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Price is currently pulling back into a key horizontal level (Support & Resistance Block) which previously acted as a strong resistance, rejecting price on multiple occasions before the eventual breakout. That breakout flipped the level into support, and the current retest is a critical validation of its strength.
$BTC
So far, price is showing a reaction (bounce) off this zone, indicating buyers are still defending it. This makes the current structure a potential classic breakout–retest scenario, where holding above the level keeps the broader bullish structure intact.

If this bounce gains strength and price pushes through the resistance block around 78K–98K, it would confirm continuation and open the path for a larger upside expansion with projected target pointing towards $300k.

However, if price fails to build momentum off this support and faces rejection from the resistance block, it will indicate structural weakness, opening the door for a deeper correction toward the $34K region, aligning with a typical rising wedge breakdown target.

At this stage, the market remains at a decision point, and the reaction from this support will determine whether price continues higher or transitions into a broader pullback. We are currently positioned long from around $65K, with risk already secured (stop above entry), and will continue to hold until price invalidates the setup.

Key level to watch remains $78K a clean break above this zone should trigger strong upside momentum expansion.

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#IranHormuzCryptoFees
#BinanceWalletLaunchesPredictionMarkets

Oil prices rose while stock markets fell after President Trump announced plans for further military action against Iran.

In a speech at the White House, Trump declared that the conflict with Iran was “coming to an end,” although he did not give a specific timeline. He also confirmed that more strikes were expected.

According to the president, US forces are ready to intensify operations, with Iran facing “extraordinarily strong” attacks over the next two to three weeks.

It seems that the US does not want to reach a deal, but only to make a bigger mess. Also, Trump’s intentions regarding a cheaper oil price are no longer clear.

The price of oil reached $106 at the time of our article and the chances are higher with the conflict escalating further in the Middle East.
$BTC
We could see oil reaching $111 and $118 soon.
#OilRisesAbove$116
#USJoblessClaimsNearTwo-YearLow
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ETHUSDT is forming a counter-trend correction after hitting new lows. The market is reminded that it is still in crypto winter and may continue to fall...

Bitcoin is returning to a downtrend after a failed attempt to retest the 72K zone. Bears are dominating, and the downtrend continues.
Weak Bitcoin is negatively impacting altcoins
Ethereum may test the 2025–2038 liquidity zones. A short squeeze would provide a good signal for a potential decline. Earlier, Ethereum broke the support trend line...
$ETH
Resistance levels: 2025, 2037, 2062
Support levels: 1900

A retest of the resistance zone, a false breakout, and consolidation in the short zone will confirm bear dominance and may trigger a sell-off and a decline toward the trading range support and the zone of interest at 1900

#BitcoinPrices
#USNoKingsProtests
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Bitcoin is currently testing a key strong support zone aligned with the daily trendline. This area is critical for the next move.

If price holds this support, we can expect a strong bounce towards the monthly gap-up zone around 79K–81K. This would indicate buyers stepping back in and continuation of the higher timeframe trend.
$BTC
However, if this level breaks, it could trigger a deeper move to the downside as structure weakens.
#MarchFedMeeting
#TrumpConsidersEndingIranConflict
Hold = bullish move
Break = bearish continuation
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ETH has been forming a Triangle pattern since late January, compressing between higher lows and a flat resistance zone around 2,200.

The price just broke out of that pattern with momentum indicating a possible resumption of the upward movement.
$ETH
Key Targets to Focus:
2,450
2,600
2,800

As long as price holds above the pattern , the bullish setup remains valid. The price may rise from the current price but it can also go down one more time to test the broken resistance now turned into support before it moves up more.

#BTCReclaims70k
#MarchFedMeeting
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It is possible that the price of oil will increase due to the tankers attacked in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran is defending the area fanatically despite calls from the US and Europe to allow tankers to move freely.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) recommended a large-scale release of oil from strategic reserves that would exceed 100 million barrels during the first month, to help curb high crude oil prices amid the US-Israeli war with Iran.
$BTC
However, the geopolitical situation is escalating further and it seems that the price of oil could be volatile and influenced more by Iran's actions rather than Trump and the G7's efforts to stop the price from rising further.

