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老山

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Article

Panic levels rise again—can Bitcoin break through the key level? How should we position for the next phase!

As the conflict between Iran and the U.S. is still ongoing, the global economy has entered a recession period. Both Bitcoin (large coin) and gold and silver have seen deep pullbacks. Bitcoin plunged from 83,000 all the way down to around $57,000, reaching the first low point since the bull market began. Due to the ongoing Iran-U.S. conflict, oil and energy supplies have been damaged, and Japan’s economy has also fallen into a tense environment. The Japanese yen has even hit its lowest level in nearly 40 years. Keep in mind that when the yen depreciates, a lot of funds need to return to Japan’s stock market. Especially in Japan, many large investors who invest in Bitcoin need to save their positions. Then, after the new chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve took office, it is now highly likely that they will face the prospect of further rate hikes. Although there is a high chance of one rate hike this year, possibly around December, rate cuts are basically off the table now. With the World Cup diverting funds away from the crypto market, there is no liquidity in the market. In the U.S., institutions are selling every day. Next, it is highly likely that price will bottom out between 55,000 and 50,000 and then rebound.

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1650 key resistance level, if it can't break through, we'll see a double dip! #SK海力士拟赴美发行ADR

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Gotta bounce, can't play the big game, it's a retracement, not a reversal#金价跌逾1.7%银价跌逾2%

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Forget it, your mom's dead $ETH #比特币跌破6万美元创7月以来最差周表现

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Is there any photo editing software that can help me make a quick few thousand USDT, something like that $ETH #比特币跌至6.2万美元

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Honestly, all this dip is just prep for the World Cup; funds are pulling back, killing contracts, and the funding rates are still positive. Retail traders and whales will never run out of the bottom to buy. The World Cup is happening over in the US today, and the gamblers are out. The big players will still be harvesting funds back, and both retail and whales are going to get slaughtered. A drop of over 10,000 points in a week is just normal. Right now, the only thing to do is to take some small rebounds and not let your view get so low that even your parents wouldn’t recognize it. During this time, everyone can catch the World Cup and go out to have some fun. Once the World Cup kicks off, that’s when the crypto market will start to recover. The panic level still hasn’t hit expectations. In the Middle East, they’re talking peace while still fighting – to sum it up, Trump’s just a liar. As the saying goes in China, a dog can be managed for three days after a beating, but Trump slaps and then forgets all about it. The panic level is still high, and the only option is to watch more and act less. Next, we’re looking at the World Cup semi-finals: France vs. Brazil, Spain vs. Argentina, and in the finals, watch out for France vs. Spain. Now, the biggest issues we’re facing are a few. First off, MicroStrategy’s idiot founder is trying to sell Bitcoin, which shakes the very foundation – it’s like Satoshi selling a few Bitcoins. If Satoshi sold a bunch, the market would drop to zero. The belief would vanish, so all this stuff is worthless. You think crypto has value just because of its price; it’s all the capital narrative behind it that makes you think it’s valuable. To sum it up, it’s about harvesting retail traders, and ultimately, the funds flow back into the US stock market, especially after the US stole Bitcoin from Iran. Now, let’s talk about Ethereum. Even though the founder, Vitalik, has been promoting other coins, many people from the Ethereum Foundation have left, which is a good thing. This could let US consortiums get involved, and in the future, Ethereum might still rise up. Even saying Ethereum is in a tough spot, that doesn’t mean it’s over. Long-term supporter Tom Lee has been buying from around 4000 down to about 1700, even though he’s down over 8 billion. Others didn’t sell, and once the bull comes back to 6000, they’ll make it back and still earn from staking. Now we just need to see if this guy can keep buying and holding. If he tries to sell like MicroStrategy, the market will definitely crash. MicroStrategy’s average cost is above 75000, while Tom Lee’s cost is above 3000. Others aren’t scared, so why should you be? Long-term, just be patient and focus on spot trading; steer clear of contracts lately! $BTC

Honestly, all this dip is just prep for the World Cup; funds are pulling back, killing contracts, and the funding rates are still positive. Retail traders and whales will never run out of the bottom to buy. The World Cup is happening over in the US today, and the gamblers are out. The big players will still be harvesting funds back, and both retail and whales are going to get slaughtered. A drop of over 10,000 points in a week is just normal. Right now, the only thing to do is to take some small rebounds and not let your view get so low that even your parents wouldn’t recognize it. During this time, everyone can catch the World Cup and go out to have some fun. Once the World Cup kicks off, that’s when the crypto market will start to recover. The panic level still hasn’t hit expectations. In the Middle East, they’re talking peace while still fighting – to sum it up, Trump’s just a liar. As the saying goes in China, a dog can be managed for three days after a beating, but Trump slaps and then forgets all about it. The panic level is still high, and the only option is to watch more and act less. Next, we’re looking at the World Cup semi-finals: France vs. Brazil, Spain vs. Argentina, and in the finals, watch out for France vs. Spain.

