choppy
Higher chance of fake breakouts & traps
👉 Big players are less active → market becomes less reliable
🎯 Scenarios
🟢 Break above 79K → continuation toward 82K+
🔴 Sweep below 77K → reclaim → bullish move
🧠 Final Thought
This is not the time to be aggressive.
👉 Weekend = patience game
👉 Best trades come after clear confirmation
$BTC
JUST IN: 🇺🇸🇮🇷 Trump administration says $344 million $USDT frozen by Tether was linked to Iran.
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JUST IN: Nvidia $NVDA surges over 5%, adding $250,000,000,000 to its market cap today.
Total market cap: $5 trillion
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Total market cap: $5 trillion
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If Pakistan announces peace treaty between these two countries we'll see a huge push upside in the market.
Especially Gold and Crypto. S&P 500 is also expected to rise
#MarketRebound #USIranStandoff
$BTC
Especially Gold and Crypto. S&P 500 is also expected to rise
#MarketRebound #USIranStandoff
$BTC
$BTC 4H ANALYSIS — COMPRESSION BEFORE BIG MOVE
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a tight range after a strong bullish impulse, showing signs of accumulation rather than weakness.
🧠 Market Structure
Higher highs & higher lows intact ✅
Price respecting ascending trendline
Current phase = consolidation
👉 Trend remains bullish, but market is slowing down
📍 Key Levels
🔵 Support (Demand Zone): 76.5K – 77K
Strong buyer reaction already
⚪ Current Range: 77K – 78.5K
Price compression = breakout loading
🔴 Resistance / Liquidity: 79K – 80K
Equal highs → liquidity resting above
💧 Liquidity Setup
Sell-side liquidity below 77K
Buy-side liquidity above 79K
👉 Market likely to sweep one side before the real move
⚠️ Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation
Clean breakout above 79K
Strong momentum confirms move
Targets: 82K → 84K
🔴 Liquidity Sweep (High Probability)
Fake breakdown below 77K
Quick reclaim of support
Then continuation upward
🎯 Trading Approach
✅ Wait for confirmation (break & retest OR sweep & reclaim)
❌ Avoid entries inside the range
❌ No FOMO near resistance
🧠 Summary
Market = Accumulation phase
Direction = Bullish bias
Best action = Patience + confirmation
#MarketSentimentToday #MarketRebound
Bitcoin is currently trading inside a tight range after a strong bullish impulse, showing signs of accumulation rather than weakness.
🧠 Market Structure
Higher highs & higher lows intact ✅
Price respecting ascending trendline
Current phase = consolidation
👉 Trend remains bullish, but market is slowing down
📍 Key Levels
🔵 Support (Demand Zone): 76.5K – 77K
Strong buyer reaction already
⚪ Current Range: 77K – 78.5K
Price compression = breakout loading
🔴 Resistance / Liquidity: 79K – 80K
Equal highs → liquidity resting above
💧 Liquidity Setup
Sell-side liquidity below 77K
Buy-side liquidity above 79K
👉 Market likely to sweep one side before the real move
⚠️ Scenarios
🟢 Bullish Continuation
Clean breakout above 79K
Strong momentum confirms move
Targets: 82K → 84K
🔴 Liquidity Sweep (High Probability)
Fake breakdown below 77K
Quick reclaim of support
Then continuation upward
🎯 Trading Approach
✅ Wait for confirmation (break & retest OR sweep & reclaim)
❌ Avoid entries inside the range
❌ No FOMO near resistance
🧠 Summary
Market = Accumulation phase
Direction = Bullish bias
Best action = Patience + confirmation
#MarketSentimentToday #MarketRebound
Bitcoin crowd sentiment has flipped from extreme fear to full FOMO in just four days as BTC rebounds above $78.7K and eyes the $80K resistance level again, per Santiment.
#MarketRebound
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#MarketRebound
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🇺🇸 JUST IN: Donald Trump said he is in no rush to end the conflict with Iran, warning that time is not on Tehran’s side and a deal will come only on U.S. terms.
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