Key Targets:
97.80
103
110
115

CFDs on WTI Crude Oil
Updated 2 days ago
OIL : Strait of Hormuz Tensions Could Push Oil Higher

4
6

13

2 days ago
OIL : Strait of Hormuz Tensions Could Push Oil Higher

It is possible that the price of oil will increase due to the tankers attacked in the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran is defending the area fanatically despite calls from the US and Europe to allow tankers to move freely.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) recommended a large-scale release of oil from strategic reserves that would exceed 100 million barrels during the first month, to help curb high crude oil prices amid the US-Israeli war with Iran.

However, the geopolitical situation is escalating further and it seems that the price of oil could be volatile and influenced more by Iran's actions rather than Trump and the G7's efforts to stop the price from rising further.

Key Targets:
97.80
103
110
115

Oil prices were on track to increase for the week, even though the United States tried to reduce worries about supply. The U.S. issued a 30-day license that allows countries to buy Russian oil and petroleum products that are currently stuck at sea.

On Friday, the price of Brent oil for May delivery had increased by $1.02, or about 1%, reaching $101.48 per barrel. This puts it on track for a weekly gain of nearly 10%.

Meanwhile, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude for April delivery rose by 94 cents, or 1%, to $96.67 per barrel, and was heading toward a weekly increase of more than 6%.

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said the license was meant to help calm global energy markets, which have been affected by the U.S.–Israeli war with Iran. However, analysts say the move has not solved the larger problem of limited oil supply.
#OilPricesSlide
#BTCReclaims70k
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BTCUSDT is stagnating, forming a symmetrical triangle within a global flat pattern that has formed as part of a global downtrend. There is still no fundamental support for the crypto market.

Bitcoin has attempted to act as a hedge in the current tense geopolitical and economic situation, but all attempts at growth are being aggressively sold off.
A trend line is forming, and the market is not allowing the price to reach intermediate key areas of interest, which indicates the presence of bearish pressure. Bitcoin is in a global downtrend. Focus on the current range of 69,185 - 71,100. The market may test 70100 - 71000 before falling within the main figure (to 67K).
$BTC
Resistance levels: 7010, 71000, 72000
Support levels: 69180, 66270

The reaction to the 69200 support is weakening, and the bulls may not be able to withstand market pressure. A close below 69185 could trigger distribution within the main bearish trend. Before that, a short squeeze of 70100 - 71060 is possible. However, the structure will be broken if Bitcoin manages to break through 72K and consolidate above this zone.

#OilPricesSlide
#UseAIforCryptoTrading
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ETHUSDT is testing resistance on the global downtrend. Facing pressure in the 2100-2150 zone, the altcoin formed a false breakout and may move to a decline.

Bitcoin is testing resistance, but the momentum has temporarily ended and the flagship is entering stagnation. A false breakout of 71K could trigger a correction across the entire market, including Ethereum, which tested the zone of interest and liquidity as part of its growth. Despite the recorded inflow of funds to exchanges, I cannot yet say that the fundamental background has changed to bullish. The markets are still in a downward trend and will maintain a bearish position until the current structure breaks.
A countertrend retest of key resistance formed a false breakout and consolidation below the zone of interest, which generally hints at the strength of the seller.

Resistance levels: 2107, 2150
Support levels: 2000, 1885

A retest of the 2107 liquidity zone is possible before the decline continues. A false breakout and consolidation below key resistance could trigger a decline within the global trend.
#JobsDataShock
#Trump'sCyberStrategy
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BTC created a deeper correction to 63150, but again our model remains valid.

On Saturday, February 28, the price rose again above the model, showing a strong upward momentum. Even if BTC continues to stay in this area, there is a high chance that BTC is ready to start the upward wave from this area.