Now, the biggest issues we’re facing are a few. First off, MicroStrategy’s idiot founder is trying to sell Bitcoin, which shakes the very foundation – it’s like Satoshi selling a few Bitcoins. If Satoshi sold a bunch, the market would drop to zero. The belief would vanish, so all this stuff is worthless. You think crypto has value just because of its price; it’s all the capital narrative behind it that makes you think it’s valuable. To sum it up, it’s about harvesting retail traders, and ultimately, the funds flow back into the US stock market, especially after the US stole Bitcoin from Iran. Now, let’s talk about Ethereum. Even though the founder, Vitalik, has been promoting other coins, many people from the Ethereum Foundation have left, which is a good thing. This could let US consortiums get involved, and in the future, Ethereum might still rise up. Even saying Ethereum is in a tough spot, that doesn’t mean it’s over. Long-term supporter Tom Lee has been buying from around 4000 down to about 1700, even though he’s down over 8 billion. Others didn’t sell, and once the bull comes back to 6000, they’ll make it back and still earn from staking. Now we just need to see if this guy can keep buying and holding. If he tries to sell like MicroStrategy, the market will definitely crash. MicroStrategy’s average cost is above 75000, while Tom Lee’s cost is above 3000. Others aren’t scared, so why should you be? Long-term, just be patient and focus on spot trading; steer clear of contracts lately! $BTC

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Article

The bulls are always the winners!

Northern expedition successful
Market makers rotating positions
Washing out some weak hands
Only the ones who stay are the elites
The value of this statement is still rising
Everyone can also join the old mountain Binance group chat, where we update daily (just scan to join or hit the homepage to enter directly!)
#CFTC和SEC加强对预测市场监管合作 #Strategy限定条件出售BTC #贝莱德拟推面向稳定币用户的货币市场基金 #a16zCrypto称RWA规模超300亿美元 <t-17/>#CLARITY法案5月14日听证在即

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Article

The position shift is over; the bears don't have much time left!!!!

Right now, the U.S.-Iran situation isn't that critical anymore. A few days ago, Lao Shan mentioned that with Trump's upcoming visit to China, a large-scale war isn't likely to break out, and many people didn't believe it. In fact, since Iran's foreign minister came to China, Trump has been in quite a panic and wants to visit China ASAP. Rumor has it that Trump and Putin are coming together, but they won’t meet. To put it simply, this visit will determine whether the Middle East will remain stable or not. In the game of major powers, small countries suffer; Iran’s fate hinges on Trump's visit. If talks go well, there won’t be any further discussions; if not, we’ll keep the dialogue going. Especially now, the Middle East is facing an overflow of oil prices. Iraq has lowered crude oil prices to around $60 to $70 a barrel; as long as you can pull it, you’re good to go. A single shipment saves over $60 million, but the prerequisite is you need to be able to get through. Many countries in the Middle East want to sell, but if the Strait of Hormuz is blocked, prices will continue to fluctuate at high levels. Although Trump has recently eased tensions in the Middle East, the key focus will be post-visit to China.

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Verified

Article

Trump's visit to China is just around the corner, bringing a long-awaited glimmer of hope to the markets. Bitcoin is leading the charge—are we witnessing the dawn of a bull market or the start of a bear market? We'll have to wait and see!

The recent conflict between the US and Iran isn't something to stress over. Just the other day, Lao Shan mentioned that Trump is busy with his visit to China, which should keep the markets stable for a bit. Especially with the Iranian foreign minister visiting China before him, it's all about the big players calling the shots for the smaller ones. Trump doesn't have enough chips this time, so I doubt we'll see a massive outbreak in the Middle East. Last time, he postponed things because he couldn't nail down Iran, and now he's forced to come and ease relations across the board. But keep in mind, after his visit, if talks go well, things could wrap up, but if not, we might see a continuation of tensions. So, for the air force folks, times are gonna be really tough!

