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$BTC

Things change with the mind, and mirrors reflect the heart. $BTC

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Bitcoin BTC has been on a downtrend for several days, here's today's trading advice
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BTC has been in a prolonged bearish phase, impacted by expectations of high U.S. interest rates, continuous ETF redemptions, and a chain reaction of long liquidations, overall trapped in a downtrend channel. Today, being Saturday, market liquidity has drastically shrunk, and even a small amount of capital can trigger sharp price movements. The market is primarily showing weak consolidation, with no conditions for a one-sided reversal or major rally; all rebounds are merely technical corrections, so the focus should be on conservative risk control.

Key price levels are clearly defined: short-term first resistance is at $63,800-$64,200, with medium-term strong resistance at $66,500-$66,800, where there is a significant accumulation of trapped positions, making it easy for rebounds to stall and fall back; short-term core support is at $63,500, and if the daily candle closes below this level, a new round of decline will commence, with extreme support at $60,500-$61,000. Only if this range shows clear signs of a bottom can there be a minor dip-buying opportunity.

I propose two strategies based on position types: for contract traders, align with the bearish trend, prioritizing light short positions on rallies; set up when rebounds hit resistance and form long upper shadows, and always implement strict stop-losses; chasing longs is strictly prohibited. If you're betting on a bounce from oversold conditions, only participate with a very small position near $60,500, in and out quickly. Over the weekend, be sure to cut your position size in half and reduce leverage to avoid sharp liquidation risks.

For spot investors, if you’re stuck at high prices, consider reducing your position gradually in the $64,500-$66,500 rebound range to ease the holding pressure; don’t stubbornly hold out waiting to break even. Those with no positions should avoid blindly bottom fishing on the left side; patiently wait for two major stabilization signals: ETF funds shifting from outflows to sustained net inflows, and price stabilizing above $66,800 with volume, then start positioning on the right side in increments.

#比特币连跌4日STRC跌破面值

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