At least this is what the model shows with the current data we have. It may change over time, but so far the picture has changed back to the upside and looks better.

Main targets:
72K; 75K and 78.7K

#USIranWarEscalation
#BTCSurpasses$71000
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Bitcoin recently attempted a breakout above the $68,400 level, but the move was quickly "engulfed," creating a classic Bull Trap. Price is currently reacting to the $65,729 pivot.

Key Price Levels:
Resistance Zone (Blue): $66,800 – $67,600 (Potential Lower High)
Immediate Support (Green): $64,500 – $65,250
Primary Target: $63,900
Final Target: $62,700

The coin suggests a short-term bounce (blue arrow) toward the $67,200 supply zone. If price fails to reclaim the descending trendline there, a bearish continuation (red arrow) toward $63,900 is the high-probability play.

Sentiment: Bearish unless we see a 4H candle close above $68,500.

#IranConfirmsKhameneiIsDead
#USIsraelStrikeIran
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Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price has officially lost the $66,000 support level and is now trading around the $63,000 area. This confirms the breakdown scenario that we discussed in previous updates.

As mentioned before, the next major demand zone is positioned between $52,500 and $59,500. If price enters this broader demand region, we can expect a potential positive reaction from buyers. Structurally, this zone remains the next key accumulation area to monitor closely.

Currently, markets are pricing in the increasing probability of geopolitical escalation. Risk-sensitive assets like cryptocurrencies are reacting negatively, and this risk-off sentiment is driving volatility across the board. Until clarity emerges regarding negotiations and regional stability, downside pressure may persist. The next one to two days could be decisive for broader market direction.

These conditions significantly increase trading risk, especially for intraday traders. Volatility has expanded sharply, and aggressive price swings can easily trigger stop losses or cause liquidation events. Position sizing and strict risk management are absolutely critical during this period.

#BTCDropsbelow$63K
#StrategyBTCPurchase

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BTCUSDT bounces off flat support and forms a pre-breakout consolidation relative to 68270. The flagship strengthens after Friday's news, but there are doubts...

After a shakeup, Bitcoin entered a strengthening phase amid the US Supreme Court's decision to overturn Trump's tariffs. However, it is difficult to say that this will significantly change the fundamental situation in the crypto market, as it creates uncertainty due to further decisions by Trump, who has already introduced new tariffs...

$BTC
Bitcoin transfers to crypto exchanges continue, which generally indicates weak crowd sentiment.

Technically, the global trend is downward, while locally the market is in a flat/consolidation phase. The focus is on the 65K-72K range. The retest of support ends with a rebound, and technically, Bitcoin may head towards resistance. Pre-breakout consolidation is forming relative to the key resistance level of 68,270 at the moment. A breakout of this level could trigger a rally to the zone of interest at 70,000-70,500, from which, if the situation does not change, a fall to the support range is possible.

Resistance levels: 68270, 70000, 70500
Support levels: 67250, 65720

The structure of the upward model will be disrupted if the market breaks the local upward support line. At the moment, the market is testing resistance at 68,270, and if the bulls manage to break through this barrier and consolidate above resistance, Bitcoin could form a local rally to liquidity zones.

#TrumpNewTariffs
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
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ETHUSDT is compressing between rising support and descending resistance.

That 1,950–2,000 zone is acting as a short-term floor.
Price keeps reacting from it.

The range is tightening.
$ETH
Hold this base — and 2,120–2,150 becomes the next magnet.
Lose 1,950 — and pressure expands to the downside again.
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#WhenWillCLARITYActPass
#PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking

BTCUSDT is recovering from an interim low of 65K. The area of interest is 71,500, but it is too early to talk about a bull market, as the influence of buyers may be short-term within the global downtrend.