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Article

Major news coming, 8 PM tonight will decide life and death. Will it be a bull return or bear market? Stay tuned!

Yesterday, after the US aircraft carrier was attacked by Iran, the market took a nosedive. Then the US quickly came out to deny the rumors, and oil prices returned to normal, with Bitcoin and Ethereum bouncing back. It's clear that both the US and Iran miscalculated. They thought today’s market open would be smooth, but it turns out they misread the situation. Keep an eye on the news conference from the US Secretary of Defense and the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff at 8 PM tonight, as it could significantly impact the Middle East situation. There's a high probability they will signal the next attack on Iran, especially since Israel has restocked its weapons and munitions. If things heat up, the market won’t be able to handle it, but a major conflict likely won't happen because Trump is scheduled to visit China from May 14 to May 15, so a large-scale war is unlikely. Interestingly, the new Fed Chair, Waller, is set to go up before May 14, and after his visit to China, we might see a wave of negative news that will lead to a significant market correction. Historically, when the Fed Chair rises, the market tends to tank, and this time will likely be no different. Trump’s visit to China doesn’t carry much leverage, and unless there’s a real deal on the Middle East, we won’t have much to negotiate with. (Sorry for the rough sketch, folks, don’t mind it 😊)

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Article

Key Levels Approaching: Can Bitcoin Soar?

Overall, this weekend Bitcoin and Ethereum have stabilized after some volatility. Bitcoin has regained its footing above $78,500, so we need to keep a close eye on the $80,000 resistance. There's a strong chance we could break through this level. If we do, expect some divergence; last time we hit $80,000, we saw a volume-driven drop to $60,000. If we break through this time, many shorts will likely start selling off here. If the whales can hold it up, we might see further upward movement, but if the pressure is too high, we could see a retracement. As shown in the chart, there's no need to focus too much on Ethereum right now; all eyes are on Bitcoin. If Bitcoin rallies, Ethereum will follow suit. This time, if Bitcoin reaches a new high, Ethereum will likely break its previous high as well. Just be patient and remember not to use too much leverage.

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Article

Key Nodes Approaching!

Yesterday's bounce was also within Old Mountain's expectations; he had drawn the lines early in the morning, and the evening's market was quite strong, breaking above 78, just a step away from 79. Ethereum also climbed above 2300. So next, we need to focus on whether Bitcoin can hold above the 78000 level again. If it stabilizes there, then the next challenge is the 80k mark. If it fails to break through after several attempts, it might drop again. On the downside, keep an eye on the 76000 level. As for Ethereum, we’re still watching the 2200 direction; as long as it doesn't break below that, anything is possible. The pressure above remains at 2400. Right now, we need to be cautious about the US-Iran situation; it’s rumored that Israel has restocked its ammunition, and now we’re waiting to see if Netanyahu can hold up against domestic pressure. If peace talks fail again, it will definitely trigger another war to achieve their ambitions.

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Breaking the Norm, the Next Profit Maker is You!

A big bullish candlestick just shattered the norm from May, breaking past 77000. Next, keep an eye on the 78000 level. Those who jumped in are definitely reaping the rewards, and those who took the advice to buy in are also enjoying some profits!
#美参议院禁止参议员参与预测市场交易 #CertiK称四月加密安全事件损失达6.5亿美元 #OpenAI诉讼战马斯克与Altman正面交锋 #Meta与Stripe重返稳定币支付领域 #BTC跌破$77K $BTC
$ETH
$BNB

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Article

Iran is in for a big surprise, the market is about to get a fresh influx of liquidity—how can retail traders seize this opportunity!

Right now, the situation between the US and Iran isn't that critical anymore. Netanyahu is facing serious charges and there's a high likelihood he could end up in prison. Trump is also feeling the heat with all the opposition at home, especially with the midterms coming up—if he loses, a lot of his power will be stripped away. Netanyahu's in the same boat; his political rivals are gearing up to try and oust him in October. Both sides are currently facing dual pressures, particularly Netanyahu. If these issues drag on without resolution, the standoff between the US and Iran will only continue and the ceasefire will be delayed further. Should the charges against Netanyahu hold, he might even initiate a new round of conflict—it's basically a selfish play. For now, we won't see a large-scale outbreak; both Iran and the US will just be trading barbs and tough talk. We should at least wait until after May Day for the next round to unfold—it's either going to be a fight or more negotiations.

