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Bitcoin trades near key price safety net that Strategy already breached
The safety net is the 100-week average, which has stalled the downtrend.

BTC trades near key support, with MSTR offering bearish cues.

What to know:
Bitcoin trades near a critical 100-week simple moving average, a key support level for bulls.
Strategy shares have already fallen below this average, signaling potential bearish trends for bitcoin.
Bulls must defend this support to prevent further declines similar to Strategy's recent losses.

This is a technical analysis post by CoinDesk analyst and Chartered Market Technician Omkar Godbole.

trades close to a crucial long-term price line that's held for three weeks, putting bulls on edge. However, shares in the largest publicly listed BTC holder, Strategy (MSTR), have already slipped below this "safety net," flashing bearish cues to the cryptocurrency.
This safety net is the 100-week simple moving average (SMA), the average price over roughly two years and a trusted metric for technical analysts across markets to identify major trend shifts and long-term support or breakdowns.

For bitcoin, the 100-week SMA has held steady for three weeks, halting the decline from record highs above $126,000. Think of it as a safety net catching a falling object mid-air. A bounce from the average could spark hopes of a trampoline-like bullish rebound.
But if prices break lower, frustrated holders may dump more while bears gain confidence, sparking deeper declines.

MSTR dropped to $220 in early November, penetrating the 100-week SMA line. Since then, it has extended the sell-off to $160. The stock is now down over 60% from the year-to-date high of $457.

This is critical for BTC bulls, as MSTR had also led bitcoin earlier when it broke below the 50-week SMA, another widely watched long-term average.

The key takeaway is that bulls must defend the 100-week SMA, or prices risk following MSTR’s path into deeper losses. If bulls manage to keep prices above the average, it would strengthen hopes that it acts as a trampoline for a bullish rebound.

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Jeder Zyklus hat ein Meme, das das Regelbuch neu schreibt.
2021 war DOGE.
2022 war SHIBA.
2023 gab uns PEPE.
2024 überraschte alle mit BONK.
Und jetzt flüstert der Markt bereits über 2025.
Das ist keine Zufälligkeit – es ist Kapitalrotation. Wenn Bitcoin und die großen Währungen abkühlen, sucht die Liquidität nach hoch-beta Narrativen, und Memes absorbieren es schneller als alles andere. Die größten Gewinne kommen immer früh, bevor Hype in Überfüllung umschlägt. Dort konzentriert sich das schlaue Geld auf Struktur, Volumenspitzen, Börsennotierungen und Gemeinschaftsgeschwindigkeit, nicht auf Emotionen.