$BTC
The main growth factor that emerged on Thursday/Friday was cooling inflation in the US, reducing pressure on the Fed to keep rates high. This brought investors back to risky assets. Will this influence be long-term?
Global and local trends are downward.
Bitcoin is within a neutral range of 71,500 - 65,700. A countertrend movement is forming after a retest of the local low of 65K. Until the structure is broken, a decline to 68,300 - 65,700 should be expected as a primary reaction to the resistance at 71,500. Liquidity capture and the subsequent formation of a false breakout could trigger a local reversal and decline.

Resistance levels: 71,450, 71,850, 73,100
Support levels: 68,370, 65,700

Within the current trading range, it is worth waiting for a retest of the key zone - the area of interest and liquidity 71450 - 71850. The lack of bullish momentum, a false breakout, and consolidation in the selling zone could lead to a sell-off and a decline in price.

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#TradeCryptosOnX
#MarketRebound

Technical breakdown of BTCUSDT (3H) based on the current chart structure. BTCUSDT has been trading within a well-defined descending channel, reflecting sustained bearish pressure and consistent seller control. Throughout this phase, price respected the channel boundaries, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows — a classic bearish continuation structure rather than impulsive capitulation. Eventually, BTC broke below the lower boundary of the descending channel, confirming a continuation of the bearish trend and accelerating downside momentum. After this breakdown, price entered a short consolidation range, suggesting temporary balance as sellers paused and buyers attempted to absorb supply.

$BTC
Currently, BTCUSDT is consolidating beneath the descending supply line and below the horizontal Supply Zone near 71,000, signaling that bullish attempts remain corrective in nature. Price action shows compression between the descending supply line and the rising demand trend line, forming a tightening structure where a directional move is likely to emerge. Importantly, BTC has failed to reclaim the supply zone or break above the descending trend line with acceptance, suggesting that sellers still maintain higher-timeframe control.

My primary scenario favors bearish continuation, as long as BTCUSDT remains below the descending supply line and the 71,000 supply zone. A rejection from this area increases the probability of a continuation move toward the 65,000 Demand Zone (TP1), which serves as the main downside target and a key area where buyers may attempt another reaction. A clean breakdown and acceptance below this demand zone would expose even lower levels. However, a strong breakout and sustained acceptance above the supply line and resistance zone would invalidate the bearish scenario and signal a potential structural shift. For now, market structure and price behavior continue to favor sellers. Manage your risk!

#CPIWatch
#TrumpCanadaTariffsOverturned
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Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price continued its bullish expansion and successfully rallied up to the $71,300 level. After this strong move, Bitcoin is currently trading around the $68,500 area, which can be considered a healthy corrective phase within the broader uptrend.

$BTC
All previous assumptions of the analysis remain valid. As long as price holds above the key $66,000 demand zone, the bullish structure stays intact, and we can expect further upside once consolidation is completed. The recent pullback does not invalidate the bullish scenario and instead supports a continuation-based setup.
#USTechFundFlows
This chart will continue to be updated step by step as price reacts to key levels.

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#USRetailSalesMissForecast

BTCUSDT tested 60K during the current cycle and formed a fairly significant pullback to 70K. However, it is too early to talk about a bullish trend; this is just a reaction to liquidation. The cycle continue

At the moment, the decline is 52%, which is historically within acceptable limits and is a relatively average indicator.
Fundamentally, there is no support for the crypto market, and Friday's pullback was supported by the recovery of the US stock market.
Global and local trends are bearish, and local spikes in volume and bullish impulses are possible in the hunt for liquidity, which should be viewed conservatively.
The price has entered the key trading channel of 53K - 73K and is likely to stop within the current cycle and form another trading range, which may subsequently reinforce the reversal momentum. Key liquidity zones have not yet been tested: 59650 - 53330.
$BTC
Resistance levels: 71,900, 73,800, 82,200
Support levels: 65,000, 59,650, 53,330

#WhenWillBTCRebound
#EthereumLayer2Rethink?

