Sharing technical analysis, market insights, and trading perspectives to help the community better understand crypto market structure and price action.
đŽ Just woke up at **6 AM** because my broker alarm went off⊠$XAG finally reached my entry zone.
Bro, I can barely open my eyes right now, Iâm way too sleepy đ But how can I keep sleeping when the market is giving such a clean short opportunity from a supply zone?
You already know both **SILVER and GOLD are still in a clear downtrend**, and now price is tapping into a strong supply area around **78.300 â 79.000**, which is probably going to be my entry zone.
Iâm placing my stop loss above the supply zone because if this area holds, the downside move can be beautiful.
And yeah I already know what youâre going to ask⊠âWhatâs the target?â đ
Obviously Iâm looking toward the previous lower-low area around **70.000**.
So yeah⊠I opened my position while half asleep, and now Iâm going back to sleep again đ
Wish me luck. Hopefully when I wake up later, Iâll see the target hit already đŻ
Yesterday I already mentioned that $HYPE failed to break and hold above the previous ATH. Instead of continuing higher, price created a new ATH and then dropped immediately.
But the important part is not just the drop.
Price also broke below the previous higher low, which means the bullish structure started shifting bearish. And now if you look closely, the market is clearly forming a downtrend structure with **lower highs and lower lows**.
At this moment, price is tapping into a strong supply zone near the latest lower-high area and already showing bearish rejection from there.
So for me the setup is simple:
âą Failed ATH breakout âą Structure shifted bullish â bearish âą Lower high + lower low formation âą Supply zone reaction âą Bearish rejection confirmation
And if history repeats, $HYPE can give a move similar to what BTC did after creating a new ATH.
You already saw how hard BTC dropped after trapping buyers near the top. Now letâs see if HYPE follows the same path.
New strikes would spike oil prices, which makes inflation worse. And higher inflation could push the Fed toward rate hikes instead of cuts. Bad for crypto.
2. Clarity Act odds falling
In just 2 weeks, the odds of the Crypto Market Structure Bill being signed into law dropped from 75% to 50%.
Yesterday it was reported the SEC delayed plans to allow tokenized stock trading on the blockchain.
The pushback against crypto has started. Short-term bearish.
3. Bond market stress
Japanese bond yields are hitting new highs and US yields are surging.
High yields make borrowing harder, which hurts risk-on assets like crypto.
What happens next?
$BTC has dropped below $75,000.
If strikes happen this weekend, $BTC could fall toward the $72,000-$72,500 support zone.
If no strikes happen, we could see a strong reversal next week.
BTC back in October failed to break and hold the previous ATH. Everyone got hyped when it touched 126k thinking this is finally it đ Then it got rejected hard. You all know what happened next... straight down to 60k. Now look at HYPE doing the exact same thing live. It broke above its old ATH, hit 62, looked like the real deal for a second... and already dropped 13% back to 54. If history repeats itself, is HYPE about to play out the same script as BTC? What do you guys think? Coincidence or warning sign? đ
- $BTC Analysis 12H Timeframe Bitcoin seems very weak and has failed to reach its closest resistance zone. The Stochastic has also formed a hidden bearish divergence and a death cross, confirming the weakness further more. Although it's still too early to say, but we might see a lower low sooner than expected. However, until any major moves occur, the resistance zone and OB remains as the current price range.
$BTC Analysis 12H Timeframe Still using the same roadmap from yesterday's daily update, as not much has changed, I don't have much to say. Stick to the plan, a possible rebound from here, especially with the stochastic being super oversold. The real test remains whether price can reclaim the resistance zone or not.
Wenn ja, denke ich, dass es jetzt an der Zeit ist, deine Position sorgfĂ€ltig zu verwalten, denn wir wollen niemals nach einem groĂen Pump von oben kaufen. Die echte Gelegenheit kommt, wenn wir den Strukturwechsel frĂŒhzeitig erkennen.
Lass mich jetzt erklÀren, warum ich hier nach einem Short suche.
Der letzte Pump von $ZEC wurde hauptsĂ€chlich durch Nachrichten und Hype um ihre Datenschutzentwicklung angetrieben. Aber im Moment zeigt der Chart eine andere Geschichte. Der Preis ist unter die **530 UnterstĂŒtzungsmarke** gefallen, die das vorherige höhere Tief war. FĂŒr mich ist dieser RĂŒckgang ein frĂŒhes Zeichen, dass die bullische Struktur möglicherweise vorbei ist.
Nachdem dieser Level durchbrochen wurde, zieht der Preis jetzt eine Pullback in den vorherigen Bereich des niedrigeren Hochs. Was es noch interessanter macht, ist, dass der Preis, bevor er diese Zone erreichte, auch ĂŒber die **570 Marke** ausgebrochen ist, wodurch EinzelhandelskĂ€ufer gefangen wurden, die dachten, es sei ein echter Ausbruch.
Jetzt hat der Markt ihre LiquiditÀt genommen und hat in eine Angebotszone in der NÀhe des niedrigeren Hochs eingetaucht.
FĂŒr mich ist das also kein willkĂŒrlicher Short. Das ist Strukturverschiebung + LiquiditĂ€tsabgriff + Reaktion in der Angebotszone.
Deshalb suche ich nach einem Verkauf von den HöchststÀnden statt mit der Menge zu kaufen.
- $BTC Analysis 12H Timeframe Price has been following my roadmap almost perfectly, so here's a new angle to it. BTC is currently at an OB, which has a potential to spark a quick rebound. The support zone has now turned into resistance, which sets up as the next retest level to watch out for. I remain bearish and a lower low should only be a matter of time.
⥠Weekend Scalping Setup â $DUSK / USDT SHORT đ Entry Zone: 0.15400 â 0.15500 đŻ Take Profit: 0.13550 đ Stop Loss: 0.15800 Price is heading back into the supply zone created after the failed breakout. Since the intraday structure is still bearish, this area can give a clean short opportunity if sellers step in again. The target is the next support zone, where retail buyers may be sitting. Short sellers already got cleared. Now the market may be ready to hunt the buyers.
If youâre looking to hold a high-potential coin that can give strong returns, $PIXEL is worth watching closely. đ After a long bearish continuation, $PIXEL finally reached a previous support zone near the historical low. Around 0.007080, price started showing a clear bullish rejection, which tells us buyers are stepping in from that area. What makes this more interesting is that price is now starting to form a new structure with higher highs and higher lows. Thatâs usually an early sign that the trend may be changing. So overall, we have: Support respected Bullish rejection Possible trend change HH and HL structure forming If this momentum continues, $PIXEL can move toward the next resistance around 0.009200. Stay patient, donât chase blindly, and manage your risk properly.
XRP is showing a power move after the Clarity Act.
Why it's leading: - $XRP is the biggest direct beneficiary of clearer US crypto rules.
- $XRP is built for payments and cross-border money transfers. The Clarity Act gives Ripple legal clarity to expand RLUSD (their stablecoin) inside the US.
- $XLM , $ADA , and $HBAR are rallying for the same reason. They're all payment-focused coins that win under the new rules.