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Significant divisions within the Fed lead to a market cleanup; a new round of opportunities is about to arrive!

Sure enough, Powell's last speech surprised the market, directly releasing a hawkish statement that caused a major sell-off. There’s significant division within the Fed; especially with this decision, the voting results were 8 in favor and 4 against, marking the most dissent since 1992. The Fed is now completely split into three factions: one wants to cut rates, another is staunchly against easing to combat inflation, and the last is panicking over the situation in the Middle East. The Fed is particularly concerned that escalating tensions in the Middle East could lead to rising oil prices, pushing inflation up again. If inflation rises, rate hikes are inevitable, which is the most dangerous signal. Although short-term rates remain unchanged with no hikes or cuts, if oil prices stay high, any rate cuts will also be delayed. On May 15, Powell will step down, ushering in a new chair and new policies. We'll see if they follow Trump's advice or stick to Powell's principles.

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Article

UAE Makes a Bold Move; Strait of Hormuz is No Longer Key. The Market is About to Face Major Opportunities—How Can Retail Traders Seize the Moment!The UAE just made a bold move by deciding to exit OPEC. For those who don’t know, OPEC is a group of oil-rich nations that come together to decide how much oil to produce each month and set pricing to stabilize the market. To put it simply, it’s a bunch of oligarchs controlling the oil pricing. With the UAE’s exit, oil prices could completely lose control. Whenever tensions rise in the Middle East, the UAE can now sell oil through back channels. By exiting OPEC, they can bypass the Strait of Hormuz and sell oil directly to other countries. Previously, they were pressured by Saudi Arabia and Iran not to sell, but now that they're out, they won't play along anymore. If you block the Strait of Hormuz, that’s no problem for them; they can sell through back doors. The key point is that the UAE has low production costs, so they can sell and make a profit while controlling prices, even engaging in a price war. With their exit, this organization is likely to crumble. Once one country exits, others will likely follow, causing oil prices to drop, which would help revive the global economy. Especially regarding the Strait of Hormuz, when it was blocked, oil prices surged and many countries struggled with shortages. Now, with the UAE selling oil through back channels, many countries can purchase from there. The impact of blocking or not blocking isn't massive; as long as the impact isn’t too huge, the Strait of Hormuz won’t play a decisive role anymore. Now looking at the US-Iran situation, the biggest issue still lies with Israel. Trump isn’t focused on the Iran negotiations; his harshest ally, Netanyahu, is facing challenges to his position. The new political party in Israel is using various tactics to push Netanyahu out. If he loses his position, this war loses significance. Previously, it was revealed that Netanyahu encouraged Trump to take action. Now, Trump is trying to protect Netanyahu. We'll see if Netanyahu can hold onto his position; otherwise, the US and Iran might engage in minor ceasefires, but a full ceasefire will take a long time. Currently, Iran is visiting Russia, Oman, and other countries to solidify their next steps. This stalemate in the market is extremely risky.

UAE Makes a Bold Move; Strait of Hormuz is No Longer Key. The Market is About to Face Major Opportunities—How Can Retail Traders Seize the Moment!

The UAE just made a bold move by deciding to exit OPEC. For those who don’t know, OPEC is a group of oil-rich nations that come together to decide how much oil to produce each month and set pricing to stabilize the market. To put it simply, it’s a bunch of oligarchs controlling the oil pricing. With the UAE’s exit, oil prices could completely lose control. Whenever tensions rise in the Middle East, the UAE can now sell oil through back channels. By exiting OPEC, they can bypass the Strait of Hormuz and sell oil directly to other countries. Previously, they were pressured by Saudi Arabia and Iran not to sell, but now that they're out, they won't play along anymore. If you block the Strait of Hormuz, that’s no problem for them; they can sell through back doors. The key point is that the UAE has low production costs, so they can sell and make a profit while controlling prices, even engaging in a price war. With their exit, this organization is likely to crumble. Once one country exits, others will likely follow, causing oil prices to drop, which would help revive the global economy. Especially regarding the Strait of Hormuz, when it was blocked, oil prices surged and many countries struggled with shortages. Now, with the UAE selling oil through back channels, many countries can purchase from there. The impact of blocking or not blocking isn't massive; as long as the impact isn’t too huge, the Strait of Hormuz won’t play a decisive role anymore. Now looking at the US-Iran situation, the biggest issue still lies with Israel. Trump isn’t focused on the Iran negotiations; his harshest ally, Netanyahu, is facing challenges to his position. The new political party in Israel is using various tactics to push Netanyahu out. If he loses his position, this war loses significance. Previously, it was revealed that Netanyahu encouraged Trump to take action. Now, Trump is trying to protect Netanyahu. We'll see if Netanyahu can hold onto his position; otherwise, the US and Iran might engage in minor ceasefires, but a full ceasefire will take a long time. Currently, Iran is visiting Russia, Oman, and other countries to solidify their next steps. This stalemate in the market is extremely risky.