How can we tell that the market is ready to reverse? Technically, the reversal phase does not come immediately after distribution, the cycle of which is still ongoing. The market must enter a consolidation phase with the gradual formation of sequentially rising lows/highs. The breakdown of local structures + the market holding above key resistance levels will hint at a positive market sentiment.
Thus, we are waiting for the formation of an intermediate bottom and a change in the market phase from distributive to consolidation...

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By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that after the rally up to $97,900, price entered a correction. Within just three weeks, Bitcoin dropped around 30% and fell to $66,600, and it is now trading near $67,500.

$BTC
This current area is a major demand zone. If buyers step in and defend this level, we could see a bullish rebound from Bitcoin. If this scenario plays out, the first upside target will be around $75,500.

By analyzing the #Bitcoin chart on the weekly timeframe, we can see that price dropped to $60,000 last night and then reacted strongly once it reached this key demand zone. After that bounce, buying pressure increased and Bitcoin is now trading around $65,800. If price can stabilize above $66,000, we can expect more upside from here.

The most important factor driving the market right now is the risk of a potential conflict between Iran and the United States. If this risk turns into reality, a broader market crash is possible. But if war risk is removed, the odds strongly favor the start of a powerful new bullish wave in Bitcoin.

#DPWatch
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact
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ETHUSDT (1D) remains firmly bearish following the confirmed loss of the $2,770–$2,640 supply zone, which has now flipped into strong resistance. The macro structure continues to print lower highs, with major rejections recorded at $4,946, $4,768, and most recently $3,385, all aligning with the descending trendline and reinforcing dominant seller control.
$ETH
Price is currently trading below $2,555 and consolidating within a bearish continuation pennant inside the broader descending channel. The breakdown from this pennant activates the minimum measured move toward the $2,200–$2,100 demand pocket, while sustained acceptance below this region exposes the final downside target near $1,870–$1,700, which also coincides with the lower channel boundary and prior high-timeframe demand.

Any recovery remains corrective unless ETH can reclaim and hold above $2,700, with full structural invalidation only occurring on a daily close back above $3,385.

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#EthereumLayer2Rethink?
#BitcoinDropMarketImpact

Bitcoin is currently trading under clear higher timeframe pressure after a strong reaction from a premium zone. Price tapped into a confluence area of weekly and monthly Fair Value Gaps and showed immediate rejection, confirming that sellers are active at these levels. This reaction shifts the broader outlook from neutral to bearish for the coming weeks, as price failed to accept above higher timeframe imbalance.

Higher Timeframe Context and FVG Rejection
The most important development is the clean rejection inside the overlapping weekly and monthly FVG. This zone acted as a high probability area for distribution, and the response validates it as a strong supply region. The rejection was decisive, with displacement to the downside, signaling that higher timeframe participants are likely defending this area and looking for lower prices.
$BTC
Bearish CISD Formation
Following the rejection, price formed a bearish CISD, confirming that the move was not just a reaction but a structural shift. The CISD came after the liquidity interaction, aligning well with proper ICT sequencing. This adds confluence to the bearish case and suggests that the market is now in a sell side delivery phase rather than a corrective pullback.

Downside Targets and Liquidity Objectives
With structure now bearish, the primary expectation is continuation toward Target 1, which aligns with a key liquidity area below current price. If price accepts below this level, continuation toward Target 2 becomes likely, targeting deeper weekly liquidity and a strong demand zone that previously supported price. These areas are logical objectives for the current bearish leg.

Invalidation and Alternative Scenario
The bearish structure remains valid as long as price stays below the rejected weekly and monthly FVG zone. Any sustained acceptance back into and above that area would weaken the bearish narrative and signal potential range behavior instead. Until that happens, downside continuation remains the higher probability scenario.

Conclusion
Bitcoin rejected a major weekly and monthly FVG, formed a bearish CISD, and is now structurally aligned for further downside. The focus remains on Target 1 first, with Target 2 as a continuation objective if sell side momentum persists. Overall structure supports a bearish outlook for the upcoming weeks.

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#USGovShutdown
#WhoIsNextFedChair