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Once all the necessary tech and knowledge mature, the final step to mastery is self-awareness.
Accepting that imperfect version of yourself, learning to fold, not going against the trend, avoiding FOMO, steering clear of greed, and not hesitating.

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Article

The US-Iran negotiations have officially begun. Can Bitcoin soar as a result? We'll be watching!

I mentioned yesterday that we were at a point of final negotiation. After Li and the US reached an initial agreement, today, representatives from both the US and Iran went to Pakistan for a second round of talks. To put it simply, all the previous actions were aimed at having leverage at the negotiation table. Everything seems normal from here. So, let’s patiently wait for the weekend news; after several days of consolidation, we should see a direction soon.
Now let's check the market. The price action has been stuck in a sideways trend these past few days, basically a trash market with minimal fluctuations. Bitcoin is hovering around 77000 to 78000, while Ethereum is bouncing between 2300 and 2335. The volatility is low. We're just waiting for the results of the US-Iran talks. This time, it will likely just delay a ceasefire rather than achieving a full peace; a real truce is still far off. With three US aircraft carriers in the Middle East, there might be a bigger strike coming. For now, we’re waiting for some good news after the meeting; it’s highly likely Bitcoin will break through the 80k mark. There are too many shorts below this level, and we need a pump to liquidate some of those before a drop can happen. In this kind of market, you could set up a small long at the bottom and wait for weekend news to exit accordingly. As for the previous shorts below 70k, just be patient. There are too many shorts below, and we need to pump it up to liquidate some before it can drop; those positions will get unwound. If anyone is stuck, feel free to ask the old hands for advice.#Aave宣布DeFiUnited救助计划 #OpenAI发布GPT-5.5 #币安推出黄金vsBTC未来资产对决活动 #CHIP暴涨 #孙宇晨起诉World Liberty Financial $BTC

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The final showdown is heating up, and the next opportunity is on the horizon. How can retail traders seize new chances?

The tug-of-war is still ongoing. Lebanon and Israel's negotiations in the U.S. are pretty much wrapping up and will continue to be delayed for another three weeks, with Trump personally meeting. Next up is the U.S.-Iran talks. Right now, both sides are throwing tough words around and retaliating with bomb threats, all just to gain leverage for future negotiations. At this point, everything is just noise.
Now let's dive into the market. The other day, Lao Shan mentioned that pullbacks are just opportunities, and many fans have basically jumped in to grab some serious gains. Moving forward, we need to keep our eyes on Bitcoin. It's currently hanging around the 77,000 to 78,000 range, just a stone's throw from 80k. The long-short ratio is pretty much balanced right now. If we break 80k, a lot of high-leverage shorts will be wiped out. If we slip below 75k, a lot of long positions will vanish too. There's a strong chance we’ll see a pullback before hitting new highs again. As for Ethereum, it’s still hovering above 2,300. The focus should be on whether it can hold above 2,350. If it does, it’s likely we’ll see another breakout past 2,400, potentially even smashing through the previous high of 2,450. On the downside, 2,250 is crucial. So right now, it's all about being patient and waiting for the market to unfold. When uncertainty hits, it’s better to stay in cash than to force trades. Big money isn’t made in buying and selling, but in waiting – waiting for structures to confirm, trends to prove themselves, and emotions to cool down. #币安推出黄金vsBTC未来资产对决活动 #CHIP暴涨 #孙宇晨起诉World Liberty Financial #加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币 <t-35/> $BTC

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